因素状态值为模糊数的变权综合决策方法

对因素权重为实数、因素状态值为模糊数的多因素不确定性决策问题,由实数型状态变权向量导出模糊数状态变权向量,得出模糊数变权公式,建立模糊数变权综合决策模型,最后给出一个应用模糊数变权综合决策模型的实例.     

随机滤波模型在变速箱剩余寿命预测中的应用研究

摘要：基于变速箱加速寿命实验的振动信号,提取信号的多种特征参量．通过分析各特征参量的敏感性和稳定性,选择幅域裕度指标、峰值指标、波形指标和RMS（RootMeanSquare）作为特征参量,建立一种基于随机滤波的变速箱剩余寿命预测模型,给出剩余寿命后验概率密度的递推公式,设计了极大似然估计方法求解模型参数,并经实例验证模型的有效性和实用性．     

Inequality‐based reliability estimates for complex systems

Full‐system testing for large‐scale systems is often infeasible or very costly. Thus, when estimating system reliability, it is desirable to use a method that uses subsystem tests, which are often less expensive and more feasible. This article presents a method for bounding full‐system reliabilities based on subsystem tests and, if available, full‐system tests. The method does not require that subsystems be independent. It accounts for dependencies through the use of certain probability inequalities. The inequalities provide the basis for valid reliability calculations while not requiring independent subsystems or full‐system tests. The inequalities allow for test information on pairwise subsystem failure modes to be incorporated, thereby improving the bound on system reliability. We illustrate some of the properties of the estimates via an example application. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

The effect of foreign state support to UNITA during the Angolan War (1975–1991)

ABSTRACT

State support for foreign rebel groups has become more salient, yet it remains unclear how this affects armed conflict. This paper therefore analyses the effect of foreign government assistance and does so in the typical case of the Angolan War (1975–1991). It argues that South African and United States support greatly helped the National Union for the Total Independence of Angola (UNITA) wage a large and sustained insurgency campaign but was ultimately insufficient to overthrow the People’s Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) government because it enabled the incumbent government to obtain similar foreign assistance and because the level of aid awarded to UNITA fluctuated strongly, preventing it from engaging in meaningful long-term planning.     

空间重采样的宽带多重信号分类算法高分辨方位估计

空间重采样法是宽带恒定束宽波束形成的一种重要方法,采用声矢量阵推导了基于空间重采样的宽带MUSIC算法,并和相干子空间FFT插值法做了仿真比较,结果表明,所提算法的性能优于FFT插值法,表现为更低的分辨信噪比门限和估计均方误差上.     

基于时频单源点检测和聚类验证技术的欠定混合盲辨识算法

针对欠定混合盲辨识问题,提出了一种基于时频单源点检测及聚类验证的盲辨识算法。检测各个源信号的时频单源点,利用奇异值分解的方法求解不同单源点集合对应的混合矢量,利用基于k均值的聚类验证技术完成源信号数目和混合矩阵的联合估计。算法放宽了已有方法对时频单源区域的假设,不需要假设信号存在时频单源区域,可以完成仅存在离散的时频单源点条件下的欠定混合盲辨识;同时克服了传统算法需要假设源信号个数已知的不足,可以有效地估计源信号数目。仿真结果验证了算法的有效性。     

天基预警卫星弹道预报能力仿真分析

天基预警卫星对导弹位置和速度的预测误差是引导信息中的重要组成部分,直接影响到远程预警雷达和跟踪制导雷达的搜索性能.根据天基预警卫星视线角误差和导弹目标经验数据,设计导弹预报误差估计模型,计算预报误差带半径.仿真结果表明:通过对理想弹道目标进行观测误差协方差分析,可以获得预警卫星观测的水平及垂直平面预测误差带.     

从治国理政的高度大力推进生态文明建设

建设生态文明是我们党对人类社会发展规律和社会主义现代化建设规律认识的新发展,也体现了我们党执政理念的进一步完善。因此必须从治国理政的战略高度认识并推进生态文明建设。建设生态文明是破解我国发展中种种难题的现实途径、全面建成小康社会的迫切要求、实现中华民族永续发展的客观要求,必须从树立生态文明理念、转变经济发展方式、建立完善生态文明制度机制着手。同时,生态文明建设也是军队建设科学发展的题中应有之义。     

电子稳像中运动矢量一致性的优化算法

针对电子稳像技术传统块匹配法求运动矢量的固有缺点,采取四叉树———一种变块匹配方法计算运动矢量,使求得的运动矢量有较好的一致性.与其它变块匹配方法相比,该方法克服了其它变块匹配法的不足.实验表明,使用该法求出的运动矢量有较好的一致性和准确性.     

密闭环境空气质量评价方法研究

密闭空间与自然环境不同,其空气质量有明显特点.论文根据密闭环境特点,以国家环保部门自然环境空气质量评价模式作为参考,研究并提出了密闭环境空气质量评价的新方法,并进行了实例分析和评价,评价结论能较好地反映实际情况.