公安边防部队缉毒斗争中的博弈分析

当前,我国毒品犯罪活动呈现出集团化、隐秘化、有组织化和跨国化等复杂特征,境内外社会环境、贩毒集团和执法者之间存在着彼此交错的关系,使得公安边防部队缉毒斗争面临着严峻的形势和挑战。在整合多位学者的理论观点和现实研究基础之上,基于博弈论的成熟理论,紧密结合公安边防部队缉毒斗争实际,构建了公安边防部队与贩毒集团之间的博弈模型,并对其进行深入分析,从微观角度为公安边防部队缉毒斗争实际提供有效参考和决策依据。     

联合作战中作战单元决策演化博弈研究

利用演化博弈理论,探讨了联合作战中担负相同作战任务的作战单元间其策略选择根据利益变化的演化过程,建立了复制动态方程并求得平衡点解,通过复制动态的相位图直观反映了博弈的演化稳定策略,并通过Malab软件对作战单元策略选择与收益关系进行了仿真,其行为选择的演化结果与相位图展示具有一致性。研究结论表明,收益大小及变化是作战单元策略改变的重要依据,最后针对提高作战单元间的策略稳定性提出对策建议.     

Some implications of pricing bundles

In this article, we consider a problem in which two suppliers can sell their respective products both individually and together as a bundle, and study the impact of bundle pricing. Four pricing models (centralized, decentralized, coop–comp, and comp–coop) are analyzed with regard to the competition formats and sequences. As one would expect, the firms are always better off when pricing decisions are centralized. However, rather surprisingly, we find that firms may be worse off if the bundle prices are set in a cooperative way; we provide analytical characterization of those instances. Numerical studies show that these insights also hold for some nonlinear demand. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

基于对策论的威胁评估模型

数据融合模型一般包括多个层次,威胁评估是其中之一。威胁评估根据态势情况,推测威胁程度及可能的行动方案。在分析对策论和威胁评估的基础上,提出基于矩阵对策的威胁评估模型及分析方法。     

载人飞船上升段轨道的Newton迭代设计法

本文对载人飞船上升段轨道的一种工程设计方法进行了探讨。该方法的特点是根据上升段飞行的特征,运用飞行力学原理选定其控制规律的数学模型,然后根据上升段轨道的中间约束条件和终端约束条件,利用Newton迭代法确定模型中的各待定参数。本文给出了该设计方法的流程图,并通过模拟计算论证了该设计方法的可行性。     

Teaching Professional Ethos

This article investigates the communication of professional ethos, the ethical standards of a profession in training, from passing on ideas of patients’ welfare in medical schools to communicating values in military academies. The article examines this through a consideration of the consequences of Wittgenstein’s discussions on the nature of language: how words and sentences acquire meaning. Wittgenstein’s rule-following paradox, the paradox that any act can be brought into correspondence with a rule and thereby that any “meaning” might be applicable to what is being taught, must make us re-evaluate assumptions about a professional ethos as a guide for professionals in their future practice. If, as Wittgenstein asserts, the meaning of a word is its use, we must abandon ideas of an essence of professional ethos encapsulated in words. Ethical standards of the professions are not reducible to a set of rules. Instead teachers must seek to expand the learner’s repertoire of responses and invite different answers rather than a pre-established correct answer.     

空间碎片碰撞风险评估模型及其应用

以现有的空间碎片环境模型为基础,建立了一套空间碎片风险评估模型。该模型包括空间碎片环境、航天器有限元建模、几何遮挡处理以及碰撞概率计算四个模块。为了验证风险评估模型的精度及有效性,针对机构间空间碎片协调委员会指定的三种标准工况,将该计算结果与国内外已有的风险评估模型的计算结果进行比较,验证了风险评估模型的正确性。利用开发的风险评估模型,对立方体航天器遭遇空间碎片碰撞风险进行仿真评估与分析,给出了轨道高度、倾角以及航天器自身的姿态参数对航天器遭遇空间碎片碰撞风险的影响特性。     

To catch an intruder: Part A—uncluttered scenario

We analyze an interdiction scenario where an interceptor attempts to catch an intruder as the intruder moves through the area of interest. A motivating example is the detection and interdiction of drug smuggling vessels in the Eastern Pacific and Caribbean. We study two models in this article. The first considers a nonstrategic target that moves through the area without taking evasive action to avoid the interdictor. We determine the optimal location the interceptor should position itself to best respond when a target arrives. The second model analyzes the strategic interaction between the interceptor and intruder using a Blotto approach. The intruder chooses a route to travel on and the interceptor chooses a route to patrol. We model the interaction as a two‐player game with a bilinear payoff function. We compute the optimal strategy for both players and examine several extensions. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 64: 29–40, 2017     

Capacity games for partially complementary products under multivariate random demands

In this study, we consider n firms, each of which produces and sells a different product. The n firms face a common demand stream which requests all their products as a complete set. In addition to the common demand stream, each firm also faces a dedicated demand stream which requires only its own product. The common and dedicated demands are uncertain and follow a general, joint, continuous distribution. Before the demands are realized, each firm needs to determine its capacity or production quantity to maximize its own expected profit. We formulate the problem as a noncooperative game. The sales price per unit for the common demand could be higher or lower than the unit price for the dedicated demand, which affects the firm's inventory rationing policy. Hence, the outcome of the game varies. All of the prices are first assumed to be exogenous. We characterize Nash equilibrium(s) of the game. At the end of the article, we also provide some results for the endogenous pricing. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 59: 146–159, 2012     

临近空间防空导弹制导律

基于临近空间防空导弹,在拦截高空高速大机动目标的条件下,对导弹的制导律进行了研究。给出了微分对策制导律的理论知识及其具体算法,通过Simulink工具进行模块化建模,并将制导律模型引入导弹六自由度模型中进行仿真,对比分析导弹飞行轨迹和需用过载,表明微分对策制导律要比常用的比例导引制导律更优。