计数序贯抽样检验方案的OC函数和ASN

根据序贯概率比检验的理论,给出计数序贯抽样检验方案的设计原理,得到国家标准GB／T8051—2008中计数序贯抽样检验方案的OC函数和ASN的计算方法。     

基于可能性决策的敌对危机行动预测与仿真

可能性决策能较好地应对军事领域常常出现的概率难以获得,或者强调“出奇制胜”而有意规避概率风险的情形,是解决知识不完备情况下敌对行动预测的有力手段。从可能性理论基本公理体系出发,结合动态规划方法,提出并证明可能性决策的最优化定理,给出多步条件下可能性决策的实现算法,结合危机条件下敌对行动预测的范例和仿真分析,与传统概率风险决策进行比较,体现可能性决策的优越性,为该方法的推广应用创造条件。     

基于粒子群优化的模糊交通控制器设计

城市中存在着一些关键路口,其交通通畅与否会对周围路网的交通流起着很大的影响,这些路口需要优先保持通畅.针对此情况,设计了基于上下游交通信息的二级模糊交通控制器来对路网进行协调控制.在此基础上,提出了针对交通特性改进的粒子群优化算法（TIPSO）,并采用TIPSO对第一级模糊规则进行优化,实验结果表明TIPSO对模糊规则具有较好的优化效果,能够离线训练,获取到比人工设定的更优的模糊规则.     

Limiting behavior of the stochastic sequential assignment problem

The stochastic sequential assignment problem (SSAP) considers how to allocate available distinct workers to sequentially arriving tasks with stochastic parameters such that the expected total reward obtained from the sequential assignments is maximized. Implementing the optimal assignment policy for the SSAP involves calculating a new set of breakpoints upon the arrival of each task (i.e., for every time period), which is impractical for large‐scale problems. This article studies two problems that are concerned with obtaining stationary policies, which achieve the optimal expected reward per task as the number of tasks approaches infinity. The first problem considers independent and identically distributed (IID) tasks with a known distribution function, whereas in the second problem tasks are derived from r different unobservable distributions governed by an ergodic Markov chain. The convergence rate of the expected reward per task to the optimal value is also obtained for both problems. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

Coordination mechanisms for a three‐stage reverse supply chain to increase profitable returns

In this article, we consider a generic electronic product that can be remanufactured or recycled at the end of its life cycle to generate new profit. We first describe the product return process and then present a customer segmentation model to capture consumers' different behaviors with respect to product return so that the retailer can work more effectively to increase the return volume. In regard to the collaboration between the retailer and the manufacturer, we explore a revenue‐sharing coordination mechanism for achieving a win‐win outcome. The optimality and sensitivity of the critical parameters in four strategies are obtained and examined both theoretically and numerically, which generate insights on how to manage an efficient consumer‐retailer‐manufacturer reverse supply chain, as well as on the feasibility of simplifying such a three‐stage chain structure. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

导弹武器维修保障装备规模优化

维修保障装备是在信息化条件下的导弹武器保持良好技术状态的关键组成部分。首先阐述了维修保障装备的概念,对维修保障装备体系结构进行了描述;然后立足于系统动力学理论,建立了考虑攻防对抗的维修保障装备规模优化SD模型,深入开展了维修保障装备配置仿真分析,得出了一些有意义的结论,并验证了模型及方法的有效性。     

改进的粒子群神经网络在飞控中的应用

针对BP神经网络对初始值敏感、容易陷入局部寻优且收敛速度较慢,提出用粒子群对神经网络的参数进行优化,同时设计了衰减的指数函数对惯性权重进行动态调整以提高算法性能.并应用该算法对导弹飞控系统的逆误差进行补偿,仿真结果表明,该方法对逆误差进行了有效的补偿,避免了局部寻优并提高了学习效率.     

基于费效分析的地空导弹火力配系优化

为科学评价地空导弹火力配系方案,针对不同的地空导弹火力组成体系,采用费效分析方法,结合地空导弹操作使用,首先给出了地空导弹火力配系费效分析步骤,然后分别对火力配系的费用和效能进行了讨论,并建立了火力配系费效准则和综合费效比模型,最后通过区域反导实例验证了该方法的可行性.     

高重合度人字齿轮轮齿最佳修形优化设计

基于斜齿轮轮齿接触分析技术,建立了考虑人字齿轮典型安装误差的抛物线人字齿轮轮齿接触分析方法。综合考虑人字齿轮的传动误差与啮合特性,采用带精英策略的快速非支配排序遗传算法对高重合度人字齿轮的传动性能进行了多目标优化设计,该算法克服了优化结果的局部收敛,获得了人字齿轮最佳的齿廓、齿向抛物线修形参数。通过实例表明,修形优化后的齿面啮合印痕与传动误差较优化之前得到了明显的改善,有效地改善了高重合度人字齿轮的齿面偏载现象,降低了齿轮传动过程中的啮合冲击。对加工的人字齿轮在减振降噪试验台上进行带载试验,对比优化前后的噪音分贝值,进一步验证了该优化方法对人字齿轮副减振降噪具有一定作用。     

高超声速飞行器的弹道优化评估方法

高超声速飞行器弹道优化算法的综合评估对选取最优的弹道优化算法具有重要的参考意义。根据高超声速飞行器的特性,将其弹道分解为上升段、巡航段及俯冲段三个阶段,分别给出了各阶段的性能评价指标和对各阶段性能评价指标赋权的典型方法,并结合灰色关联度分析理论提出了弹道优化算法的综合评估方法。评估实例表明,该方法能定量地对多种弹道优化方法所生成的弹道进行综合性能评估,并能对备选优化方法的优劣进行排序。