现代营房建设管理评估模型研究

现代营房建设管理是一项复杂的系统工程,具有很强的不确定性,采用传统的评估方法很难满足评估实践需求。依据现行有关规定标准,在给出现代营房建设管理递阶结构图的基础上,构建出基于集对分析的评估模型,以便为建设单位和上级业务部门进行决策提供科学依据。     

努力提高新时期基层干部的管理素质

基层干部是基层的管理者,随着新军事变革的不断深入,对基层干部管理素质的要求将越来越高,只有紧扣基层实际情况,与时俱进,开拓创新,不断提高新时期基层干部的管理素质,才能抓住时代的脉搏,将基层管理工作推向一个更高的水平。     

编队对地攻击联合火力分配问题的Swt-opt算法

根据未来战争中编队对地攻击的特点,运用一致算法(consensus algorithm)的思想对Swt-opt算法进行改进,解决关于传感器-武器-目标的联合火力分配问题。改进算法继承了Swt-opt算法解决资源分配问题在通信、计算以及对战场态势的容错能力方面的优势,克服了Swt-opt算法受限于网络拓扑结构的缺点。最后,证明了改进算法的可行性,并运用Matlab对改进算法进行了仿真实现。     

模块化油料装备单元新型连接接头设计

模块化油料装备具有运用方式灵活、功能模块扩展能力强的优点,既能使油料装备的保障能力显著增强,又方便设计、制造、使用和维修,但各模块单元之间不易实现干式快速连接与分离。为实现油料装备模块单元快速连接、拆卸且无油料漏出,创新设计一种干式快速自封连接接头。该接头用于油料装备模块单元连接时,管路系统能自动接通;各模块单元分离时,管路系统能自动封闭,使各模块单元或组合体形成一个密封体,始终无漏油现象。该干式快速自封连接接头用于模块单元连接或分离,具有简便、快捷且无油料渗出等特点。     

新一代海军指挥信息系统体系架构

面向新一代海军指挥信息系统,结合海军指挥信息系统的使命,对海军指挥信息系统的发展现状及趋势进行了研究,分析了新一代海军指挥信息系统的发展需求,在此基础上提出了未来新一代海军指挥信息系统的建设构想,分析了系统的动态构建、人机一体以及平行指控等特点。     

Partial equilibrium in risk‐based production decisions

Characteristically, a small subset of operational problems admit risk neutrality when contingent claims methodology were used in their analysis. That is, for the majority of manufacturing and production problems, operating cash flows are not directly linked to prices of traded assets. However, to the extent that correlations can be estimated, the methodology's applicability to a broader set of operational problems is supported. Our article addresses this issue with the objective of extending the use of contingent claims techniques to a larger set of operational problems. In broad terms, this objective entails a partial equilibrium approach to the problem of valuing uncertain cash flows. To this end, we assume risk aversion and cast our approach within Merton's intertemporal capital asset pricing model. In this context, we formulate a “generic” production valuation model that is framed as an exercise in stochastic optimal control. The model is versatile in its characterization and can easily be adapted to accommodate a wide‐ranging set of risk‐based operational problems where the underlying sources of uncertainty are not traded. To obtain results, the model is recast as a stochastic dynamic program to be solved numerically. The article addresses a number of fundamental issues in the analysis risk based decision problems in operations. First, in the approach provided, decisions are analyzed under a properly defined risk structure. Second, the process of analysis leads to suitably adjusted probability distributions through which, appropriately discounted expectations are derived. Third, through consolidating existing concepts into a standard and adaptable framework, we extend the applicability of contingent claims methodology to a broader set of operational problems. The approach is advantageous as it obviates the need for exogenously specifying utility functions or discount rates.© 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

基于Multi-Agent技术的大型航天研发项目风险分析方法

大型航天研发项目对于社会经济发展和国防安全有着重要影响,是国家重大工程中一类较为特殊的项目,而风险分析是大型航天研发项目按计划、高质量、低成本完成的重要保障。通过分析大型航天研发项目的特点、风险因素以及管理过程,结合Multi-Agent以及分布式项目管理的理论和技术,研究和提出了一种新的基于Multi-Agent技术的大型航天研发项目风险分析方法,在此基础上针对具体项目进行了实验仿真,获取了项目的风险水平和关键风险因素,为航天研发项目风险管理与控制提供决策支持。     

浅谈成人高校后勤管理改革

当前成人高校的后勤存在的问题,决定必须对其进行改革,改革应遵循解放思想、实事求是的原则;因地、因校制宜的原则;坚持"三服务,两育人"的原则;维护学校稳定原则;集中统一、整体发展等原则.改革的根本途径在于后勤的社会化,其实质就是建立现代后勤制度.     

美军装备采办合同管理及其标准化

在我军武器装备建设逐渐"以计划为主要管理方式和手段"向"以合同为主要管理方式和手段"转变的背景下,装备采购合同管理的研究日趋深入。而装备采购合同"行政合同"的性质及合同标的物复杂性的特点,进一步凸显了标准化在保证装备采购合同规范性、降低不确定性、减少交易成本和提高工作效率中的重要作用。文章在对美军装备采办合同管理标准化特点与经验详细分析和提炼的基础上,对比我军装备采购合同管理体制及标准化现状,有针对性的提出了装备采购合同管理标准化建议,梳理了标准化重点,并为日后时机成熟时制定适用于装备采购合同管理的相关标准或指南,奠定了一定的研究基础。     

Comprehensive approaches,diverse coherences: the different levels of policy coherence in the Dutch 3D approach in Afghanistan

Since 2000, international organisations such as the UN, NATO and the EU, but also countries, have started to apply what has been called the comprehensive approach to crisis management. This article unpacks this comprehensive approach implemented by the Dutch in Uruzgan province, Afghanistan. It first borrows and expands a conceptual framework developed by De Coning and Friis. Subsequently, it maps the different sorts of coherence in the mission by applying the framework. It shows how in practice there was not one single comprehensive approach, but many different forms of interaction between a number of organisational units. Each interaction had its own distinct issues and its own level of coherence. The level of coherence differed depending on the level at which the interaction took place – strategic at headquarters level versus operational at field level – and at what point in the mission it happened – in most cases it moved towards more cohesion.