民族区域自治地区推进信息化和发展信息产业的战略思考

信息技术已经成为当今世界经济与社会发展的主要驱动力,信息产业也已经成为新世纪具有强劲发展实力的经济增长点.民族区域自治地区实施西部大开发战略,实现超越式发展,加快现代化建设的步伐,提高国民经济发展的质量与素质,必须重视对信息化推进和信息产业发展的依靠.但民族区域自治地区推进信息化和发展信息产业的基础条件较差,发展速度亟待进一步加快,发展层次亟待进一步提升,因此,必须要有超常规的强有力措施来推进,需要作为"一号工程"来实施.     

制备工艺对弧焊成形件性能影响研究进展

阐述了弧焊工艺参数、搭接量、层间冷却时间、焊接路径规划以及激光-弧焊复合焊接工艺对成形件组织性能(残余应力、温度场、组织、硬度、抗拉强度)影响的研究现状,总结了尺寸与性能控制一体化快速制造、尺寸控制和表面改性复合快速制造、基于机械加工特征的性能控制等研究新进展,最后指出未来性能控制研究应在性能控制建模、几何尺寸与表面性能控制的顶层设计、弧焊快速制造与纳米表面工程的复合运用等方面加以重视。     

Defence industrial policy – a sound security strategy or an economic fallacy?

This article explores whether it makes sense for national governments to employ defence industrial policies – such as offsets and discriminatory procurement practices – to support their domestic defence industries. This question has so far primarily been discussed by economists, who have argued strongly against the use of defence industrial policies. This article maintains that these economists fail to address the often complex motivation behind the introduction of these policies. It illustrates these shortcomings by contrasting their arguments against a case study of Norway, which accounts for the country’s use of defence industrial polices from the early post-Second World War era up until today. The article concludes that, depending on their objectives, defence industrial policies can be seen as either a sound security strategy or an economic fallacy.     

我国消防产业现状分析及对策建议

我国消防产业经过几十年的发展,在企业规模、市场开发、技术水平、规范管理、政策调控、中介组织等方面都有了很大发展,但也存在许多不足,与社会经济发展需要和国际竞争局势不相适应,必须整体谋划,寻求新的发展。     

The effects of customer rebates and retailer incentives on a manufacturer's profits and sales

In some industries such as automotive, production costs are largely fixed and therefore maximizing revenue is the main objective. Manufacturers use promotions directed to the end customers and/or retailers in their distribution channels to increase sales and market share. We study a game theoretical model to examine the impact of “retailer incentive” and “customer rebate” promotions on the manufacturer's pricing and the retailer's ordering/sales decisions. The main tradeoff is that customer rebates are given to every customer, while the use of retailer incentives is controlled by the retailer. We consider several models with different demand characteristics and information asymmetry between the manufacturer and a price discriminating retailer, and we determine which promotion would benefit the manufacturer under which market conditions. When demand is deterministic, we find that retailer incentives increase the manufacturer's profits (and sales) while customer rebates do not unless they lead to market expansion. When the uncertainty in demand (“market potential”) is high, a customer rebate can be more profitable than the retailer incentive for the manufacturer. With numerical examples, we provide additional insights on the profit gains by the right choice of promotion.© 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

A general strategic capacity planning model under demand uncertainty

Capacity planning decisions affect a significant portion of future revenue. In equipment intensive industries, these decisions usually need to be made in the presence of both highly volatile demand and long capacity installation lead times. For a multiple product case, we present a continuous‐time capacity planning model that addresses problems of realistic size and complexity found in current practice. Each product requires specific operations that can be performed by one or more tool groups. We consider a number of capacity allocation policies. We allow tool retirements in addition to purchases because the stochastic demand forecast for each product can be decreasing. We present a cluster‐based heuristic algorithm that can incorporate both variance reduction techniques from the simulation literature and the principles of a generalized maximum flow algorithm from the network optimization literature. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

从吉化双苯厂爆炸事故处置解读化工火灾扑救对策

吉化双苯厂“11.13”爆炸火灾事故是一起典型的化工类火灾事故,造成了严重的财产损失和人员伤亡。这起火灾爆炸事故具有爆炸、燃烧速度快、立体式燃烧、过火面积大、危害性大等特点,总结了这起事故处置经验,给出了准确判断,科学决策;快攻近战;统一指挥,协同作战;多种措施相结合;冷却防爆,堵截蔓延;隐蔽抵近,适时出击等处置化工类火灾的对策。     

我国石油化工消防安全对策研究

随着我国石油天然气生产、消费比重的不断增大,与之相应的消防安全隐患也有增大的趋势。为此,应加强生产安全规章制度的建立和落实,加大消防硬件的建设和合理化部署,加大监管措施和力度,最大限度减少石油化工行业的灾害,为石油天然气的战略调整提供安全保障。     

基于层次聚类法的化工装置火灾爆炸灾害事故模式分析

化工装置灾害事故模式的研究,有益于从源头上做好灾害事故的预防工作。在介绍传统事故模式分析方法的基础上,提出了基于层次聚类法的化工装置火灾爆炸灾害事故模式分析方法,并对近20年100起相关灾害事故案例进行了模式分析研究。     

Capable Companies or Changing Markets? Explaining the Export Performance of Firms in the Defence Industry

The paper presents an analysis of the factors explaining the export performance of firms in the defence sector. We focus on the case of Norway, and make use of two complementary methodologies: the first is based on econometric firm-level data analysis for the whole population of defence companies, and the second is based on qualitative case study research on the three most important defence export products (weapon stations, ammunition and electronics). Our empirical results highlight the importance of four major success factors for exporting firms: (1) the participation in offset agreements; (2) the ability to focus on their set of core competencies; (3) their R&D activities and interactions with the public S&T system; and (4) demand opportunities and, relatedly, user-producer interactions.