Conflict management in the Central African Republic: making genocide prevention work

This commentary analyses the international response to the crisis that struck the Central African Republic (CAR) in early December 2013. It examines three intertwined dimensions defining the courses of action available to policymakers dealing with pre-genocidal crises: the politics and institutional manoeuvring shaping the United Nations (UN) Security Council's decision to authorise an enforcement mission without deploying ‘blue helmets’ on the ground; the operational complexities involved in launching rapid reaction forces; and the interdependent logics between peacebuilding and atrocity prevention. The author argues that there are three ways for the UN Secretariat to ensure a more effective response to CAR-type situations: generating political will to respond swiftly to deteriorating crises leading to widespread abuses of human rights by advancing the concept of Responsibility to Protect as a core component of states' national interests; developing strategic frameworks for the deployment of multi-plural missions equipped to avert the actual or potential threat of atrocities; and developing joint early warning and scenario planning between peacebuilding and atrocity prevention agencies.     

基于复杂适应系统理论的一体化联合作战研究

复杂适应系统理论为我们研究军事系统提供了崭新的视角,避免了传统的基于还原论方法研究军事系统机械分隔忽略系统要素之间相互作用的问题,可以得到军事系统全面准确的认识,对于深入研究一体化联合作战的本质内涵、基本特征和主要方法,尽快形成一体化联合作战的理论体系具有重要意义。文章通过分析军事系统特点得出军事系统是复杂适应系统的结论,在此基础上,从复杂适应系统理论的角度分析了一体化联合作战的内涵及提高军事系统一体化联合作战能力需要重点解决的四个问题。     

联合作战军民融合问题研究

文章研究联合作战军民融合问题,提出不断深化联合作战军民融合思想意识,构建完善联合作战军民融合体制机制,加强联合作战军民融合的平时准备。     

Evaluating the potential effects from probabilistic selling of similar products

In this article, we consider an online retailer who sells two similar products (A and B) over a finite selling period. Any stock left at the end of the period has no value (like clothes going out of fashion at the end of a season). Aside from selling the products at regular prices, he may offer an additional option that sells a probabilistic good, “A or B,” at a discounted price. Whenever a customer buys a probabilistic good, he needs to assign one of the products for the fulfillment. Considering the choice behavior of potential customers, we model the problem using continuous‐time, discrete‐state, finite‐horizon dynamic programming. We study the optimal admission decisions and devise two scenarios, whose value functions can be used as benchmarks to evaluate the demand induction effect and demand dilution effect of probabilistic selling (PS). We further investigate an extension of the base MDP (Markov Decision Process) model in which the fulfillment of probabilistic sales is uncontrollable by the retailer. A special case of the extended model can be used as a benchmark to quantify the potential inventory pooling effect of PS. Finally, numerical experiments are conducted to evaluate the overall profit improvement, and the effects from adopting the PS strategy. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 61: 604–620, 2014     

A nonatomic‐game model for timing clearance sales under competition

We deal with dynamic revenue management (RM) under competition using the nonatomic‐game approach. Here, a continuum of heterogeneous sellers try to sell the same product over a given time horizon. Each seller can lower his price once at the time of his own choosing, and faces Poisson demand arrival with a rate that is the product of a price‐sensitive term and a market‐dependent term. Different types of sellers interact, and their respective prices help shape the overall market in which they operate, thereby influencing the behavior of all sellers. Using the infinite‐seller approximation, which deprives any individual seller of his influence over the entire market, we show the existence of a certain pattern of seller behaviors that collectively produce an environment to which the behavior pattern forms a best response. Such equilibrium behaviors point to the suitability of threshold‐like pricing policies. Our computational study yields insights to RM under competition, such as profound ways in which consumer and competitor types influence seller behaviors and market conditions. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 365–385, 2014     

关节对中误差对机械臂末端定位精度影响

针对机械臂关节对中误差对机械臂末端定位精度影响进行研究。以6自由度机械臂为研究对象,利用D-H法建立了机械臂运动学模型,并建立对中误差传递数学模型。利用蒙特卡洛方法以MATLAB为平台进行了误差分布仿真实验,得出了由于对中误差引起的机械臂末端定位误差分布特点,以及在不同对中误差等级下,机械臂末端定位误差概率分布情况。为对中误差修正提供了参考基础,同时为机械臂定位精度评价提供了定量化依据。     

一体化联合作战精确控制问题

文中主要对一体化联合作战中的精确控制内涵进行了阐述,然后分别从重要性和实现途径两个方面对作战时序的精确控制、作战空间的精确控制、作战目标的精确控制和作战信息环境的精确控制进行探讨。     

建筑工程消防安全管理改革的理论研究

以现代管理学的视角,运用系统论、信息论和控制论的基本原理,对建筑工程消防安全管理改革的理论基础进行了初步研究,分析了新时期建筑消防管理的特点和地位,提出了改革建筑消防管理模式的要点,讨论了建筑消防管理改革的实施,构筑了新的建筑消防管理模式的基本框架。     

消防部队联合作战组织与指挥

根据消防部队联合作战的特点,分析目前联合作战中存在的问题,提出联合作战的组织指挥原则,并从六个方面阐述了联合作战的组织指挥方法。     

构建辖区社会化消防工作格局的思考

分析消防工作社会化机制,研究消防行政主管部门职能效率,推动政府、政府工作部门和社会单位依法履行消防安全职责,对整体推进消防工作社会化进程具有重要的现实意义。分析了目前消防工作社会化的现状,提出加快推进消防工作社会化进程的具体措施。