Repairable consecutive‐k‐out‐of‐n: F system with Markov dependence

In this article, a model for a repairable consecutive‐k‐out‐of‐n: F system with Markov dependence is studied. A binary vector is used to represent the system state. The failure rate of a component in the system depends on the state of the preceding component. The failure risk of a system state is then introduced. On the basis of the failure risk, a priority repair rule is adopted. Then the transition density matrix can be determined, and the analysis of the system reliability can be conducted accordingly. One example each of a linear and a circular system is then studied in detail to explain the model and methodology developed in this paper. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 18–39, 2000     

Optimal redesign decisions through failure rate estimates

To reduce the time-to-market of newly developed systems, manufacturers increasingly adopt strategies where systems are brought to market while system field reliability is still uncertain. These systems are typically sold under performance-based contracts, which incentivizes potential customers to invest in them despite reliability uncertainty. Such contracts make the manufacturer (partly) responsible for the availability of the system. Subsequently, when field reliability is lower than anticipated, the manufacturer may choose to redesign the system to avoid high contract penalties. Redesign is a costly effort which may substantially increase field reliability. Deciding when to redesign is challenging, especially because the initial failure rate estimate by the system's engineers is refined over time as failure data accrues. We propose a model that endogenizes the failure rate updating to analyze this tactical redesign decision. We study additive and multiplicative redesigns and show that the optimal policy has a control limit structure. We benchmark our optimal policy against a static counterpart numerically, and conclude that basing redesign decisions on the updated estimate of the failure rate can substantially reduce costs.     

高炮射弹飞行时间拟合

用插值拟合和最小二乘逼近拟合方法对高炮射弹飞行时间拟合问题进行了研究.通过对插值拟合公式原理及误差规律的分析,提出确定可用区间的"去值检验"方法,说明了插值拟合公式的应用范围.通过对最小二乘拟合公式实际计算结果的分析,得出了"拟合公式阶数取3为最佳"的结论.对其他口径高炮的射弹飞行时间拟合也基本适用.     

基于Mamdani模糊推理的核动力装置技术状态评估

分析了传统二元逻辑应用于核动力装置部分失效技术状态评估时的局限性,概述了Mamdani模糊推理的基本技术;结合状态评估实例,提出了基于Mamdani模糊推理的核动力装置系统级的技术状态评估方法,为系统部分失效的技术状态评估提供了一种新的技术途径。     

基于SAQ＋B消防模拟训练系统评估方法设计

采用专家打分法、AHP法和Matlab软件相结合,引入“处理时间”作为评估因素的方法,对基于“SAQ＋B”消防模拟训练系统的评估方法进行了系统地介绍,并计算了各级训练指标的权值。     

软件需求工程及其发展

详细介绍了需求工程的基本概念及其内容,根据目前的实际情况,简要总结了需求工程的常用方法和支持工具,并指出需求工程的发展现状和存在的主要问题。收集国内外的相关资料,进行综合分析,以便了解国内外的研究现状,并进行适当的相关研究。认为:软件需求的获取是软件需求工程的重要一步,是软件质量保证的基础:研究具有可操作性和实用性的软件需求工程辅助工具具有重要意义。     

Analysis of down times of jib cranes—A stochastic approach

In this paper a case study dealing with the maintenance problem of jib cranes is presented. A jib crane is viewed as a complex system whose performance is observed as a single realization over period of time. After pointing out limitations of existing stochastic models to analyze the observed realization a new family of bivariate stochastic processes is introduced. The data of jib crane is analyzed using new model and cross‐validated using part of the data set. It is noted that the new family of stochastic processes is useful to analyze bivariate data where one of the variables is finitely valued and the other is nonnegative and continuous. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 231–243, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10006     

计算机实验教学软件环境规范化管理初探

根据实验教学的要求和不同的机型 ,对实验教学软件进行规范化管理 ,利用“克隆”技术和硬盘保护卡有效地保护数据和快速恢复数据 ,确保教学用机的安全和有效率     

军用飞机可用度概念模型及仿真

使用可用度是军用飞机战备完好性的重要度量标准.运用传统的解析法计算使用可用度有其弊端.以军用飞机使用及维修保障过程中各个系统要素为基础建立了使用可用度概念模型;根据概念模型运用仿真软件Extend建立了仿真模型.仿真结果表明模型运行稳定可靠,模型中各模块算法合理有效,实现了模型解算目标,可信度高.从而为飞机可用度研究提供了一种新方法.     

灭火救援对消防人员心理的影响研究

系统地研究灭火救援过程对消防人员造成的各种心理问题,改善消防人员的心理健康水平,对提高消防部队的战斗力具有重要意义。在总结消防人员灭火救援中心理应激反应特点的基础上,设计制作了《消防人员心理行为调查问卷表》,运用SPSS软件对长春市消防人员在灭火救援中不同火灾经历、特殊环境、心理训练以及参军年限对消防人员心理应激反应的影响等方面进行了统计分析,归纳影响心理应激反应的主要因素,并有针对性地提出了心理应激干预措施。为正确分析消防人员的心理状况,提高消防人员调节心理压力的能力和技巧提供理论依据,为探索新形势下心理健康工作的新方法、新手段提供参考。