基于强度折减法的海底隧道强震破坏机理

将强度折减法引入强震作用下的海底隧道衬砌结构安全稳定性研究,利用FLAC3D软件建立了海底隧道-岩土体-海水相互作用的强度折减法数值模型,综合考虑海底隧道衬砌在强震作用下的位移、剪应变增量和塑性区变化,确定了海底隧道衬砌局部破坏的极限平衡状态和整体破坏的极限平衡状态,分析了海底隧道衬砌在强震作用下的破坏机理。结果表明:海底隧道衬砌在水平地震波的作用下,主要是围岩变形导致隧道衬砌破坏;隧道衬砌破坏位置发生在右侧侧墙中部,破坏形式为剪切破坏;隧道衬砌局部破坏的极限安全系数为1.47,整体破坏的极限安全系数为1.8,2种安全系数的极限状态可对应结构设计中的正常使用极限状态和承载力极限状态。研究成果可为海底隧道衬砌设计提供理论依据。     

State fragility and violent uprisings in Nigeria

Abstract

The emergence of the Islamic sect, Boko Haram, and its transformation into a terrorist organisation has dominated recent discourse in the fields of political science and security studies, both within and without the socio-politico enclave known as Nigeria. Much of the discussion has centred on the extra-judicial execution of its founder, Mohammed Yusuf, which purportedly intensified the radicalisation of the group, and whether or not the sect receives operational and/or financial support from foreign terrorist associations. The interest of others has been to forecast the possibility of the internationalisation of the group's activities. This paper aligns with those whose interest is to identify and proffer ways of resolving factors that predisposed the Nigerian state to the levels of violence perpetrated by Boko Haram, with a view to averting much greater crises in the future. It adopts some historicism in demonstrating that the responsibility for the deepening insecurity in the country resides in the Nigerian state structure, which has often been seen as willing to sacrifice the well-being of the many for the benefit of a few. On the whole, the paper utilises state fragility as the framework of analysis by identifying the incapacity of the state in effective service delivery, which has as a result created a situation of mass unemployment and extreme poverty that has fanned the Boko Haram uprising. It concludes that a sustainable solution to the crisis lies in addressing the root causes of inequality, unemployment and poverty, with which most Nigerians, particularly in the north, subsist.     

罐底渗漏的罐基油气质量分数探测法识别

油罐是油品储运的重要设备,罐底最易出现穿孔渗漏油现象,致使罐基内部油气质量分数高于正常值。以油库中柴油覆土罐群为例,研究并试验了根据罐基油气质量分数识别罐底渗漏的方法：分析罐基探漏孔位置分布并钻孔;多次探测罐基油气质量分数,根据探测数据识别各罐有无底部渗漏;为了便于以后检测油库时识别各罐有无渗漏,为各罐建立状态监测表,并将无渗漏的罐基油气质量分数最高值暂定为该类罐的安全值,低于该安全值的油罐可直接判定为无渗漏。实践结果证明,这种不开罐检测罐底渗漏油的方法可及时发现故障并采取措施,对储油安全具有重要意义。     

Impact of tax reduction policies on consumer purchase of new automobiles: An analytical investigation with real data‐based experiments

We investigate and compare the impact of the tax reduction policies implemented in the United States and China to stimulate consumer purchase of new automobiles and improve manufacturers' profits. The U.S. policy provides each qualifying consumer with a federal income tax deduction on state and local sales and excise taxes paid on the purchase price (up to a cutoff level), whereas the Chinese policy reduces the vehicle sales tax rate for consumers. We observe that these policy designs are consistent with the tax management system and the economic environment in the respective country. We analytically determine the effects of the two tax reduction policies on the automobile sales and the manufacturer's and the retailer's profits. Numerical examples are then used to provide insights on the importance of certain factors that influence the effects of the two policies. Finally, a numerical experiment with sensitivity analysis based on real data is conducted to compare the merits and characteristics of the two policies under comparable conditions. We find that the U.S. policy is better than the Chinese policy in stimulating the sales of high‐end automobiles, whereas the Chinese policy is better than the U.S. policy in improving the sales of low‐end automobiles. The U.S. policy is slightly more effective in increasing the profitability of the automobile supply chain; but, in general, the Chinese policy is more cost effective. The methodology developed herein can be used to evaluate other tax reduction policies such as those related to the purchase of energy‐saving vehicles and to serve as a decision model to guide the choice of alternative tax reduction policies. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 61: 577–598, 2014     

基于DoDAF与Petri网的预警卫星系统建模分析

预警卫星系统在弹道导弹防御系统中处在最前沿,在战争中起着其他装备无法替代的作用。依据DoDAF和预警卫星系统的作战流程,构建了预警卫星系统作战状态转换(OV-6b)模型,以描述预警卫星系统作战过程的时序关系、各作战节点的状态转换以及信息流关系。基于Petri网将各节点OV-6b模型转换成可执行模型进行驱动,并构建和分析了各Petri网模型的可达图,结果表明,建立的OV-6b模型和Petri网模型是合理的、正确的。     

基于综合识别的高速飞行器自适应控制方法(英文)

针对高速飞行器的传统自适应控制方法中控制器参数获取时间长,辨识存在收敛性的问题,设计了一种基于综合识别方法的新型自校正控制方案。首先,由在线直接可测量构成特征模型的特征状态量,并以特征模型作为参考模型来设计控制器;其次,通过获得的特征状态量来在线调配对象系统的零极点,输出达到期望性能所需要的控制参数。仿真结果表明:该方法能较理想地实现在线自适应控制,保证系统良好的鲁棒性和快速性,同时在工程上易于实现。     

神经网络在雷达装备故障趋势预测中的应用

为了提高预测精度,在雷达装备状态监测与故障趋势预测系统中引入基于指数衰减的神经网络预测模型。通过普通BP网络预测模型引出基于指数衰减的神经网络预测模型,经验证预测精度较高。并介绍了雷达装备状态监测与故障趋势预测系统构成,此系统对于雷达装备的早期故障预测和预防性维修具有重要意义。     

高层住宅物业消防现状及思考

物业管理是城市社区管理中一个重要的基层管理体系,消防安全管理作为物业管理的一项重要工作,目前还存在着许多亟待解决的问题。从高层住宅物业消防管理的现状入手,分析其存在的问题及原因,探讨解决问题的措施,促进物业消防管理的发展完善。     

Cu/C复合型润滑添加剂减摩抗磨性能研究

将纳米Cu和纳米金刚石复配成Cu/C复合添加剂,对其在500SN基础油中的减摩抗磨性能进行了研究.结果表明,加入了Cu/C复合添加剂的试油能明显改善500SN基础油的摩擦学性能:当纳米Cu添加量为4%,纳米C添加量为2%时,加入了Cu/C复合添加剂的试油减摩性能最好,同500SN空白试油相比,摩擦因数可降低94.8%;...     

普通建筑用钢与耐火钢火灾高温力学性能对比研究

钢材的高温力学性能是建筑结构耐火设计的重要参数。介绍了耐火钢的特点,通过试验对普通建筑用钢与两种耐火钢从常温到700℃高温的力学性能进行了对比研究,结果表明:温度在400~700℃之间,耐火钢的强度折减系数比普通建筑用钢高出很多;以钢材常温屈服强度的50%为破坏标准,普通建筑用钢与两种耐火钢的临界温度分别为550℃、650℃、660℃。