一类随机差分方程的解序列的最优停止规则

设报酬序列{x_(?),(?),n≥0}满足随机差分方程x_(n+1)=x_n+a_n+b_nε_(n+1)(ε_1,ε_2,…为白噪声序列)。本文讨论了用有限情形{x_n,0≤n≤N}的Snell包逼近无限情形{x_n,n≥0)的Snell包的条件,得到了x_n=E(x_n|(?))((?)=σ{ε_0,ε_1,…,ε_n},ε_0=0)的Snell包r_n的分解形式和最优停时存在的条件。最后讨论了最优停止规则的迭代计算法,并得出了迭代过程在有限步停止的充分条件。     

含收益带费用的校对问题的最优停止

在假定每次校对费用可能不一样且带来一定收益的条件下,讨论了校对问题的最优停止,给出了Ｐｏｉｓｓｏｎ模型与二项模型的最优停时。     

二维连续型随机变量函数的分布的线积分算法

本文给出用线积分计算二维连续型随机变量(X,Y)函数的概率密度的一般公式。与通常方法相比,具有方法简单、计算量少的优点。     

阶梯形变截面弹性支座连续梁的弯曲计算

本文利用折算载荷法,推导出了阶梯形变截面弹性支座连续梁弯曲计算的基本方程,编写了通用计算机解题程序。     

双变因子LMS自适应滤波算法

为提高最小均方(LMS)自适应滤波算法的性能,在步长因子与误差信号满足一种改进的Sigmoid函数关系式的基础上,提出了一种双变因子控制下的变步长LMS自适应滤波算法。该算法具有初始状态收敛速度快、稳定状态均方误差小、抗噪声性能好、适应系统跃变能力强的优点。计算机仿真结果验证了该算法的优越性。     

On optimality of one‐bug‐look‐ahead policies for a software testing model

The optimality of the One‐Bug‐Look‐Ahead (OLA) software release policy proposed by Morali and Soyer ( 15 ) is re‐examined in this paper. A counterexample is constructed to show that OLA is not optimal in general. The optimal stopping approach is then called upon to prove that OLA possesses weaker sense of optimality under conditional monotonicity and the strong sense of optimality holds under a more restrictive sample‐wise monotonicity condition. The NTDS data are analyzed for illustration, and OLA is shown to be robust with respect to model parameters. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007.     

基于神经网络的离散变结构控制系统

系统研究了基于神经网络的离散变结构控制系统设计方法,提出了几种具体设计方案.神经网络的引入可以使滑模(变结构)控制具备学习与自适应能力,使控制信号得以柔化,从而能够减轻或避免困扰常规滑模控制器的抖振现象,改善控制效果.     

变截面梁的数值传递函数解法

本文在对一阶变系数微分方程组的数值解分析的基础上, 提出了一种数值传递函数方法, 作为对传递函数方法的一种直接推广。利用这种方法可以很方便地把传递函数方法扩展到各种变系数微分方程问题, 本文以变截面梁为例进行了讨论, 并建立了一种通用单元以减少计算。数值算例表明本方法具有精度高、应用灵活的特点。     

一类伴随型非线性系统的快速变结构控制

基于反馈线性化、时间次优控制及变结构控制理论,针对一类伴随型不确定非线性系统,提出了一种快速鲁棒变结构控制方案。这种控制方案在控制有约束的条件下,其中一部分用来把非线性系统反馈校正成线性系统,另一部分则用来为线性系统实现时间次优控制。仿真结果表明：这种控制器不仅动态响应快,而且从初始时刻开始就可产生滑模运动,从而增强了系统鲁棒性。     

Impacts of logistics information on sales: Evidence from Alibaba

Facing fierce competition from rivals, sellers in online marketplaces are eager to improve their sales by delivering items faster and more reliably. Because logistics quality can be known only after a transaction, sellers must identify effective ways to communicate logistics information to consumers. Drawing on the accessibility-diagnosticity framework, we theorize that the sales impacts of logistics information depend on its relative diagnostic value. Using data on 1493 items with 505,785 consumer reviews from an online marketplace, we examine how sales are affected by three information sources for logistics services: online word of mouth (WOM) about logistics, self-reported logistics services, and expected delivery time. We use an instrumental variable method to address the endogeneity issue between sales and WOM. We find that, ceteris paribus, consumers give more weight to WOM about logistics and delivery time when they make purchase decisions but less weight to self-reported logistics service. The effects of logistics information on sales are asymmetric for large and small sellers.