具有战时随机延误与损耗的多配送中心路径优化

建立了具有战时随机延误与损耗的多配送中心配送路径安排模型,给出了基于随机模拟的蚁群算法。算法通过给定残存率、用时与置信度阈值,把多目标问题作为单目标来处理。用随机模拟的方法来求路径的置信度,并以此为基础搜索转移策略的临域与判断未遍历点的插入位置。算法设计了符合问题特点的从虚拟点出发的转移策略与对两类路段不同的信息素更新策略,确保算法的实现。最后,通过算例说明了该方法的可行性与有效性。     

神经网络在随动系统测试中的应用研究

针对神经网络在故障测试中因训练样本集大而导致的诊断速度慢和性能下降等不足,提出区域法则,即将全系统化解为若干个子模块并用神经网络去分别匹配,以此达到加快诊断速度和提高诊断能力的目的,同时给出了典型训练样本的建立思路和网络结构的学习算法.实验表明,该方法在火炮随动系统测试中体现出了较好的诊断效果,具有一定的工程应用价值.     

网络战中的安全主动防护系统构想

根据网络战的要求,提出了一种网络安全主动防护系统,该系统把一种新型防火墙和网络监测系统结合起来,做到了对黑客入侵及病毒攻击的实时监测、捕获和主动防护,克服了传统网络防护系统的不足,如能开发研制,将有利于我军在未来的网络战中取得主动地位。     

A general strategic capacity planning model under demand uncertainty

Capacity planning decisions affect a significant portion of future revenue. In equipment intensive industries, these decisions usually need to be made in the presence of both highly volatile demand and long capacity installation lead times. For a multiple product case, we present a continuous‐time capacity planning model that addresses problems of realistic size and complexity found in current practice. Each product requires specific operations that can be performed by one or more tool groups. We consider a number of capacity allocation policies. We allow tool retirements in addition to purchases because the stochastic demand forecast for each product can be decreasing. We present a cluster‐based heuristic algorithm that can incorporate both variance reduction techniques from the simulation literature and the principles of a generalized maximum flow algorithm from the network optimization literature. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

军事概念建模形式化描述语言比较分析

军事概念模型是对军事行为空间进行的第一次抽象,它对军事系统表达的准确性和合理性将是作战仿真模拟质量的关键.随着分布交互仿真和大规模作战仿真的需要,概念模型的通用性和规范化已开始受到人们重视.针对军事系统的复杂性,在众多的建模语言中,选用何种语言进行军事概念建模值得深入研究.IDEF、UML和Petri网是三种应用广泛、功能较强的建模语言,适合复杂系统建模.分析比较了它们的优缺点,探讨了三种方法综合运用的思路,最后给出了一个军事概念建模的实例.     

基于广义随机Petri网GSPN的系统安全性研究

针对基于广义随机Petri网GSPN的动态系统安全性建模与分析方法进行了系统研究。基于Petri网、GSPN模型的基本原理,提出了关键状态搜索算法,并进行了安全性仿真分析.将广义随机Petri网的扩展模型应用于安全性分析领域,丰富了动态系统安全性问题的研究手段。     

远程监控在靶场指挥显示系统中应用探讨

靶场指挥显示系统具有结构复杂、地域分散的特点,维护难度大。通过对靶场指挥显示系统使用和维护现状的研究,引入远程监控的思想,采用C/S网络结构的远程控制技术,在现有指挥显示系统中增加远程监控功能,对分布式的指挥显示系统进行集中管理,提高了指挥显示系统软件的可靠性和维护性,在试验任务中取得了较好的效果。     

Structured maintenance policies on interior sample paths

We examine the problem of adaptively scheduling perfect observations and preventive replacements for a multi‐state, Markovian deterioration system with silent failures such that total expected discounted cost is minimized. We model this problem as a partially observed Markov decision process and show that the structural properties of the optimal policy hold for certain non‐extreme sample paths. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Properties of the geometric and related processes

Some properties of the geometric process are studied along with those of a related process which we propose to call the α‐series process. It is shown that the expected number of counts at an arbitrary time does not exist for the decreasing geometric process. The decreasing version of the α‐series process does have a finite expected number of counts, under certain conditions. This process also has the same advantages of tractability as the geometric process; it exhibits some properties which may make it a useful complement to the increasing geometric process. In addition, it may be fit to observed data as easily as the geometric process. Applications in reliability and stochastic scheduling are considered in order to demonstrate the versatility of the alternative model. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

面向Agent的CPN及其在航天装备体系评价中的应用

为弥补Agent和Petri网在各自建模中的缺陷,分析了二者现有的几种结合方式,给出面向Agent的着色Petri网(AOCPN)的定义及其运行规则和分析方法。利用AOCPN建立了以海上目标监视和打击为任务的航天装备体系评价模型,对其逻辑特性和作战效能进行了分析。建模过程和仿真结果表明,AOCPN能够完整描述体系的逻辑和物理特性,可用于全面分析评价体系的性能和对作战结果的影响,有效追踪体系执行任务的过程。