THE REGIONAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF MILITARY BASE REALIGNMENTS AND CLOSURES IN GERMANY

We identify the causal effect of a reduction in military personnel on a number of socioeconomic indicators within the peripheries of military bases. The base realignments and closures in Germany are used as an exogenous source of variation that allows us to identify the effect of a demand shock on household income, output, unemployment, and tax revenue within a specified buffer zone around each base. The analysis covers 298 communities for the period 2003–2007. Consistent with evidence found elsewhere, we find that these base adjustments have only a marginal impact on the local community in which the bases are located.     

Defence expenditures and economic growth: The externality effect

In a series of articles published in the Fall 1990 issue of Defence Economics Alexander (1990), Atesoglu and Mueller (1990) and Huang and Mintz (1990) have all specified and empirically estimated defence‐growth models based on a neoclassical production function. We now isolate the externality component in our model, re‐estimate its coefficients using data on the U.S. economy 1952–88 and compare specifications and results with Atesoglu and Mueller (1990) and Alexander (1990).     

Two novel critical shock models based on Markov renewal processes

In this paper, we investigate systems subject to random shocks that are classified into critical and noncritical categories, and develop two novel critical shock models. Classical extreme shock models and run shock models are special cases of our developed models. The system fails when the total number of critical shocks reaches a predetermined threshold, or when the system stays in an environment that induces critical shocks for a preset threshold time, corresponding to failure mechanisms of the developed two critical shock models respectively. Markov renewal processes are employed to capture the magnitude and interarrival time dependency of environment-induced shocks. Explicit formulas for systems under the two critical shock models are derived, including the reliability function, the mean time to failure and so on. Furthermore, the two critical shock models are extended to the random threshold case and the integrated case where formulas of the reliability indexes of the systems are provided. Finally, a case study of a lithium-ion battery system is conducted to illustrate the proposed models and the obtained results.     

高g值加速度计动态校准的实现方法

针对高g值加速度计动态校准要求激励信号的频率大于加速度计谐振频率的需要,采用小型Hopkinson杆和激光干涉仪构成动态校准系统,对某型高g值加速度传感器进行了校准实验。结果表明:该系统能产生脉宽10滋s以下的窄脉冲加速度激励信号,对一阶谐振频率大于100 k Hz的高g值加速度计可以实现动态校准。     

基于数值模拟的弹药地面库整库燃爆冲击波毁伤风险评估

弹药燃爆事故是我军后方仓库安全管理工作防护的重点,对弹药燃爆事故危害度进行评估,是武器装备安全风险评估体系的重要组成部分.选取地面库整库弹药燃爆事故为研究对象,应用AUTODYN计算程序,建立了弹药地面库的三维空间有限元仿真模型,并对弹药地面库整库爆炸的冲击波传播过程进行了数值模拟,得到了在冲击波不同毁伤等级下人员、建筑物的毁伤区域,为燃爆事故危害度风险评估提供了数据支持.     

馈能型悬挂综合性能评价研究

以提高车辆馈能型悬挂综合性能评价的有效性为目的,在分析悬挂减振性能评价和馈能型悬挂能耗特性的基础上,提出了一种考虑乘坐舒适性、操纵稳定性以及悬挂能耗的馈能型悬挂综合性能评价指标和方法。分别以线性和非线性悬挂为研究对象,对其性能进行了综合评价实例分析,验证了该评价指标和方法的有效性。     

正弦波对无线电引信耦合通道及作用机理

现代战场复杂电磁环境严重威胁无线电引信战技性能的发挥.为了提出复杂电磁环境中降低无线电引信意外发火概率的防护对策,在简要介绍了实验装置与方法的基础上,研究了无线电引信的等幅正弦波辐照效应.确定了天线及弹体是造成引信意外发火的主要能量耦合通道,引信意外发火及作用机理是:引信天线及弹体接收正弦波信号,使引信高频电路工作状态发生变化,引信检波电压波动,最终导致引信意外发火.     

陆军信息对抗行动效果评估研究

信息对抗行动是陆军作战的重要行动之一,对陆军作战进程和结局影响重大。通过对信息进攻、信息防御和信息保障等主要内容的定性与定量分析,建立评估指标体系、评估数学模型,得出综合评估结果,为指挥员和指挥机关筹划后续行动提供可靠依据,使效果评估工作更加合理准确。     

爆炸冲击作用下加筋板结构变形研究

为了预报加筋板结构在爆炸冲击载荷作用下的变形程度,将加筋板的变形分为整体变形和局部变形,借助数值计算拟合了两者能量分配关系,进而提出了爆炸冲击作用下加筋板结构变形的理论计算方法,并与实验结果进行比较,结果吻合较好。