A general strategic capacity planning model under demand uncertainty

Capacity planning decisions affect a significant portion of future revenue. In equipment intensive industries, these decisions usually need to be made in the presence of both highly volatile demand and long capacity installation lead times. For a multiple product case, we present a continuous‐time capacity planning model that addresses problems of realistic size and complexity found in current practice. Each product requires specific operations that can be performed by one or more tool groups. We consider a number of capacity allocation policies. We allow tool retirements in addition to purchases because the stochastic demand forecast for each product can be decreasing. We present a cluster‐based heuristic algorithm that can incorporate both variance reduction techniques from the simulation literature and the principles of a generalized maximum flow algorithm from the network optimization literature. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

Structured maintenance policies on interior sample paths

We examine the problem of adaptively scheduling perfect observations and preventive replacements for a multi‐state, Markovian deterioration system with silent failures such that total expected discounted cost is minimized. We model this problem as a partially observed Markov decision process and show that the structural properties of the optimal policy hold for certain non‐extreme sample paths. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Tail hazard rate ordering properties of order statistics and coherent systems

We study tail hazard rate ordering properties of coherent systems using the representation of the distribution of a coherent system as a mixture of the distributions of the series systems obtained from its path sets. Also some ordering properties are obtained for order statistics which, in this context, represent the lifetimes of k‐out‐of‐n systems. We pay special attention to systems with components satisfying the proportional hazard rate model or with exponential, Weibull and Pareto type II distributions. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

ODS系统及其在电子战中的应用

数据仓库(DW)在决策支持系统起着举足轻重的作用,在数据的存储和挖掘中有着诸多优势,但对处理实时数据的处理效率不高,操作数据存储(operational data store)的出现弥补了数据仓库在效率上的不足。对ODS作了系统论述,并讨论其在电子战(EW)中的应用。     

基于ATV分析履带预张力对车辆软土通过性能的影响

对履带预张力对车辆软土通过性的影响规律进行了研究.采用ADAMS软件的ATV工具箱,建立了履带车辆与地面的相互作用模型.仿真结果表明,适当增加履带预张力可有效降低车辆的平均最大压力,并提高其挂钩牵引性能.该结论对履带车辆的设计者和使用者有一定的指导意义.     

小波变换在电力系统谐波检测中的应用

将小波变换方法应用于电力系统谐波检测中,用仿真算例说明该方法具有一定的有效性和可行性;用不同的小波函数进行了基频分量提取,给出了误差比较结果,初步分析了小波变换用于谐波检测时产生误差的主要原因.     

Progressive Type‐II censoring and coherent systems

A new connection between the distribution of component failure times of a coherent system and (adaptive) progressively Type‐II censored order statistics is established. Utilizing this property, we develop inferential procedures when the data is given by all component failures until system failure in two scenarios: In the case of complete information, we assume that the failed component is also observed whereas in the case of incomplete information, we have only information about the failure times but not about the components which have failed. In the first setting, we show that inferential methods for adaptive progressively Type‐II censored data can directly be applied to the problem. For incomplete information, we face the problem that the corresponding censoring plan is not observed and that the available inferential procedures depend on the knowledge of the used censoring plan. To get estimates for distributional parameters, we propose maximum likelihood estimators which can be obtained by solving the likelihood equations directly or via an Expectation‐Maximization‐algorithm type procedure. For an exponential distribution, we discuss also a linear estimator to estimate the mean. Moreover, we establish exact distributions for some estimators in the exponential case which can be used, for example, to construct exact confidence intervals. The results are illustrated by a five component bridge system. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 512–530, 2015     

基于GERT的武器装备维修备件订货间隔期预测

由于武器装备维修备件的需求是随机波动的,订货间隔期的准确预测就成为了一个难点。针对这样一个随机波动的需求系统,提出了利用GERT随机网络模型对其进行描述,进而求出随机波动需求的订货间隔期的解析表达式,解决了不确定性需求的订货间隔期的预测问题,为武器装备维修备件的科学管理提供数据支持。通过实例验证表明,GERT随机网络模型是解决武器装备维修备件订货间隔期的一种有效手段和方法。     

有效飞机动力学转换对驾驶员诱发振荡影响

有效飞机动力学转换可能会导致人机闭环失稳,在特定条件下会引起驾驶员诱发振荡。针对此问题,分析了致使驾驶员诱发振荡发生的主要因素,构建了人机闭环系统模型,推导了人机闭环系统失稳数学模型。研究了引起有效飞机动力学转换的可能因素,并运用时域和频域分析技术对有效飞机动力学转换所产生的影响进行了分析。案例研究表明:有效飞机动力学转换后,在特定条件下可引发驾驶员诱发振荡,但由此引起的驾驶员诱发振荡可以采用相关方法进行抑制。在恰当的抑制方法作用下,由有效飞机动力学转换引发的驾驶员诱发振荡不会产生灾难性的后果。     

视觉惯性导航系统初始化方法综述

视觉惯性导航系统通过初始化,对尺度信息、重力向量、速度、惯性传感器偏差等一系列状态估计所需参数进行快速求解,以提升系统后续导航定位与环境感知的准确性。根据传感信息耦合方式,视觉惯性导航系统初始化方法可以分为三类:联合初始化、非联合初始化和半联合初始化。基于现有研究工作,从基础理论、发展与分类、现有方法、性能评估四个方面展开,对目前主流的初始化方法进行综述,并总结视觉惯性导航系统初始化领域未来的发展趋势,有利于对视觉惯性导航系统初始化方法形成总体性了解并把握其发展方向。