电磁发射系统改进FAHP-神经网络健康评估方法

准确定量评估电磁发射系统发射前的健康状态意义重大。针对模糊层次分析方法(Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process, FAHP)在评估电磁发射系统串行结构同级元素健康值时存在较大偏差,且无法适用系统非线性变权重需求的缺陷,提出改进FAHP-神经网络方法。通过在计算同级元素健康指数时构造能够满足串行结构健康评估的非线性函数进行计算,并在数学上证明该方法的有效性;通过引入神经网络系统,在已有的系统先验信息和测量数据的基础上训练模型解决系统健康评估非线性变权重需求。基于电磁发射系统脉冲成形网络系统建立健康评估模型,开展评估试验。结果表明,提出的方法健康评估精度较高,在各种系统健康状态下,评估结果均符合系统实际的健康状况;对比传统的FAHP,提出的改进方法评估精度大幅提升,且在评估试验中没有出现故障误报和漏报的情况,从而验证了提出方法的可行性和工程实用价值。     

现役船体结构可靠性评估理论研究现状及展望

作为现役船体结构可靠性评估的关键技术,可靠性评估理论直接决定了可靠性评估结果的有效性和置信度。从可靠性评估理论的计算原理、度量指标计算及工程应用等方面阐述了传统可靠性评估理论和非概率可靠性评估理论的发展历程及研究现状,分析、总结了各可靠性评估理论在现役船体结构可靠性中的优势及不足,给出了今后开展相关研究的展望,并指出了现役船体结构可靠性研究的重点。     

核反应堆非能动系统物理过程敏感参数识别的迭代法

核反应堆非能动系统参数敏感性分析是系统可靠性不确定性分析的重要组成部分。相关系数在刻画系统物理过程的成功准则参数敏感性方面存在缺陷,针对此问题提出迭代法,其综合了输入参数与成功准则的相关系数、偏相关系数以及输入参数之间的相关系数三方面信息,通过实例验证方法的正确性和实用性。迭代法适合分析参数对成功准则的偏相关性,能识别出更为精确的敏感参数,为进一步提高非能动系统物理过程的可靠性提供参考依据。     

地磁匹配算法研究框架和组合匹配策略

以空中无人平台为背景,研究了地磁辅助惯性导航系统。分析了地磁匹配的特点,给出了一维匹配的概念。从特征空间、相似性度量、搜索空间、搜索策略等四个方面对一维匹配进行了分析,建立了一个地磁匹配方法研究的框架。通过简化惯导解算过程,将一维地磁匹配归结为一个带补偿过程的仿射变换,并提出了一种基于等值线约束的组合匹配算法。该算法兼顾了匹配的全局搜索能力和局部定位能力,能在飞行过程中在线进行。在仿真和车载实验中,对算法的匹配精度、速度、适应性进行了分析和验证,检验了算法的有效性和可行性。     

一种基于协调理论的军事决策过程建模方法

在分析协调理论应用的基础上,针对军事决策过程的建模,基于UML2.0的用例图,提出了基于协调理论的军事决策过程建模方法。应用该建模方法,有利于分析军事决策过程中的核心任务活动及其相关依赖,为指挥员实施平行决策,并发地制订和确定作战方案(Course of Action)提供依据,从而提高军事决策过程的适应性。     

A bivariate optimal replacement policy for a cold standby repairable system with repair priority

In this article, an optimal replacement policy for a cold standby repairable system consisting of two dissimilar components with repair priority is studied. Assume that both Components 1 and 2, after repair, are not as good as new, and the main component (Component 1) has repair priority. Both the sequence of working times and that of the components'repair times are generated by geometric processes. We consider a bivariate replacement policy (T,N) in which the system is replaced when either cumulative working time of Component 1 reaches T, or the number of failures of Component 1 reaches N, whichever occurs first. The problem is to determine the optimal replacement policy (T,N)* such that the long run average loss per unit time (or simply the average loss rate) of the system is minimized. An explicit expression of this rate is derived, and then optimal policy (T,N)* can be numerically determined through a two‐dimensional‐search procedure. A numerical example is given to illustrate the model's applicability and procedure, and to illustrate some properties of the optimal solution. We also show that if replacements are made solely on the basis of the number of failures N, or solely on the basis of the cumulative working time T, the former class of policies performs better than the latter, albeit only under some mild conditions. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

Asymptotic properties of imperfect repair models and estimation of repair efficiency

The aim of this articles is to study the asymptotic behavior of two imperfect repair models, called Arithmetic Reduction of Intensity and Arithmetic Reduction of Age models. These models have been proposed by Doyen and Gaudoin (Reliab Eng Syst Safe 84 (2004) 45–56) and include many usual virtual age models. First, it is proved that the failure intensity of these models is asymptotically almost surely equivalent to a deterministic increasing function with a cumulative error proportional to a logarithm. Second, the almost sure convergence and asymptotic normality of several estimators of repair efficiency are derived, when the wear‐out process without repair is known. Finally, the coverage rate of the asymptotic confidence intervals issued from those estimators is empirically studied. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

论译者的主体地位

翻译一直以来受到人们的重视,但对译者的地位论述却一直有些模糊,致使译者的身份一直没能得到正确而全面的认定。应通过翻译观的转变、创造性叛逆者、翻译的过程看译者的地位,从而证实译者是翻译的主体,在翻译中起主体作用。     

Inventory policies for a make‐to‐order system with a perishable component and fixed ordering cost

We consider a make‐to‐order production system where two major components, one nonperishable (referred to as part 1) and one perishable (part 2), are needed to fulfill a customer order. In each period, replenishment decisions for both parts need to be made jointly before demand is realized and a fixed ordering cost is incurred for the nonperishable part. We show that a simple (s_n,S,S) policy is optimal. Under this policy, S along with the number of backorders at the beginning of a period if any and the availability of the nonperishable part (part 1) determines the optimal order quantity of the perishable part (part 2), while (s_n,S) guide when and how much of part 1 to order at each state. Numerical study demonstrates that the benefits of using the joint replenishment policy can be substantial, especially when the unit costs are high and/or the profit margin is low. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

基于FAHP的岸防炮兵雷达作战效能评估分析方法

针对岸防炮兵雷达的特点和作战任务,从探测能力、定位能力、数据处理能力、目标识别能力、抗干扰能力、可用性、可靠性和生存能力8个指标层,建立岸防炮兵雷达作战效能评估的层次结构体系,并确定了指标体系综合指标的随机性和模糊性,运用模糊层次分析法对雷达效能进行综合评估,给出了确立各因素权重的方法.为该雷达作战使用提供了辅助决策的依据.