军用车辆行动部分疲劳寿命随机有限元分析

阐述了基于随机有限元的车辆行动部分可靠性原理及基本过程,将结构件的弹性模量、泊松比和几何尺寸等因素定义为随机场,并对其进行离散,同时分析了车辆行驶的典型路面的路面谱,利用随机有限元求解在不同的路面状况下车辆行动零部件的受力情况,得到了零部件危险点应力的随机分布和不同路面状况下疲劳可靠性,并对相关的实例进行分析。     

基于随机Petri网的装甲车辆综合电子系统可靠性研究

由于装甲车辆综合电子系统具有耦合性强、动态离散和复杂度高的特点,其难以采用静态故障树方法进行系统可靠性分析,针对这一难题,运用动态故障树方法对系统可靠性进行了分析判别,并运用随机Petri网建立了故障树的仿真模型。以某型车辆为例,通过仿真实验得出了综合电子系统的故障率和可用度指标的动态变化曲线,其分析结果为系统可靠性与测试性设计提供了理论参考。     

Information security: Designing a stochastic‐network for throughput and reliability

Todas information and communication network requires a design that is secure to tampering. Traditional performance measures of reliability and throughput must be supplemented with measures of security. Recognition of an adversary who can inflict damage leads toward a game‐theoretic model. Through such a formulation, guidelines for network designs and improvements are derived. We opt for a design that is most robust to withstand both natural degradation and adversarial attacks. Extensive computational experience with such a model suggests that a Nash‐equilibrium design exists that can withstand the worst possible damage. Most important, the equilibrium is value‐free in that it is stable irrespective of the unit costs associated with reliability vs. capacity improvement and how one wishes to trade between throughput and reliability. This finding helps to pinpoint the most critical components in network design. From a policy standpoint, the model also allows the monetary value of information‐security to be imputed. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

关于半鞅向量随机积分的两个结果

首先利用半鞅Girsanov定理与闭图像定理证明了:若{Xn}是带滤基的完备概率空间(Ω,F,F,P)中的一列半鞅,其中滤基F=(Ft)t≥0满足通常条件,且{Xn}在关于P的Emery拓扑空间中收敛于X,则当概率测度Q相似文献   

外加信号增强随机共振在微弱信号检测中的应用

在利用随机共振检测微弱周期信号的基本原理基础上,给出一种通过外加可控信号激励出随机共振现象,并将之应用于微弱信号检测的方法。采用仿真信号对该方法进行了验证,通过归一化尺度变换,将该方法的适用频率扩展到机械系统特征信号频段。结果表明,该方法简单可行,能把信噪比较低的周期信号从强背景噪声中提取出来,在机械故障检测中具有应用前景。     

一类随机差分方程的解序列的最优停止规则

设报酬序列{x_(?),(?),n≥0}满足随机差分方程x_(n+1)=x_n+a_n+b_nε_(n+1)(ε_1,ε_2,…为白噪声序列)。本文讨论了用有限情形{x_n,0≤n≤N}的Snell包逼近无限情形{x_n,n≥0)的Snell包的条件,得到了x_n=E(x_n|(?))((?)=σ{ε_0,ε_1,…,ε_n},ε_0=0)的Snell包r_n的分解形式和最优停时存在的条件。最后讨论了最优停止规则的迭代计算法,并得出了迭代过程在有限步停止的充分条件。     

随机共振原理在强噪声背景信号检测中的应用

动态系统中的噪声常被认为是令人讨厌的东西 ,但在特定的非线性系统中 ,噪声的存在事实上能够增强微弱信号的检测能力 ,这种现象就是随机共振 (SR ,stochasticresonance) ,它在物理、工业技术和生物医学领域里具有广泛的应用潜力。给出了利用随机共振原理检测微弱周期信号的基本方法 ,并采用模拟的信号对该方法进行了分析与验证。结果表明 ,该方法简单、稳健、可靠 ,能把信噪比较低的周期信号从强背景噪声中可靠地提取出来 ,将在机械故障诊断领域展示诱人的前景     

随机 Petri 网的瓶颈及其最大处理能力

介绍了随机Ｐｅｔｒｉ网瓶颈的概念,给出了一般随机Ｐｅｔｒｉ网最大处理能力的数学模型,针对一类特殊结构的随机Ｐｅｔｒｉ网,导出了分析其最大处理能力和瓶颈的快速算法,最后给出了一个防空决策组织信息处理瓶颈与处理能力分析的实例。     

Inventory management with advance capacity information

An important aspect of supply chain management is dealing with demand and supply uncertainty. The uncertainty of future supply can be reduced if a company is able to obtain advance capacity information (ACI) about future supply/production capacity availability from its supplier. We address a periodic‐review inventory system under stochastic demand and stochastic limited supply, for which ACI is available. We show that the optimal ordering policy is a state‐dependent base‐stock policy characterized by a base‐stock level that is a function of ACI. We establish a link with inventory models that use advance demand information (ADI) by developing a capacitated inventory system with ADI, and we show that equivalence can only be set under a very specific and restrictive assumption, implying that ADI insights will not necessarily hold in the ACI environment. Our numerical results reveal several managerial insights. In particular, we show that ACI is most beneficial when there is sufficient flexibility to react to anticipated demand and supply capacity mismatches. Further, most of the benefits can be achieved with only limited future visibility. We also show that the system parameters affecting the value of ACI interact in a complex way and therefore need to be considered in an integrated manner. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

基于随机时间影响网络的联合火力打击方案评估

联合火力打击方案评估是作战筹划和指挥决策的核心问题之一,对于打击手段的选择、战法的运用等具有重要的影响,其难点是在不确定条件下有效地建立作战方案到使命目标达成效果之间的映射关系.作战仿真方法往往存在突出的低效率问题,而解析模型的方法难以充分反映目标体系的内部联系和整体效果.目前概率推理模型广泛应用于军事领域的作战方案评...