基于随机时间影响网络的联合火力打击方案评估

联合火力打击方案评估是作战筹划和指挥决策的核心问题之一,对于打击手段的选择、战法的运用等具有重要的影响,其难点是在不确定条件下有效地建立作战方案到使命目标达成效果之间的映射关系.作战仿真方法往往存在突出的低效率问题,而解析模型的方法难以充分反映目标体系的内部联系和整体效果.目前概率推理模型广泛应用于军事领域的作战方案评...     

空战飞机嵌入式训练系统的研究

空军正面对提高空战飞机训练效率的难题,嵌入式训练是解决这个问题的有效途径。结合现有研究技术和经验,研究了拥有高速无线网络和实时显控的嵌入式训练系统。可以使飞行员充分利用飞机内的原有设备进行训练,为飞行员提供了真实的操作、训练环境,同时指挥人员能够实时观察训练状况并做出科学的评估,具有突破性的训练效果。     

ARCPI辅助谐振电路优化控制

结合交流全电坦克炮控系统研究的一种三相软开关逆变器——辅助谐振换流极逆变器(Auxiliary Resonant Commutated Pole Inverter,ARCPI)的工作原理,提出了一种辅助谐振电路优化控制方法.采用这种方法,在保证三相逆变器主开关管零电压关断的前提下,可以使辅助开关管的工作次数减少一半,进...     

靶场GPS数据实时传输对安控时延的影响及修正

靶场对飞行器进行安控试验时需要掌握安控时延,而在实时传输安控信息中产生时延较大的信息为GPS数据,并对安控实时判决有很大的影响,针对GPS数据实时传输时延产生的原因进行了分析,提出采用最小二乘拟合法进行修正。验证结果表明,这一方法在实际应用中可有效提高安控的实时性,为试验指挥员的安控判决提供了充裕的时间。     

贝叶斯网络推理在信息系统安全风险评估中的应用

提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络推理的安全风险评估方法。从实际出发建立信息系统的贝叶斯网络模型,根据专家给出的先验信息,结合获得的证据信息,运用Pearl方法完成对模型的评估,给出在特定条件下模型的计算——线性推理算法。最后,以实例分析信息系统安全评估的实现过程,结果表明,该方法可行、有效。     

随机共振用于非周期信号处理的仿真

介绍了双稳系统及其数学模型,给出了该系统应用于非周期信号处理的应用模型,进行了仿真实验并给出了实验结果。在此基础上,对非周期随机共振信号处理的物理机制进行了分析。结果表明,非周期随机共振信号处理与传统的周期随机共振信号处理的机制类似,也是信号、噪声和双稳系统共同作用的结果。     

基于Langevin型随机共振的水中目标线谱检测

将Langevin型双稳态随机共振系统应用于水声时变线谱信号的检测,提出了设计水声线谱检测系统可以利用的外在参数。在水听器端建立了时变线谱模型,考查了随机共振系统对水声环境的适应能力。实验发现在信噪比变化、声压起伏、线谱漂移等情况下,系统都能较好的工作,为水声领域新型线谱检测系统的设计提供了依据。     

Dynamic order acceptance and capacity planning on a single bottleneck resource

We present a tactical decision model for order acceptance and capacity planning that maximizes the expected profits from accepted orders, allowing for aggregate regular as well as nonregular capacity. The stream of incoming order arrivals is the main source of uncertainty in dynamic order acceptance and the company only has forecasts of the main properties of the future incoming projects. Project proposals arrive sequentially with deterministic interarrival times and a decision on order acceptance and capacity planning needs to be made each time a proposal arrives and its project characteristics are revealed. We apply stochastic dynamic programming to determine a profit threshold for the accept/reject decision as well as to deterministically allocate a single bottleneck resource to the accepted projects, both with an eye on maximizing the expected revenues within the problem horizon. We derive a number of managerial insights based on an analysis of the influence of project and environmental characteristics on optimal project selection and aggregate capacity usage. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Modeling and analysis of a mixed‐model assembly line with stochastic operation times

We consider a mixed‐model assembly line (MMAL) comprised a set of workstations and a conveyor. The workstations are arranged in a serial configuration. The conveyor moves at a constant speed along the workstations. Initial units belonging to different models are successively fed onto the conveyor, and they are moved by the conveyor to pass through the workstations to gradually generate final products. All assembling tasks are manually performed with operation times to be stochastic. An important performance measure of MMALs is overload times that refer to uncompleted operations for operators within their work zones. This paper establishes a method to analyze the expected overload times for MMALs with stochastic operation times. The operation processes of operators form discrete time nonhomogeneous Markov processes with continuous state spaces. For a given daily production schedule, the expected overload times involve in analyzing the Markov processes for finite horizon. Based on some important properties of the performance measure, we propose an efficient approach for calculating the expected overload times. Numerical computations show that the results are very satisfactory. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Estimation of average backorders for an assemble‐to‐order system with random batch demands through extreme statistics

We investigate inventory management for a large‐scale multi‐product, multi‐component Assemble‐to‐Order system with general random batch demands. Results from extreme statistics theory are applied in developing approximation schemes for a widely used performance measure, customer backorders. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007