Cooperative interception with fast multiple model adaptive estimation

For the case that two pursuers intercept an evasive target, the cooperative strategies and state estimation methods taken by pursuers can seriously affect the guidance accuracy for the target, which performs a bang For the case that two pursuers intercept an evasive target, the cooperative strategies and state estimation methods taken by pursuers can seriously affect the guidance accuracy for the target, which performs a bang-bang evasive maneuver with a random switching time. Combined Fast multiple model adaptive estimation (Fast MMAE) algorithm, the cooperative guidance law takes detection configuration affecting the accuracy of interception into consideration. Introduced the detection error model related to the line-of-sight (LOS) separation angle of two interceptors, an optimal cooperative guidance law solving the optimization problem is designed to modulate the LOS separation angle to reduce the estimation error and improve the interception performance. Due to the uncertainty of the target bang-bang maneuver switching time and the effective fitting of its multi-modal motion, Fast MMAE is introduced to identify its maneuver switching time and estimate the acceleration of the target to track and intercept the target accurately. The designed cooperative optimal guidance law with Fast MMAE has better estimation ability and interception performance than the traditional guidance law and estimation method via Monte Carlo simulation.     

非合作双基地雷达系统中的互相关检测与时差估计技术

介绍了非合作双基地雷达的基本几何关系与信号能量关系,讨论了利用互相关检测技术提取噪声背景中直达波与目标散射回波的时差信息的具体方法,仿真实验模拟了噪声背景中直达波与目标散射回波的互相关检测与时差估计的过程,蒙特.卡罗仿真分析了信噪比、信号脉宽和相关脉冲数对互相关时差估计性能的影响。     

Bounding the optimal burn‐in time for a system with two types of failure

Burn‐in is a widely used method to improve the quality of products or systems after they have been produced. In this paper, we consider the problem of determining bounds to the optimal burn‐in time and optimal replacement policy maximizing the steady state availability of a repairable system. It is assumed that two types of system failures may occur: One is Type I failure (minor failure), which can be removed by a minimal repair, and the other is Type II failure (catastrophic failure), which can be removed only by a complete repair. Assuming that the underlying lifetime distribution of the system has a bathtub‐shaped failure rate function, upper and lower bounds for the optimal burn‐in time are provided. Furthermore, some other applications of optimal burn‐in are also considered. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

军用系统间歇可用度及其战时计算模型研究

根据我军训练和作战的实际情况,对间歇可用度（AP）的概念进行了分析,说明了它在一次作战任务周期内计算精度要优于使用可用度,推导出了它的战时计算模型,界定了其使用条件与限制要求。最后通过仿真计算,证明了间歇可用度战时计算模型的可行性。     

飞航导弹齐射发射时间的一种快速规划算法

多发飞航导弹齐射时,各发导弹之间存在碰撞或者相互干扰的可能,为了保证导弹飞行安全,需要对各发导弹的飞行管道进行分析,以此规划各发导弹发射时间.为此在对飞航导弹初段航迹分析的基础上,建立了一种发射时间的快速规划算法,实现了以较小的计算量规划发射时间,并且通过仿真计算证实了该算法是正确的.     

一体化联合作战指挥决策节点提前工作时间研究

分布式联合决策可缩短系统决策时间,提高决策质量.运用分布式联合决策,其关键点之一是确定各流程节点的工作开始时刻.依据影响分布式联合决策各节点开始工作时刻的主要因素是上下节点间传递的信息的特点,引入了信息熵的概念,通过一定的阈值来确立分布式联合决策系统中各节点的开始决策时刻.利用Bernstein多项式建立了分布式联合决策开始时刻数学模型,给出了求解该数学模型的方法,指出了该模型应用于实践的思路.     

基于Floyd算法的常规导弹连续波次作战运输规划

为提高常规导弹连续波次作战效能,对常规导弹连续波次作战运输规划问题进行研究。以Floyd算法为基础,首先生成了作战机动区域的交通网络最短路径、距离矩阵;其次将常规导弹连续波次作战运输过程分解为不同阶段,以运输过程中的整体暴露时间最短为目标,构建了初始规划方案0-1整数规划模型;然后考虑道路通行量及地域容量限制,对初始规划方案中存在的地域容量超过限制及单行道路中会车、超车情况进行逐步循环优化,以得到最佳运输规划方案;最后选择了一个作战案例想定,通过Matlab编程对案例进行了求解,得到了针对此案例的最佳运输规划方案,验证了模型的正确性和算法的有效性。     

基于指数平滑法的装备维修器材需求量预测

准确地预测维修器材需求量是制定装备保障计划的重要依据.针对装备维修器材需求量预测相对不够准确的问题,通过对两种预测方法进行比较,引入了适用于准确预测的指数平滑方法,建立了基于指数平滑法的装备维修器材需求量预测模型,介绍了确定初始值的方法,并以某种维修器材需求量预测为例进行了分析,为准确预测装备维修器材需求量提供了一种较为科学合理的方法.     

双舰编队协同制导防空作战的动态拦截排序问题

针对双舰编队协同制导作战条件下如何对空袭目标进行排序这一问题,依据作战时间给出了排序算法。首先对平台的作战时间进行分析和求解,将射击周期分成了2段,把静态拦截排序问题转化为了2台处理机的同顺序作业排序问题,然后根据输入信息的改变而不断调整空袭目标的顺序以解决动态拦截排序问题,最后在想定条件下仿真计算,结果表明该算法具有较好的适用性。     

基于模糊时间序列的时变动态系统模糊建模

要想建立结构不确定、参数时变的动态系统的模型是很困难的。改进了Song Chisson的模糊时间序列方法,并成功应用于时变动态系统的辨识与建模和自适应控制。仿真结果表明该方法计算量小,实时性好,能很快地跟踪系统的变化。