后方油库整体生存概率分析计算

针对我军后方油库特点,探讨了油库整体生存概率计算的基本思路和方法,分析了各类分项目标生存概率的计算方法,采用层次分析对后方油库各分项目标权值进行了详细分析计算,可为后方油库伪装防护效能评估提供依据。     

Effectiveness of (R,Q) policies in one‐warehouse multiretailer systems with deterministic demand and backlogging

Consider a distribution system with a central warehouse and multiple retailers. Customer demand arrives at each of the retailers continuously at a constant rate. The retailers replenish their inventories from the warehouse which in turn orders from an outside supplier with unlimited stock. There are economies of scale in replenishing the inventories at both the warehouse and the retail level. Stockouts at the retailers are backlogged. The system incurs holding and backorder costs. The objective is to minimize the long‐run average total cost in the system. This paper studies the cost effectiveness of (R, Q) policies in the above system. Under an (R, Q) policy, each facility orders a fixed quantity Q from its supplier every time its inventory position reaches a reorder point R. It is shown that (R, Q) policies are at least 76% effective. Numerical examples are provided to further illustrate the cost effectiveness of (R, Q) policies. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 422–439, 2000     

Optimal policies for M/M/m queue with two different kinds of (N,T)‐policies

In this paper, two different kinds of (N, T)‐policies for an M/M/m queueing system are studied. The system operates only intermittently and is shut down when no customers are present any more. A fixed setup cost of K > 0 is incurred each time the system is reopened. Also, a holding cost of h > 0 per unit time is incurred for each customer present. The two (N, T)‐policies studied for this queueing system with cost structures are as follows: (1) The system is reactivated as soon as N customers are present or the waiting time of the leading customer reaches a predefined time T, and (2) the system is reactivated as soon as N customers are present or the time units after the end of the last busy period reaches a predefined time T. The equations satisfied by the optimal policy (N*, T*) for minimizing the long‐run average cost per unit time in both cases are obtained. Particularly, we obtain the explicit optimal joint policy (N*, T*) and optimal objective value for the case of a single server, the explicit optimal policy N* and optimal objective value for the case of multiple servers when only predefined customers number N is measured, and the explicit optimal policy T* and optimal objective value for the case of multiple servers when only predefined time units T is measured, respectively. These results partly extend (1) the classic N or T policy to a more practical (N, T)‐policy and (2) the conclusions obtained for single server system to a system consisting of m (m ≥ 1) servers. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 240–258, 2000     

高精度分数时延滤波器设计的边界拟合Remez算法

在卫星星间测距模拟信号仿真及实际测试中,为提高测距模拟信号精度和系统可用带宽,提出基于边界拟合Remez算法的高精度分数时延滤波器的设计算法。该算法利用Farrow结构的多项式近似思想,采用多项式拟合Remez算法设计滤波器的冲激响应边界系数,通过多相分解实现分数时延滤波器组。该算法改善了当设计的滤波器阶数较高时冲激响应边界的不连续现象,进而降低了群时延误差,提高了精度。仿真结果表明,该算法设计的滤波器的分数时延精度得到了提高,同时系统可用带宽提高近一倍,实现时需使用的乘法器数目也有明显降低。     

基于预防性维修工作组合的维修等级优化研究

针对单部件的维修间隔期无法反映系统的维修最佳间隔期这一问题,对装备各部件在各修理级别上的预防性维修任务组合情况进行了探索。通过建立费用模型作为决策模型,用以组合某一修理级别各部件的维修工作,得出系统预防性维修间隔期,并结合部队实际从系统的角度优化等级维修中的维修工作间隔期,为确定大、中、小修工作提供科学、合理的理论指导。该算法在区分各修理级别的维修能力的基础上,能较好地对各修理级别的维修工作组合情况进行了优化。实例验证了模型的实用性和有效性。     

基于不确定性理论的研制技术风险评估方法研究

分析了装备研制技术风险的含义,根据技术风险的特点建立了评价技术风险的指标体系。在技术风险度量中引入不确定性理论的概念,并建立了基于不确定性的技术风险的度量方法,对综合技术风险进行评价。最后通过实例验证了综合评价方法的可用性。     

临近空间飞行器等离子体鞘套的太赫兹波穿透特性

临近空间高超声速飞行器再入过程中会产生等离子体鞘套,干扰电磁波对飞行器的探测.针对这一问题,对典型临近空间飞行器模型进行建模,模拟其再入过程中不同飞行工况下的流场分布.基于流场分布对等离子体参数分布进行建模,利用散射矩阵方法从理论上对太赫兹波在等离子体鞘套中的传输特性进行计算.计算结果表明高频太赫兹波能够有效穿透等离子...     

陆军诸兵种合同作战兰切斯特方程的弹药消耗预测研究

描述了诸兵种合同作战的兰切斯特方程及其矩阵解,提出了一种通过兵力损耗换算弹药损耗的新思路,分析和确定了用该方法预测弹药消耗的相关参数,最后运用Matlab进行仿真计算,预测出了武器装备战损情况和弹药消耗情况。     

群体性事件中的思想工作策略研究

在群体性事件发生后,思想工作具有重要的阻断冲突升级的功能。要阻断群体性事件的升级,就要着眼于从警示教育、心理干预、思想沟通、信息调控等方面来建设阻断群体性事件升级的思想工作应对机制。