利用层次分析法冗余性进行群体决策

指出层次分析法的冗余性,提出利用层次分析法的冗余性直接进行群体决策,检查群体意见一致程度的方法。     

层次分析法中一致性检验的一种调整方法

针对层次分析法中一致性检验难以通过的问题,提出了一种优化调整方法,并分析了该方法的基本思路及可行性。为方便上机编程,还给出了该方法的具体实现步骤。     

目标的规避过程与搜索运动

应用随机过程的观点,研究了静态目标和动态目标的几种规避方式、运动规律和目标位置的概率分布,导出了在上述几种情况下对规避目标的最优（理论）搜索计划。     

应用威布尔过程模型统计分析中的几个问题

对威布尔过程应用中的若干问题作了进一步探讨:如威布尔过程与威布尔分布;具有切断的故障数据处理;威布尔过程的拟合优度检验;可修系统可靠性评估参数;多个同型系统参数一致性检验等.     

Smalltalk-80 的形式语义研究

Smalltalk-80是原型的面向对象程序设计语言和环境。本文简要地介绍了Smalltalk-80的基本概念和抽象文法,给出了其形式模型,并基于该模型描述了Smalltalk-80的静态指称语义和动态指称语义。     

基于熵的空中目标识别模型及应用

空中目标识别是现代防空作战的重要研究内容。研究根据不同类型的目标产生不同的辐射和不同的雷达回波信号对目标进行识别。提出利用熵理论来处理目标识别问题,采用层次分析法与熵权的组合来确定指标的权重。仿真实例表明,基于熵的识别是一种运算简单,结果可靠的目标识别算法。     

Directional change‐point detection for process control with multivariate categorical data

Most modern processes involve multiple quality characteristics that are all measured on attribute levels, and their overall quality is determined by these characteristics simultaneously. The characteristic factors usually correlate with each other, making multivariate categorical control techniques a must. We study Phase I analysis of multivariate categorical processes (MCPs) to identify the presence of change‐points in the reference dataset. A directional change‐point detection method based on log‐linear models is proposed. The method exploits directional shift information and integrates MCPs into the unified framework of multivariate binomial and multivariate multinomial distributions. A diagnostic scheme for identifying the change‐point location and the shift direction is also suggested. Numerical simulations are conducted to demonstrate the detection effectiveness and the diagnostic accuracy.© 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

Analysis of the finite‐source multiclass priority queue with an unreliable server and setup time

In this article, we study a queueing system serving multiple classes of customers. Each class has a finite‐calling population. The customers are served according to the preemptive‐resume priority policy. We assume general distributions for the service times. For each priority class, we derive the steady‐state system size distributions at departure/arrival and arbitrary time epochs. We introduce the residual augmented process completion times conditioned on the number of customers in the system to obtain the system time distribution. We then extend the model by assuming that the server is subject to operation‐independent failures upon which a repair process with random duration starts immediately. We also demonstrate how setup times, which may be required before resuming interrupted service or picking up a new customer, can be incorporated in the model. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

非周期不完全检测下的维修优化

针对gamma退化型单部件系统,基于更新和半更新过程理论建立了以期望费用率最小为目标的非周期不完全检测下的维修优化模型。利用检测规划函数使系统的检测间隔期可以依据系统的状态进行调整。为更加贴近实际,模型考虑了测量误差对维修优化的影响。通过计算可以得到最优预防性维修阈值和检测方案。给出了模型的应用算例,通过对退化速率和费用参数的灵敏度分析说明了模型的有效性。与不考虑检测误差的优化结果进行对比,证明了考虑检测误差的重要性。     

基于灰色系统理论的军队油料节约人员360度绩效评估

基于360度绩效评估理论,从德、能、勤、绩4个方面构建了包含4个1级指标和16个2级指标的军队油料节约人员360度绩效评估指标体系。利用层次分析法确定了各评估指标的权重,运用灰色系统理论的原理和方法,构建了多层次灰色评估模型,并对某油料节约小组5位油料节约人员进行了360度绩效评估。案例应用表明,此方法具有系统综合各层评估者提供的"贫信息"的优点,不仅能得出被评估者的灰类及优劣顺序,而且得到了各指标所属灰类和具体的灰色评价权值,使360度绩效较好地实现了绩效反馈的目的。该研究为军队油料节约人员绩效管理工作提供了新的思路和方法。