基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择方法

随着军事信息技术的发展,未来军事信息系统必然是基于服务思想构造的,为提高系统的可靠性与稳定性,提出了一种基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择方法。首先对军事信息服务信誉的含义和计算依据作了简要分析,然后在基础上,构建了基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择模型,并对模型的角色和操作进行了分析,最后对UDD I的扩展方法、军事信息服务信誉度的计算方法,以及基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择算法等模型实现的关键技术进行了探讨,为基于信誉度的军事信息服务选择方法的实现奠定了基础。     

模糊优选动态规划在稀缺军事资源配置中的应用

在对稀缺军事资源配置问题进行数学描述的基础上,建立起评价指标相对优属度计算模型,实现了局部优选。在此基础上,通过分配目标综合评价模型实现了对局部优选数据的综合处理,最后建立资源分配的动态规划模型实现了对方案的优选。最后通过实例演示了解决该类问题的具体方法和步骤,对部队建设具有一定的参考和应用价值。     

一种TM遥感影像的分割算法

从多分辨率分析角度分析图像分割概念,研究已有的图像分割方法,阐述基于二进小波变换的多分辨率分析原理,采取由粗到细的控制策略,有效地选取最优分割阈值,从而实现对TM遥感影像的分割,实验结果表明该算法对复杂遥感影像分割是有效的。     

Efficient multinomial selection in simulation

Consider a simulation experiment consisting of v independent vector replications across k systems, where in any given replication one system is selected as the best performer (i.e., it wins). Each system has an unknown constant probability of winning in any replication and the numbers of wins for the individual systems follow a multinomial distribution. The classical multinomial selection procedure of Bechhofer, Elmaghraby, and Morse (Procedure BEM) prescribes a minimum number of replications, denoted as v*, so that the probability of correctly selecting the true best system (PCS) meets or exceeds a prespecified probability. Assuming that larger is better, Procedure BEM selects as best the system having the largest value of the performance measure in more replications than any other system. We use these same v* replications across k systems to form (v*)^k pseudoreplications that contain one observation from each system, and develop Procedure AVC (All Vector Comparisons) to achieve a higher PCS than with Procedure BEM. For specific small-sample cases and via a large-sample approximation we show that the PCS with Procedure AVC exceeds the PCS with Procedure BEM. We also show that with Procedure AVC we achieve a given PCS with a smaller v than the v* required with Procedure BEM. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 459–482, 1998     

Pairwise model discrimination with applications in lifetime distributions and degradation processes

Reliability data obtained from life tests and degradation tests have been extensively used for purposes such as estimating product reliability and predicting warranty costs. When there is more than one candidate model, an important task is to discriminate between the models. In the literature, the model discrimination was often treated as a hypothesis test and a pairwise model discrimination procedure was carried out. Because the null distribution of the test statistic is unavailable in most cases, the large sample approximation and the bootstrap were frequently used to find the acceptance region of the test. Although these two methods are asymptotically accurate, their performance in terms of size and power is not satisfactory in small sample size. To enhance the small‐sample performance, we propose a new method to approximate the null distribution, which builds on the idea of generalized pivots. Conventionally, the generalized pivots were often used for interval estimation of a certain parameter or function of parameters in presence of nuisance parameters. In this study, we further extend the idea of generalized pivots to find the acceptance region of the model discrimination test. Through extensive simulations, we show that the proposed method performs better than the existing methods in discriminating between two lifetime distributions or two degradation models over a wide range of sample sizes. Two real examples are used to illustrate the proposed methods.     

融合初值校准与二阶逼近的单星测频定位算法

为减小单星测频定位的误差,提出一种融合初值校准与二阶逼近的单星测频定位算法。该算法在卫星接收信号多普勒频移为零的时间点,通过测距获得卫星到定位目标的距离信息,利用距离信息修正轨道平面与定位目标的几何关系,为初值的选取提供校准手段;将校准的初值代入含二阶级数的定位方程泰勒展开式,通过较少次数的迭代得到定位目标的真实位置,从而降低定位的算法复杂度,提高定位精度。仿真结果表明,所提出的算法与多普勒单星定位算法相比,迭代次数和定位误差大幅度减小,其实现简单、计算量少、误差小,在单星定位研究领域具有较高的理论价值和实用价值。     

防区外导弹对舰攻击的效能分析

在综合分析了目前使用效能评估方法的基础上,针对导弹对舰攻击的实际,给出一种改进的阶段概率法,并对防区外导弹对舰导弹攻击的效能进行了分析,提出了评估的模型。此方法也可应用于其它对地攻击的效能评估。     

论灭火救援初战

从基层中队灭火初战存在的＂四重四轻＂问题入手,通过深入分析原因,提出打好灭火初战必须采取＂抓部队训练是基础,抓攻坚队伍是手段,抓干部素质是关键,抓科学施救是根本＂的四项措施以及＂慎重、熟悉、控制、安全、全局＂的初战原则,对基层中队指挥员如何更科学地打好初战进行了初步探讨。     

Fully sequential procedures for comparing constrained systems via simulation

We consider the problem of finding the system with the best primary performance measure among a finite number of simulated systems in the presence of a stochastic constraint on a single real‐valued secondary performance measure. Solving this problem requires the identification and removal from consideration of infeasible systems (Phase I) and of systems whose primary performance measure is dominated by that of other feasible systems (Phase II). We use indifference zones in both phases and consider two approaches, namely, carrying out Phases I and II sequentially and carrying out Phases I and II simultaneously, and we provide specific example procedures of each type. We present theoretical results guaranteeing that our approaches (general and specific, sequential and simultaneous) yield the best system with at least a prespecified probability, and we provide a portion of an extensive numerical study aimed at evaluating and comparing the performance of our approaches. The experimental results show that both new procedures are useful for constrained ranking and selection, with neither procedure showing uniform superiority over the other.© 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于蚁群算法和禁忌搜索的部队机动路径选择

高技术条件下的现代战争对部队机动路径选择问题提出了新要求,一方面道路网的扩大使问题求解的规模大大增加,另一方面作战环境和任务的变化使得问题本身不得不从多角度进行综合评价.增加了问题的复杂性.针对问题建立了数学模型,引入信息熵理论作为目标评价准则,借助改进的蚁群算法、禁忌搜索算法相结合的启发式方法对问题进行求解,得到了令人满意的结果.仿真结果分析认为,算法是切实有效的,并且具有良好的稳定性.