我国舰船配套动员能力现状、问题与对策 ——基于供应链视角的研究

舰船配套动员能力是现代化条件下海上作战能力的重要基础和根本保障。从供应链视角看,我国舰船配套动员能力仍存在诸多不足,亟待提升。本文对我国舰船配套动员能力现状进行初步评价,重点分析当前我国舰船配套动员面临的若干突出问题,如产业集中度较低、部分关键零部件可替代性差、服务保障体系不完善、供应链体系整体安全缺乏有效保障等,结合我国船舶工业发展现状,提出提升舰船配套动员能力的方向与策略,如系统提升动员供给能力、逐步实现全面自主可控、切实保障动员快速响应、着力抓好民船改装征用、有效扩展社会动员基础、确保战时生产正常稳定、健全维修服务保障体系等,并给出完善舰船配套动员工作机制、强化舰船配套动员能力建设、提高舰船配套供应链管理水平、加强舰船配套动员人才培养等相关政策建议。     

Numerical modelling of non-ideal detonation in ANFO explosives applying Wood-Kirkwood theory coupled with EXPLO5 thermochemical code

Ammonium nitrate and fuel oil (ANFO) based explosive is a classic example of non-ideal high explosives. Its detonation is characterized by a strong dependence of detonation parameters on explosive charge diameter, presence and characteristics of confinement, as well as incomplete consumption of explosive at the sonic point.In this work we propose a detonation model based on the Wood-Kirkwood (WK) theory coupled with the thermochemical code EXPLO5 and supplemented with reaction rate models. Our objective is to analyze the validity of the model for highly non-ideal ANFO explosives, with emphasis on effect of reaction rate models.It was found that both single-step and two-step pressure-based models can be calibrated to reproduce experimental detonation velocity-charge radius data of ANFO at radii significantly above the failure radius (i.e. for D/D_id > ∼0.6). Single-step pressure-based model, with the pressure exponent equal to 1.4, proved to be the most accurate, even in the vicinity of the failure radius. The impact of the rate models is most evident on temporal (and spatial) distribution of flow parameters in detonation driving zone, especially when it comes to the conversion and width of detonation driving zone.     

Reaction degree of composition B explosive with multi-layered compound structure protection subjected to detonation loading

The explosive reaction degree and protection from explosions are concerns in the military field.In this work,the reaction degree of the composition B explosive was investigated experimentally.Multi-layered compound structures were used as barriers to weaken the blast loads.A comprehensive experiment using a high-speed camera and image processing techniques,side witness plates,and bottom witness plates was presented.Using the experimental fragment velocities,fragment piercing patterns,and damage characteristics,the reaction degree of the explosive impeded by different multi-layered com-pound structures could be precisely differentiated.Reaction parameters of the explosive obstructed by compound structures were obtained by theoretical analysis and numerical simulations.Unlike the common method in which the explosive reaction degree is only distinguished based on the initial pressure amplitude transmitted into the explosive,a following shock wave reflected from the side steel casing was also considered.Different detonation growth paths in the explosive formed.Therefore,all these shock wave propagation characteristics must be considered to analyze the explosive response impeded by compound structures.     

Transverse relaxation characteristic and stress relaxation model considering molecular chains of HTPB coating based on pre-strained thermal aging

In order to accurately describe the transverse relaxation characteristic and stress relaxation modulus of HTPB coating during pre-strain thermal aging process, a one month thermal aging test was carried out at 70 C with pre-strain of 0％, 3％, 6％ and 9％, respectively. The low-field 1H NMR and stress relaxation modulus tests were carried out for HTPB coating at different aging stages. The stress relaxation model considering the molecular chains was proposed according to the changes of crosslinking chain and dangling chain of HTPB coating during pre-strain aging. The results showed that with the increase of aging time, the decay rate of transverse relaxation curve became faster, the transverse relaxation time decreased, the value of combined parameter qMrl increased, the proportion of crosslinking chain decreased, while the proportion of dangling chain increased. Moreover, the stress relaxation modulus increased, the crosslinking network structure of HTPB coating became denser and the degree of cross-linking increased. At the initial aging stage, the pre-strain will destroy the crosslinking network structure of HTPB coating to a certain extent. With the increase of aging time, the effect of pre-strain will gradually weaken and the influence of aging on materials will gradually increase. The correlations between the stress relaxation model considering the molecular chains and the test results were more than 0.9950, which can accurately describe the stress relaxation modulus of HTPB coating during the pre-strain thermal aging process.     

多传感器多机动目标跟踪方法研究进展

讨论了多传感器多机动目标的研究现状,分析了几种跟踪滤波器的性能,着重探讨了交互多模型(IMM)算法的发展状况和应用。同时还研究了多传感器跟踪多机动目标过程中的数据关联方法。最后指出,寻求采用自适应变结构的IMM算法,研究模型切换过程中算法的过渡性能,以及在数据关联中引入混沌、遗传算法等智能控制方法,将是未来多传感器多机动目标研究的方向。     

空气动力和姿控发动机推力复合控制的弹体数学模型建立

建立了空气动力和姿控发动机推力复合控制弹体的数学模型,为理论弹道和控制弹道的计算提供了参考;同时采用小扰动法推导了俯仰通道和滚动通道的简化模型,为空气动力和姿控发动机推力复合控制系统进行初步设计提供了依据。     

激光防空武器系统作战效能研究

激光防空武器系统是一种新型的高技术多指标综合武器系统,其作战效能评估即是研究新型武器系统装备的主要依据,又是一件十分艰难的任务。依据WSEIAC提出的效能分析模型,建立了激光防空武器系统的ADC模型,对激光防空武器系统的作战效能作了研究,对其他武器的效能分析具有示范和借鉴作用。     

浅谈舰载燃料空气炸药武器抗击巡航导弹

通过对FAE武器的特种杀伤效果和对巡航导弹相关技战术性能分析,利用FAE武器(云爆弹)的爆轰、冲击波、破片、窒息和电磁电热效应等特种杀伤效果,剧烈改变导弹的工作环境和对巡航导弹的弹体、导引系统、控制系统和发动机等关键部件进行“软”、“硬”破坏,以期达到抗击巡航导弹的目的,同时阐述了装备水面舰艇的可行性。     

装备采购多目标激励模型研究

在将质量货币化从而实现激励目标测度统一的基础上,根据委托代理理论建立了委托人风险中性,代理人风险规避时的多目标激励数学模型,给出了激励系数的表达式,对激励系数与随机变量相关系数之间的关系进行了讨论。