BTT导弹状态反馈H_∞控制自动驾驶仪设计

针对倾斜转弯(BTT)导弹自动驾驶仪的抗干扰性和鲁棒性问题,以考虑耦合的情况下建立的更接近于实际的导弹数学模型为基础,将通道间的耦合作为干扰,在弹道特征点上对导弹模型进行解耦和线性化,得到各个通道的数学模型;设计基于线性矩阵不等式(LMI)的状态反馈H_∞控制自动驾驶仪,搭建全耦合状态下的三通道仿真模型,并进行联合仿真研究。结果表明所设计的状态反馈H_∞控制自动驾驶仪能够实现对导弹制导指令的有效跟踪,满足BTT导弹控制的要求。     

Understanding the Legitimacy of Armed Groups: A Relational Perspective

Abstract

This paper analyses the multiple pathways through which legitimacy of armed groups is constructed in conflict-affected states. It adopts a political sociological approach to the study of armed group legitimacy. Such a strategy assists in identifying whether armed groups enjoy legitimacy in a given empirical context and avoids applying pre-determined normative criteria. The focus is on three types of relationships: civilian communities, the state or regime in power and external actors including regional and international sponsors, to discern which types of legitimacy matter for armed groups in different relationships.     

基于节点综合效能的DTN路由算法

针对容忍延迟网络(DTN)高延迟、数据传输成功率低等问题,提出了一种基于节点综合效能的DTN路由算法SERA。该算法综合考虑移动节点的活跃度和剩余能量,使消息副本向综合效能高的节点扩散。SERA节点活跃度描述了节点的社会和动态特性,SERA尽量将消息副本传递给活跃度高的节点,以提高消息传输的成功率;在选择中继节点时,充分考虑节点的能量状态,以避免能量不足的节点承担更多的信息传输任务,从而提高网络节点的存活率。仿真结果表明,与典型的DTN路由算法相比,SERA能够更好地平衡节点的能耗,获得更高的消息递交成功率和更长的网络生存期。     

高维非线性电路平衡点稳定性研究

提出了一种新的分析具有分解形式的高维非线性电路平衡点全局渐近稳定的方法.这种方法以矩阵分解为工具,结合平衡点的渐近稳定判据,用分解矩阵的稳定性决定平衡点的全局渐近稳定性.与目前该问题所采用的LIYAPUNOV直接法相比,该方法具有无须判断平衡点的唯一性,判别方法直接明了等优点.电路维数越大时,此方法越有其优势.同时,该方法对于其他形式的非线性系统的分析,也有重要的启发性及应用价值.     

基于马尔科夫链的一种评价方法

应用了数理统计与随机过程理论,从分析动态系统的状态以及状态转移情况给出了一种合理的评价方法,经过实例验证,该方法效果较好.     

灰色数列预测应用分析

对灰色理论与统计分析在装备经济管理工作中的实用性分别以模型机理、模型数据处理复杂性和模型结果精度三方面进行了比较分析,着重指出在某些情况下灰色模型具有小样本而精度高的特点,并列举了实例加以说明．     

装备保障体制研究的现状与发展

论述了装备保障体制研究的目的、意义 ,以及装备保障体制研究的概况 ,总结了装备保障体制研究的主要成果 ,指出了装备保障体制研究中存在的主要问题及今后研究的方向。     

The impact of exponential smoothing forecasts on the bullwhip effect

An important phenomenon often observed in supply chain management, known as the bullwhip effect, implies that demand variability increases as one moves up the supply chain, i.e., as one moves away from customer demand. In this paper we quantify this effect for simple, two‐stage, supply chains consisting of a single retailer and a single manufacturer. We demonstrate that the use of an exponential smoothing forecast by the retailer can cause the bullwhip effect and contrast these results with the increase in variability due to the use of a moving average forecast. We consider two types of demand processes, a correlated demand process and a demand process with a linear trend. We then discuss several important managerial insights that can be drawn from this research. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 269–286, 2000     

Military Expenditure as a Proxy for State Power. The Case of France

This paper attempts to build a simple indicator of state power. Military expenditure is the paper’s point of departure, with the definitions given by NATO, SIPRI and others. This definition is discussed and a power version is build, using French budgetary data. Then a defence of the result against traditional or non-traditional critics is presented under an imperative of action. Finally, this concept is enlarged and a new concept of power expenditures is given, one more time using French budgetary data. The conclusion is that this large expenditure concept is an unbiased but imperfect indicator of the will to act, and has to be completed by GDP to indicate the capability to act in the long-run.     

高超声速滑翔飞行器滑翔段初始状态的唯一性和最优性分析

临近空间高超声速滑翔飞行器的弹道特性主要受滑翔段初始状态和飞行器控制律影响。在飞行器控制律确定的情况下,研究了滑翔段初始状态对高超声速滑翔飞行器弹道特性的影响规律。按照滑翔弹道的不同形式,在纵向平衡滑翔条件下,通过理论推导得出飞行器状态变量的解析式,结合平衡滑翔条件分析平衡滑翔弹道滑翔段初始状态的唯一性;在纵向跳跃滑翔条件下,构建弹道性能评价指标,利用群智能算法,寻找弹道性能最优时的滑翔段初始状态。利用单因素敏感性分析方法,分别对两种滑翔弹道的滑翔段初始状态进行敏感性分析,初始状态中初始速度对弹道特性的影响最大。对高超声速滑翔飞行器初始状态唯一性与最优性的分析,可为高超声速滑翔飞行器的弹道设计、弹道跟踪、轨迹预测和轨迹优化提供借鉴。