Some new results on the preservation of the NBUE and NWUE aging classes under the formation of coherent systems

We consider the classical problem of whether certain classes of lifetime distributions are preserved under the formation of coherent systems. Under the assumption of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) component lifetimes, we consider the NBUE (new better than used in expectation) and NWUE (new worse than used in expectation) classes. First, a necessary condition for a coherent system to preserve the NBUE class is given. Sufficient conditions are then obtained for systems satisfying this necessary condition. The sufficient conditions are satisfied for a collection of systems which includes all parallel systems, but the collection is shown to be strictly larger. We also prove that no coherent system preserves the NWUE class. As byproducts of our study, we obtain the following results for the case of i.i.d. component lifetimes: (a) the DFR (decreasing failure rate) class is preserved by no coherent systems other than series systems, and (b) the IMRL (increasing mean residual life) class is not preserved by any coherent systems. Generalizations to the case of dependent component lifetimes are briefly discussed.     

Pairwise model discrimination with applications in lifetime distributions and degradation processes

Reliability data obtained from life tests and degradation tests have been extensively used for purposes such as estimating product reliability and predicting warranty costs. When there is more than one candidate model, an important task is to discriminate between the models. In the literature, the model discrimination was often treated as a hypothesis test and a pairwise model discrimination procedure was carried out. Because the null distribution of the test statistic is unavailable in most cases, the large sample approximation and the bootstrap were frequently used to find the acceptance region of the test. Although these two methods are asymptotically accurate, their performance in terms of size and power is not satisfactory in small sample size. To enhance the small‐sample performance, we propose a new method to approximate the null distribution, which builds on the idea of generalized pivots. Conventionally, the generalized pivots were often used for interval estimation of a certain parameter or function of parameters in presence of nuisance parameters. In this study, we further extend the idea of generalized pivots to find the acceptance region of the model discrimination test. Through extensive simulations, we show that the proposed method performs better than the existing methods in discriminating between two lifetime distributions or two degradation models over a wide range of sample sizes. Two real examples are used to illustrate the proposed methods.     

Parametric study of single confined fragment launch explosive device

In this article, parametric study of single confined fragment launch device was carried out. The configuration proposed was further studied to derive the empirical relationship for effect of fragment size, charge size, confinement thickness on fragment velocity. The simulations were carried out using ANSYS-AUTODYNE explicit solver. Fragment velocities were estimated as a function of different parametric combinations of explosive quantities, charge length to diameter ratio, fragment height to diameter ratio, confinement thickness, fragment material and fragment mass. The data was further converted to charge to metal ratio under fragment and confinement. It was observed that, increase in confinement thickness, charge quantity and decrease in fragment height increases the fragment velocity. It is also noted that, charge to metal mass ratio under fragment significantly affects the fragment velocity. At the end, an empirical relationship for fragment velocity interms of all these parameters was established. Using these relations, two velocities 1831.92 m/s and 2523.9 m/s required for NATO STANAG 4496 IM test were estimated. The design parameters for these velocities are presented. Also, the results estimated using the empirical relationship has been compared with published experimental data. Error in the predicted velocities is within the acceptable range. The empirical relationship proposed will be useful for finalization of design of the fragment launch device.     

火箭-双燃烧室冲压组合循环发动机概念研究

临近空间高超声速飞行器近年来获得了广泛关注,本文提出一种以基于火箭发动机和双燃烧室冲压发动机的多模态火箭-双燃烧室冲压组合循环发动机作为飞行器的动力系统,并进行了性能分析研究。该飞行器在海拔10 km左右高度以0.8马赫的速度投放,在重力和发动机推力的联合作用下,能够在海拔5～8 km处加速到2马赫;然后加速爬升进入临近空间,发动机工作在引射亚燃或者双燃烧室亚燃模态下。可以根据实际选择高推重比、较低推进剂比冲效率的引射亚燃模态,或是较低推重比、高推进剂比冲效率的双燃烧室亚燃模态。最终飞行器加速到6马赫(26 km),进入双燃室超燃模态。针对空中发射模式和地面发射模式进行了轨道优化,仿真结果表明:在加速爬升到6马赫(26 km)的过程中,空中发射模式相比较地面发射模式可以节省37%的推进剂;空中发射模式存在一个负的最优初始飞行角度使得剩余质量与初始质量的比值达到最大。     

利用RLC电路合成高压方波脉冲

基于过阻尼RLC电路分时放电,提出了一种新型高压方波脉冲产生方法。理论分析表明过阻尼RLC电路产生的双指数电压波与PFL产生的方形电压波具有类似的上升沿和平顶。电路模拟表明通过人工过零技术可以对双指数电压波进行截尾,从而形成完整的高压方波脉冲。建立了原理验证性样机,由两组RLC电路构成,每组电路包含一台400 nF脉冲电容器和一只三电极场畸变气体开关,两组电路共用一个上升沿调节电感。实验证明样机可以在250 Ω电阻负载上输出幅值17 kV,平顶宽度330 ns~5.8 μs,上升沿100~ 350 ns 的单极性高压方波脉冲。该方法适应性强,对负载变化不敏感,同时具有良好的可调节性,方波上升沿、平顶宽度连续独立可调。     

重塑军队作战力量体系的几点思考

作战力量体系是一个国家军事力量体系的核心组成部分。近些年通过深化国防和军队改革,我军军事力量体系宏观上发生了脱胎换骨的变化,接下来到了对作战力量体系进行重塑的攻坚阶段,本文结合当前作战力量体系发展的一些特点和建设存在的短板,提出了重塑我军作战力量体系的决策建议。      

某型导发架通用测试系统软件复用性设计

测试软件的复用性是摆在测试界面前亟待解决的重要问题。运用统一建模语言(Unified Modeling Language,UML)对测试软件进行建模,包括:测试系统的类图、软件功能分解、功能子系统的上下文模型、测试软件需求特征树以及软件功能子系统的顺序交互视图。在Visual C++6.0环境中,采用"应用程序框架+可复用构件"开发方式,实现了基于可复用构件的某型导发架测试系统应用软件组装,成功解决了导发架测试领域内同一系列产品间测试软件的可复用问题。     

复杂系统的MTTR建模研究

现代武器系统的结构越来越复杂,在进行系统修复前,系统往往发生多个故障的情况,致使原来的维修性模型不能完全地反映系统的维修性水平。针对多重故障的维修,推导出一种能反映这种情况下的维修性预计的平均修复时间(MTTR)数学模型。模型中的一次维修事件由原来的只进行单一故障维修扩展到可以对多个不同故障进行维修的情况,更好地反映了复杂系统的实际维修情况。通过实例验证了该模型能实际地反映出复杂系统的维修性情况,从而更加准确地预计出系统的维修性水平。     

基于SD方法的作战指挥决策系统效能分析模型

指挥决策系统是一个非线性的复杂系统,用一般的解析方法难以对其进行效能评估。在分析指挥决策系统构成的基础上,根据指挥决策的4个要素,建立了指挥决策系统的评估指标体系;综合考虑战术和技术指标,从指挥员影响度,指挥机关影响度,指挥信息系统影响度和决策信息影响度4个方面建立了指挥决策系统效能分析模型,前两项指标可以采用层次分析法等方法确定其效能值,后两项指标利用系统动力学方法,结合实际作战的具体战术指标建模,实现了效能值的动态评估分析。     

基于动态行为监测的木马检测系统设计

首先介绍了特洛伊木马的基本概念及常用的木马检测方法,然后在分析传统的基于静态特征的木马检测技术缺点的基础上,结合基于动态行为监测的木马检测思想,研究以木马植入、隐蔽和恶意操作所需资源的控制和动态可疑行为监测相结合的隐藏木马检测技术,并提出了基于动态行为监测的木马检测系统的基本框架,给出了动态行为监测的相关策略和可疑行为的分析与判定的方法。