随机误差对舰炮火控系统设计精度要求

针对舰炮武器系统精度设计的需求,以某型舰炮为例,采用蒙特卡洛法,利用6自由度弹道模型解算数百条弹道,求出在特定的命中概率下,火控系统修正舰艇摇摆时产生的随机误差对目标高度、水平距离及舰炮射角、射向的影响,从而对火控系统设计精度提出要求.靶场实践证明应用此方法可以提高舰炮武器系统的命中概率.     

动态弹道补偿

通常意义下的弹道补偿没有考虑火炮摆动对射击的影响,因而在坦克运动或目标运动时,命中概率将大大降低.分析了由火炮摆动带来的射击误差,给出了相应的补偿算法及电路的实现方法.     

对目标打击概率的数学模型及分析

通过分析识别跟踪攻击目标的过程,建立了攻击目标打击概率的数学模型和基本算法,通过计算机采用蒙特卡罗法模拟计算了不同条件下对目标的打击概率,以此研究影响打击概率的因素.计算结果表明,武器系统的作战半径和威力半径两个因素对打击概率影响较大,误差因素在一定范围内影响较小,各参数之间存在优化匹配的空间.     

往返搜索发现概率仿真分析与应用

往返搜索是一种最常见的搜索样式,其搜索效能与搜索宽度、发现距离、搜索速度、突破速度等因素密切相关。在建立往返搜索行动模型的基础上,通过仿真实验得到耕耘数据,进而通过数据分析和处理得到往返搜索发现概率的经验公式。应用经验公式并结合声纳探测模型,对多搜索艇分段封锁搜索案例进行了优化研究。     

Sensor radiation interception risk control in target tracking

This paper is mainly on the problem of radiation interception risk control in sensor network for target tracking. Firstly, the sensor radiation interception risk is defined as the product of the interception probability and the cost caused by the interception. Secondly, the radiation interception probability model and cost model are established, based on which the calculation method of interception risk can be obtained. Thirdly, a sensor scheduling model of radiation risk control is established, taking the minimum interception risk as the objective function. Then the Hungarian algorithm is proposed to obtain sensor scheduling scheme. Finally, simulation experiments are mad to prove the effectiveness of the methods proposed in this paper, which shows that compared with the sensor radiation interception probability control method, the interception risk control method can keep the sensor scheduling scheme in low risk as well as protect sensors of importance in the sensor network.     

A split target detection and tracking algorithm for ballistic missile tracking during the re-entry phase

In the re-entry phase of a ballistic missile, decoys can be deployed as a mean to overburden enemy defenses. This results in a single track being split into multiple track-lets. Tracking of these track-lets is a critical task as any miss in the tracking procedure can become a cause of a major threat. The tracking process becomes more complicated in the presence of clutter. The low detection rate is one of the factors that may contribute to increasing the difficulty level in terms of tracking in the cluttered environment. This work introduces a new algorithm for the split event detection and target tracking under the framework of the joint integrated probabilistic data association (JIPDA) algorithm. The proposed algorithm is termed as split event-JIPDA (SE-JIPDA). This work establishes the mathematical foundation for the split target detection and tracking mechanism. The performance analysis is made under different simulation conditions to provide a clear insight into the merits of the proposed algorithm. The performance parameters in these simulations are the root mean square error (RMSE), confirmed true track rate (CTTR) and confirmed split true track rate (CSTTR).     

多轮次打击情况下的跑道失效率计算

对机场跑道进行多轮次打击时,每轮打击之后对跑道失效率的计算可掌握是否达到预期打击目的,为下一轮打击提供决策依据.以马尔科夫链为理论依据对多轮次打击情况下的跑道失效率进行计算,只需计算出跑道失效率的一步转移概率矩阵,即可求出任意多次打击后跑道的失效率,避免了采用常规方法时的多层迭代计算,降低了多次打击计算的难度.实例证明,该方法具有运算速度快、精度高的特点,可用于多轮次打击情况下的跑道失效率计算问题.     

基于数学形态学和支持向量机的跑道检测方法

提出了一种基于数学形态学和支持向量机的跑道检测方法.首先采用Otsu法对原始图像进行全局阈值化处理,并利用灰度形态学边缘检测算法对所得图像进行边缘检测;然后利用Hough变换提取线段,若线段超过一定长度,则判定其所在区域为跑道的候选区域;最后选择8个分量组成跑道候选区域的纹理特征向量,用支持向量机作为分类函数,对候选区域的纹理特征向量进行分类,判别出跑道.实验表明,该算法对跑道定位准确,误检率低.     

基于ADC的炮兵激光观测仪侦察效能分析

运用了效能分析方法,针对复杂战场环境下炮兵侦察系统的效能进行分析,特别是炮兵激光观测仪,揭示其内在规律,为提高现有侦察装备的作战效能找到重要途径,也为指挥员的决策提供可靠的战略支持.在侦察系统效能分析理论的基础上,对典型的激光观测仪侦察装备进行了计算评估验证,其方法和成果可供其他武器系统效能评估时借鉴参考.     

固定式超近程防护系统优化设计及统计分析

为了提高固定式超近程防护系统的拦截效率,进一步优化攻击单元的分布参数,将分布方案的分布参数5个射角和35个射向作为自变量,以拦截概率作为因变量,将已有的32种方案的分布方案及统计模拟所得的拦截概率作为样本值,运用SPSS软件进行多元线性回归分析,通过不断筛去显著性比较差的变量,最终得到比较满意、显著性比较强的多元线性回归方程,该方程的建立为进一步优化分布方案的参数提供了理论依据,也为建立进一步优化模型提供了理论基础.