基于AHP的舰船大风浪中航行安全评价

舰船在大风浪中航行的风险是一个比较重要的研究领域,其风险程度很难用量化进行评估.为了更好地方便研究,并为以后的研究奠定理论基础,采用了层次分析法,建立舰船在大风浪中航行的安全评价体系,同时构造了判断矩阵,并进行了层次单排序一致性检验,求出了每个影响舰船航行安全因素的权重,并通过实例进行解算,得出结果和实际情况相比大致相似.此方法可以较好地对舰船在大风浪中航行的安全进行直观的描述,可供舰船长用来掌握舰船航行的风险情况,进而进行有效的风险决策.     

炮射悬浮式GPS干扰弹靶场试验与评估

为解决炮射悬浮式GPS干扰弹的研制与应用问题,进行了炮射悬浮式GPS干扰弹靶场试验与评估研究,提出了基于雷达、GPS接收机和计算机的靶场试验解决方案和数据处理方法,给出了基于蜂窝结构的干扰弹分布覆盖设计步骤,提出了包括功能性指标、可靠性指标和安全性指标的炮射悬浮式GPS干扰弹评估方法,定义了各评估指标的效益函数。     

从哲学视域探究指挥与控制

指挥与控制一般被认为是军队和工程自动化的基本范畴,但从哲学的高度可以看到更广阔的领域。指挥与控制是人类区别于自然界自组织活动的核心行为。人类的语言从一开始就已相当传神地揭示了这一概念的具体内涵。指挥控制有别于自动控制,是指挥与控制的有机结合。指挥控制的对象是以人为基本要素的系统,指挥与控制能否合二为一,依赖于指挥者的威信、指令的正确度以及信道的畅通等因素。指挥与控制学科的建立是一项复杂的系统工程,依赖于自然科学和社会科学等相关学科群。     

不同磁浮列车外形的气动性能比较

上海磁浮列车由于流线型车头较短,气动性能并不理想,根据国内厂家给定的列车横断面尺寸和对气动性能的要求,对国产磁浮列车气动外形进行多方案设计,通过求解三维可压N-S方程和k-ε双方程湍流模型,对提出的磁浮列车各种外形方案的气动性能进行数值模拟计算,并根据计算结果进一步改进气动外形,如此反复,直至得出气动性能和外观最优的磁浮列车外形。在最终选定的三种设计方案中,方案3由于水平投影轮廓线较窄、最大纵剖面轮廓线曲率较小,其整车空气阻力和列车交会压力波都较其它两种方案要小,因此为最佳的气动外形方案。通过比较分析,此次选用的国产磁浮列车外形,列车以430km/h运行时三节车总的空气阻力为33.84kN,而上海磁浮列车为54.07kN;国产磁浮列车最大列车交会压力波幅值为2913Pa,而在同等条件下上海磁浮列车为3827Pa,其气动性能明显优于上海磁浮列车。     

美军武装直升机电子战设备的现状与发展趋势

介绍了武装直升机在现代战场上面临的种种威胁,重点介绍了美军武装直升机目前装备的电子战设备和尚处于研制中的新一代综合性电子战设备,分析了美军武装直升机电子战设备的发展趋势。     

From elite consumption to popular opinion: framing of the US drone program in Pakistani newspapers

The United States has conducted armed drone strikes in Pakistan since 2004. While there has been some recent work on Pakistani public opinion about drones, there is very little research on how Pakistan’s media characterize the US drone program. This is an important gap in understanding the determinants of Pakistani popular perceptions of this program. Decades of research has shown that “news framing”, a process by which certain aspects of a complex concept are emphasized in political communications with others played down, influences individual cognition while forming political opinions. In this essay, we address this lacuna by assembling an unprecedented sample of editorials about the drone program from three English newspapers and one Urdu newspaper and analyzing the news frames within them. We next compare the trends in these news frames to public opinion data collected by Pew between the spring of 2009 and 2014. Initially, most Pakistanis were unaware of the drone program, media coverage of the program expanded as drone strikes increased in frequency. While Pakistanis became more cognizant of the US drone strikes, even by 2014 large minorities remained unaware. Pakistani public opinion strongly reflected the top media frames, particularly those that are negative. This is an important finding suggesting that newspaper editorials are a good barometer of Pakistani opinions despite the fact that only information elites rely upon newspapers for political information.     

接敌前基于D-S理论的空战意图预测

接敌前是指敌机刚进入我方预警系统的探测范围(一般为400 km),并截获敌机,获得了敌机的运动参数,对敌机进行实时跟踪。为了完成对敌机目标意图的预测,为接敌前的自主决策打下基础,在D-S证据理论的基础上,选取合适的态势元素,分析各态势元素对敌机意图的影响,建立了目标意图预测模型,该模型具有一定的表达性和准确性。仿真实验表明,使用该模型能在敌机相距较远时以一定的准确性判断敌机的意图,实用性强,为接敌前基于意图预测的自主决策留出足够的时间。     

On the contribution of defense innovation to China’s economic growth

As the most knowledge-intensive industrial sectors, China’s defense industries are developing very fast. The present paper will explore the contribution of China’s defense innovation to its economic growth. Cobb–Douglas production function, integrating defense and non-defense stock in knowledge, is applied during the course. In addition, an input–output analysis of defense equipment procurement was done. Positive effect of China’s defense innovation on economic growth has been revealed by comparing the results from the two methods. And some suggestions are made to strengthen the effect.     

基于MINE-FNA组合算法的防空体系指标网构建方法?

防空作战体系的武器装备组成结构和对抗信息交互具有网络化特征,其作战效能是通过对抗过程中各组分系统间复杂的网络化交互涌现出来的,因此描述体系作战效能的指标也应由各组分系统效能指标相互关联涌现出来,而传统防空体系指标选取方法无法准确描述防空体系内部复杂的关联关系和揭示体系能力的复杂涌现生成机理。因此将无参数探索最大交互信息算法（ MINE）和网络统计算法（ FNA）组合构建了MINE?FNA组合算法模型,对基于武器装备体系仿真试验床的防空体系仿真的全样本实验数据进行深度挖掘,构建了“底层基础指标→均一化指标→体系级指标”的三层防空体系指标网,为研究防空体系内部复杂关联关系和分析防空体系能力的生成机理提供了有效手段。     

收发深度变化对浅海混响的影响研究*

海洋中,由于种种原因可能造成声呐发射深度或接收深度发生变化,针对这一问题,研究了水听器的晃动给混响强度带来的影响.在波束位移射线简正波理论的基础上推导了浅海混响模型,仿真比较了负跃层浅海情况发射深度或接收深度上下变化1m时(小幅度变化)的混响衰减曲线,结果表明发射深度或接收深度上下变化Im时对混响衰减曲线的影响不大.可以认为水听器小幅度晃动时浅海混响相对于声源深度及接收深度是稳定的.