Choosing arrival process models for service systems: Tests of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process

Service systems such as call centers and hospital emergency rooms typically have strongly time‐varying arrival rates. Thus, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) is a natural model for the arrival process in a queueing model for performance analysis. Nevertheless, it is important to perform statistical tests with service system data to confirm that an NHPP is actually appropriate, as emphasized by Brown et al. [8]. They suggested a specific statistical test based on the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) statistic after exploiting the conditional‐uniform (CU) property to transform the NHPP into a sequence of i.i.d. random variables uniformly distributed on [0,1] and then performing a logarithmic transformation of the data. We investigate why it is important to perform the final data transformation and consider what form it should take. We conduct extensive simulation experiments to study the power of these alternative statistical tests. We conclude that the general approach of Brown et al. [8] is excellent, but that an alternative data transformation proposed by Lewis [22], drawing upon Durbin [10], produces a test of an NHPP test with consistently greater power. We also conclude that the KS test after the CU transformation, without any additional data transformation, tends to be best to test against alternative hypotheses that primarily differ from an NHPP only through stochastic and time dependence. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 66–90, 2014     

Some aging properties of parallel and series systems with a random number of components

In this article, we study aging properties of parallel and series systems with a random number of components. We show that the decreasing likelihood ratio property is closed under the formation of random minima. We also show, by counterexamples, that other aging properties are not closed under the formation of random minima or maxima. Some mistakes in the literature are corrected. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 238–243, 2014     

Some comparisons of residual life of coherent systems with exchangeable components

Most of the research, on the study of the reliability properties of technical systems, assume that the components of the system operate independently. However, in real life situation, it is more reasonable to assume that there is dependency among the components of the system. In this article, we give sufficient conditions based on the signature and the joint distribution of component lifetimes to obtain stochastic ordering results for coherent and mixed systems with exchangeable components. Some stochastic orders on dynamic (or conditional) signature of coherent systems are also provided. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 549–556, 2014     

强激光在超音速射流剪切层中传播的数值研究

以波长10 6μm、半径0 1m、强度166W的高功率CO2激光束穿过二维超音速自由射流剪切层流场为计算模型,研究了由于强激光束辐射加热对流场的干扰以及激光束穿过超音速射流剪切层后远场光强分布的变化。结果表明:在不同的马赫数下超音速射流剪切层流场对激光束远场强度分布影响明显不同,流场密度分布的微小变化都会使光束远场强度分布产生显见的不同;对于透过超音速射流流场的非聚焦的强激光束,由强激光束所产生的辐射加热对流场所造成的干扰可以忽略。     

Warranty costs: An age‐dependent failure/repair model

An age‐dependent repair model is proposed. The notion of the “calendar age” of the product and the degree of repair are used to define the virtual age of the product. The virtual failure rate function and the virtual hazard function related to the lifetime of the product are discussed. Under a nonhomogeneous Poisson process scenario the expected warranty costs for repairable products associated with linear pro‐rata, nonrenewing free replacement and renewing free replacement warranties are evaluated. Illustration of the results is given by numerical and graphical examples. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

A general approach to the shape of failure rate and MRL functions

Failure rate and mean residual life are two important characteristics for studying reliability of products. In literature, some work studied the shape of failure rate function based on the knowledge of the associated probability density function; some other work investigated the shape of mean residual life function based on the shape of the associated failure rate function separately for continuous case and discrete case. In this article, a general approach is developed which can be applied to the aforementioned studies. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

基于能量度量的星载AIS信号自适应码元同步抽取算法

基带信号码元同步抽取是目前星载AIS(Automatic Identification System)信号处理中的一个难点问题,针对过零检测和迟门早门等现有算法存在的不足,提出了基于能量度量的基带信号自适应码元同步抽取算法。将基带信号根据采样率和码速率的比值分割成相同的段的组合,之后分别计算每个段内相应样点的能量度量,最后选择使能量度量最大时的样点集作为最优同步抽取样点,该样点集具有最大信噪比。仿真结果验证了该算法误码率优于过零检测和迟门早门算法。     

带暗支撑型钢高强混凝土中高剪力墙抗震性能试验

为进一步了解带暗支撑剪力墙的抗震性能,用4片剪跨比为1.8,边缘构件配筋率相同,暗支撑形式不同的型钢高强混凝土剪力墙做试验,讨论不同暗支撑形式型钢高强混凝土中高剪力墙的抗震性能。试验结果表明,采用带暗支撑的型钢高强混凝土中高剪力墙在承载能力和延性上都优于一般的型钢高强混凝土中高剪力墙,给出的试验分析结果和建议可供工程设计参考。     

切向空气气流对激光辐照碳纤维复合材料的影响

实验研究了靶材表面存在和不存在切向空气气流时,975nm连续激光对碳纤维增强树脂基复合材料的辐照效应,发现切向气流的加载有利于激光对碳纤维复合材料的破坏.从理论上对激光辐照下碳纤维复合材料的破坏机理进行了初步分析,基于碳的氧化特性和氧化反应机理,推导了碳纤维的氧化速率方程.采用改进的光滑粒子方法,对激光辐照下复合材料树...     

如何估计软件的MTBF

软件剩余初始故障个数No、平均无故障时间MTBF、故障暴露率λ和软件运行的成功率θ等是衡量软件可靠性的重要参数.其中对高可靠性软件(包括军用软件等)MTBF是最重要的.传统的MTBF计算方法有2种一是计算发生故障的平均时间间隔二是通过软件可靠性模型进行估计.前者代价较大,后者不太准确.本文从软件的失败率入手研究软件的MTBF,这是一个比较贴近实际的方法.