Unemployed youth: ‘time bombs’ or engines for growth?

While popular narratives about success in South Africa focus on individual effort, accidents of birth continue to determine life prospects. Inequalities in early childhood development, health, and education narrow the range of possibilities that young people have available to them, and this impacts on their risk appetite, including, through the workings of the maturing brain, a propensity to violence, substance abuse, and unsafe sex. New technology offers young people an unprecedented ability to organise and network. This fact, combined with high levels of youth dissatisfaction, unemployment, and marginalisation, leads many to worry that the young are “ticking time bombs”. While there certainly are risks, great unused pools of youth labour also present an opportunity for engaging them in social advancement programmes. Structured youth service is a tried and tested policy option that, when implemented as part of an integrated youth development strategy, can enlist thousands of young people in devoting their considerable energies to leadership for the public good.     

From adversity to prosperity

This article interrogates the continuing relevance of the contractarian governance paradigm to resource governance and the impact of exploitation on the local population and environment in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Zimbabwe and Ghana. It highlights the susceptibilities of their governance processes, particularly the roles of the elites of the host communities, the multinational corporations, and the governing authorities in appropriating resources for their personal interests, resulting in tensions and conflicts. This scenario is borne out of inept leadership, as well as the defective and compromised administrative mechanisms operational in these countries. In view of this, the article underscores the need for a ‘new governance management paradigm’ anchored on a communitarian framework, which incorporates all stakeholders, to guarantee sustainable peace and prosperity, particularly in conflict zones. The article therefore concludes that achieving a nexus between forestry, mining activities and economic development in these countries will require a restructuring of the existing governance mechanisms; and advocates for a new governance model capable of curbing the excesses of local and foreign hegemony, including a total overhaul of the seemingly compromised supervising authority.     

“Disarmament Market” Effects of Information Disclosures

In yet another wave of discussion on nuclear disarmament among political scientists and practitioners, one of the topical issues concerns the problem of transparency, its mechanisms, costs, and benefits. Numerous—though often abstract—calls for greater transparency of nuclear arsenals and postures when promoting the idea of nuclear disarmament, however, do not give a clear rationale for states possessing nuclear weapons to pursue greater transparency. Meanwhile, many other research fields—such as economics and psychology—attempt to address problems related to the lack of exact information on the counterpart's activities and intentions. Economics offers one probable analog for the transparency problem: the issue of information asymmetry and its consequences. This article is an attempt to apply the classical model of a market with information asymmetry to the analysis of the transparency problem within the nuclear disarmament process. Such an approach could help pave the way for closer cooperation between economic and political scientists in the nuclear disarmament field.     

基于变步长LMS的谐波电流检测方法的研究

能否快速准确检测出三相电力系统中谐波电流是决定有源滤波器整体滤波性能的关键.基于瞬时无功功率的谐波电流检测理论,提出了一种改进的自适应滤波器谐波检测算法,通过构造步长因子与误差信号的非线性函数,调整步长参数,使权向量达到最优,在确保稳态误差的前提下,提高了系统的收敛速度.仿真实验验证了该算法的正确性和有效性.     

Guns–butter tradeoff in contemporary China

This study offers an investigation of the relationship between defense and social spending in the People's Republic of China. In particular, three consecutive questions are answered here. Does a warfare–welfare tradeoff exist in China's budgetary allocation? Is it positive or negative? What is the causal direction involved? By applying a vector autoregression analysis for the period of 1952–2006, this study finds a unidirectional crowd-out effect going from defense to social spending.     

基于开放环境的P2P网络主动型蠕虫传播模型

P2P网络主动型蠕虫采用主动扫描邻居节点信息的策略,能在短时间内破坏整个P2P网络,成为网络信息系统最为严重的安全威胁。结合主动型蠕虫的传播特点,考虑开放的P2P网络环境对蠕虫传播的影响,弥补现有模型忽略P2P网络动态性的不足,建立了基于开放环境的P2P网络蠕虫传播模型。与双因素模型相比较,该模型能更客观地反映现实网络中蠕虫的传播情况,在此基础上从初始已感染主机数、感染率、免疫率3方面定量分析了蠕虫的传播规律。仿真结果表明,感染率和免疫率是影响蠕虫传播的关键因素。     

军事通信领域上下文本体建模及不确定性推理＊

为支持军事通信业务的智能化,研究了军事通信业务上下文信息的表示和推理,提出了一种表示业务上下文信息的语法结构、语义以及上下文元信息的本体建模方法。并利用贝叶斯网络理论,提出了一种支持不确定性推理的业务上下文认知模型的构建方法,最后通过案例分析验证了模型和结论的合理性。     

基于群决策协同网络信息的掩护机编队选择

针对任务机群中掩护机编队的选择,用群决策协同网络信息模型进行了掩护机编队的选择。首先,给出了协同网络、模糊数和语言变量的相关概念;其次,分析了掩护机编队选择的指标体系框架和协同网络信息框架;然后,构建了群决策协同网络信息的数学模型,在此基础上,给出了方案选择的步骤;最后,运用该模型对掩护机编队的选择进行求解。结果表明：该模型能够综合群体专家的知识,解决掩护机编队选择中的定性判断问题。该模型可用于个体指标和协同指标均为定性指标时的方案优选问题。     

利用网络加强大学生思想政治教育

现代网络信息已渗透到社会的各个角落,改变着人们的工作和生活,影响着当代大学生的思想和学习。本文在分析了大学生不适当沉迷网络对健康成才危害的基础上,提出了高校思想政治教育网络立体平台构筑的立足点、切入点、沟通、融合点,开辟高校思想政治工作网络新天地。     

基于PIC16F877及RTL8019AS构成的PIC网络组件及应用

介绍了基于PIC16F877及RTL8019AS构成的PIC网络组件.使用该组件,可以通过PC或其它设备(如手机等)经网络对某些电器实行远程控制及监测.