维护条件下产品寿命分布规律分析

为了掌握维护条件下产品寿命分布规律,进一步解释其失效特性,从维护条件下产品性能状态变化角度出发,结合累积失效理论,利用复合Poisson过程建立了可靠性模型,得到了该条件下产品在线寿命分布模型。在此基础上,建立了维护条件下产品总体寿命分布模型,并利用偏度-峰度系数和贴近度分析,对维护条件下产品在线寿命分布和总体寿命分布规律进行了数值计算,解释了工程产品在线往往具有集中失效,而总体又具有随机失效的特性。以水泵转子为研究对象,通过数值分析,较好地描述了其定期维护条件下的可靠度和寿命分布,进一步验证了模型的可行性。     

基于视频监控的人的异常行为系统设计

"视频监控"是一种可实现夜间检测的视频监控系统,普遍用于沿街商铺、仓库、郊区独户别墅以及小区等场所。传统的视频监控对摄像头的要求较高,并且需要多人值守,对人力、财力的要求较高。针对传统视频监控存在的不足,设计了一种智能检测系统,能实现对非法入侵、物品盗移等异常状况的实时检测和及时报警,还针对夜间图像的特点设计增强算法,使普通摄像头可实现夜间监控,大大降低了视频监控的应用成本并提高了监控效率。     

连续情形的窃贼问题

讨论了连续时间上的窃贼问题。Ｊｔ是［０,ｔ］上窃贼作案的次数,｛Ｊｔ｝ｔ≥０是Ｐｏｉｓ－ｓｏｎ过程;收获过程与风险过程都是独立同分布的时间序列。利用弱无穷小算子,我们找出了最优停时规则。     

多比特信息分布式检测优化研究

本文拓展了通常意义下多传感器组网分布式检测模型,允许各传感器向融合中心传输多比特信息。给出了Ｋｕｌｌｂａｃｋ分辨率意义下,确定最优多比特信息的方法,以利于改善系统检测性能。数值结果表明,多比特信息分布式检测方案是可行的。     

火力作战目标决策分析

为满足火力作战多样化的任务需求,结合对火力作战行动有效作用空间的具体解析,对其目标决策进行了深入的分析,在把握时代特征的同时,较为系统地总结出火力作战目标决策的新要求、新方法和新流程,为信息化条件下组织筹划火力作战提供建设性理论参考。     

基于主成分分析的储运过程管道堵塞故障检测

针对现代储运过程典型的管道堵塞故障,分析了其对过程监控参数的影响;采用基于主成分分析的故障检测方法,构建了故障检测流程和检测模型;以储运过程典型仿真系统为研究对象,建立了主成分模型;通过模拟不同程度的管道堵塞故障,进行了管道堵塞故障检测的仿真应用研究,获得了管道堵塞故障统计量控制图.实验结果表明了基于主成分分析的故障检测方法的有效性和正确性.     

An alliance between Cyprus and Greece: assessing its partners’ relative security contribution

The issue that this paper tackles is the assessment of the relative security benefits that Cyprus and Greece derive in the context of their cooperation on defence matters. This form of cooperation, known as the ‘Integrated Defence Space Doctrine’, aims at defending their interests in the Aegean Sea and the broader East Mediterranean theatre. The paper relies heavily on earlier research on this topic, which deals with the Greek–Cypriot alliance facing an arms race against Turkey, and uses a coefficient especially designed to assess the optimal levels of security and the associated defence expenditure of the two allies. A comparison of the relative security coefficient values for the two allies suggests that the security benefit that Greece derives thanks to its alliance with Cyprus exceeds the corresponding Cypriot benefit by far. Given the importance assigned to human resources by this index, in conjunction with the demographic problems of Greece, this conclusion justifies the recent Greek defence policy revision, emphasizing quality, capital equipment and flexibility of forces. This revision aims at satisfying the security requirements of the alliance and the increasing demands of an arms race against Turkey.     

Evasion costs and the theory Of conscription

This paper examines the trade and military relationship between two countries which have a common military enemy. The paper explains how the former two countries, which are military allies and trading partners, share the burden of defence against the third country. It demonstrates how the defence production of a country may hurt its ally because the latter country's terms of trade can be deteriorated. Whether or not a smaller ally spends less on defence is analyzed. Also analyzed is the effects of the reactions of the enemy country on the trade between the two allies and their welfare.     

Determinants of military expenditure and the role of globalisation in a cross-country analysis

Abstract

Anecdotal evidence offers conflicting views on the impact of globalisation on military expenditure. We contribute to the existing literature by investigating the effect of globalisation on military expenditure in 82 countries for the period, 1989–2012. After introducing economic and strategic variables into the model, we utilise the dynamic panel generalised method of moments system to estimate the relationship in the variables. The empirical findings reveal that globalisation reduces both military burden and real military expenditure. The findings are consistent, irrespective of the globalisation indicator adopted. The policy implications of the results are explained.