Dynamic institutionalization: the foundations of Japan’s radioactive problem

Many have suggested that the true purpose behind Japan’s development of a closed nuclear-fuel cycle is to maintain the technical potential to develop nuclear weapons. However, closer examination of the development of Japan’s nuclear industry shows that, although Japan possesses advanced nuclear technologies, there has been no deliberate strategy to create a nuclear-weapon option. There is no “nuclear hedge.” To illustrate this point, this article presents a framework called “dynamic institutionalization” to explain the origins of Japan’s nuclear policies and the different sets of institutionalized pressures and constraints that have perpetuated these policies over time. Japan’s continued development of closed fuel-cycle technologies is primarily driven by domestic politics and the lack of a permanent spent-fuel management solution. On the other hand, Japan’s institutionalized nuclear forbearance is driven by the calculation that, as long as US extended deterrence remains credible, Japan’s security is best guaranteed through reliance on the US nuclear umbrella. By analytically untangling the policy of closed fuel-cycle development from the rationale for nuclear forbearance, this article provides a more nuanced view of the relationships between the domestic and international variables shaping Japan’s nuclear policies.     

Burning rate and other characteristics of strontium titanate (SrTiO3) supplemented AP/HTPB/Al composite propellants

In a quest of search for a new burning rate modifier for composite propellant, strontium titanate (SrTiO₃), a perovskite oxide has been chosen for evaluation in a composite propellant formulation based on its other catalytic applications. Initially, SrTiO₃ was characterized for particle size, morphology and material/phase identification (using XRD). By varying SrTiO₃ content in a standard composite propellant, different compositions were prepared and their performance and processing parameters like the end of mix (EOM) viscosity, mechanical properties, density, burning rate, pressure exponent (n-value), etc. were measured. The results reveal that 2% SrTiO₃ causes more than 12% enhancement in propellant burning rate (at 70 ksc pressure) in comparison to the standard propellant composition. The pressure exponent also increases to 0.46, whereas the standard composition was having its value as 0.35.     

A generic model of motor‐carrier fuel optimization

Fuel optimizers are decision models (software products) that are increasingly recognized as effective fuel management tools by U.S. truckload carriers. Using the latest price data of every truck stop, these models calculate the optimal fueling schedule for each route that indicates: (i) which truck stop(s) to use, and (ii) how much fuel to buy at the chosen truck stop(s) to minimize the refueling cost. In the current form, however, these models minimize only the fuel cost, and ignore or underestimate other costs that are affected by the models' decision variables. On the basis of the interviews with carrier managers, truck drivers, and fuel‐optimizer vendors, this article proposes a comprehensive model of motor‐carrier fuel optimization that considers all of the costs that are affected by the model's decision variables. Simulation results imply that the proposed model not only attains lower vehicle operating costs than the commercial fuel optimizers, but also gives solutions that are more desirable from the drivers' viewpoint. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

一种基于条件概率的设备占用率修正算法

简要介绍了某型无人机维修级别分析中的组合方案法 ,针对传统分析法中设备占用率采用经验值 ,造成可信度低的问题 ,提出了一种基于不同故障模式发生时的条件概率求解设备占用率的算法 ,并给出了这种算法的适用范围。     

太阳能动力船舶发展综述

对近年来国内外太阳能动力船舶发展现状和趋势进行了综述,介绍了多艘太阳能动力船研制成功的实例,并对太阳能动力船舶的若干关键技术及其可能的解决方案进行了阐述,重点说明了太阳能动力船舶与多体船型的联系,并对国内发展太阳能动力船进行了初步构想.     

利用微气泡减小平板摩擦阻力的数值模拟

假定气-液两相流体均匀混合且微气泡在水流中存在滑移运动,运用混合多相流模型对水中运动平板的微气泡减阻过程进行了数值计算,研究了微气泡流的减阻机理,分析了主流速度及气体流量率等对减阻率的影响规律,同时构建了一个减阻率预报数学模型,并指出在微气泡减阻中存在一个与主流速度相对应的饱和气流量.     

基于影响图方法的信息战模型

由于粒子滤波的算法原理,其计算量很大。研究了针对机动目标的交互式多模型粒子滤波器(IMMPF)算法和多速率交互式多模型(MRIMM)算法,提出了多速率交互式多模型粒子滤波器(MRIMMPF)算法。该算法是在交互式多模型粒子滤波器(IMMPF)的基础上引入多速率技术,期望在保持IMMPF的性能同时能够减少因为粒子滤波带来的计算量;最后通过和一般基于EKF的IMM算法、IMMPF算法的比较,验证了该算法的有效性。     

基于中位秩的动态可靠性增长模型

给出了一种动态可靠性增长模型。首先利用统计中的中位秩法结合试验数据确定各个增长阶段的失效率 ,这一技术可以很好地解决小子样问题 ,并且由于利用了动态建模的思想 ,因而可以客观地反映系统的实际状态。其次 ,该模型继承了传统Duane模型简单、直观、易于进行参数估计的优点 ,同时又很好地处理了传统Duane模型所不适用的分阶段、多场景试验的情形 ,因而有很广阔的工程应用前景。最后通过仿真实例验证了该模型的正确性     

A general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes and conditions for system burn‐in

Burn‐in is a technique to enhance reliability by eliminating weak items from a population of items having heterogeneous lifetimes. System burn‐in can improve system reliability, but the conditions for system burn‐in to be performed after component burn‐in remain a little understood mathematical challenge. To derive such conditions, we first introduce a general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes, in which the component burn‐in information and assembly problems are related to the prediction of system burn‐in. Many existing system burn‐in models become special cases and two important results are identified. First, heterogeneous system lifetimes can be understood naturally as a consequence of heterogeneous component lifetimes and heterogeneous assembly quality. Second, system burn‐in is effective if assembly quality variation in the components and connections which are arranged in series is greater than a threshold, where the threshold depends on the system structure and component failure rates. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 364–380, 2003.     

石英角速率传感器数字相关检测技术研究

为提高石英角速率传感器(QRS)的测量性能,提出了基于数字相关检测技术的QRS信号解调方案。该方案需将一组互相正交的参考信号作为两个相关器的输入,能够同时分离出QRS敏感信号相对于参考信号的同相分量和正交分量。通过角速度提取算法可由以上分量进一步得到输入角速度。分析了实现参考通道功能的两种方法:锁相环(PLL)和Hilbert变换,通过对这两种方法的对比得知,PLL更适合作为QRS相关检测的参考通道。