论实现党委科学决策应重点把握的三个要素

实现党委科学决策,必须在学习理论中“扩容”思维,在学习科技中“升级”本领,在学习党章中“硬化”原则,夯实党委决策的基础;必须运用选点实验的方法为决策“试车探路”,运用咨询专家的方法为决策“出谋划策”,运用信息化手段方法为决策“助推加力”,丰富党委决策的方法;必须建立健全调研论证、民意表达、监督制约、失误追究等制度,规范党委决策的流程。     

关于重演理论的实证调查与分析

重演理论是数学史与数学教育整合的重要理论基础.通过调查学生对负数大小的识别,发现数学的历史发展过程与学生的认知过程有着一定的相似性,可以利用重演理论来构建数学课程.一方面,运用重演理论反思教学内容编排的合理性,对知识的呈现顺序进行更为合理的设计,对课程的整体设置进行更适切的把握;另一方面,在针对某一知识点进行教学设计时,通过研究数学史,对学生的认知障碍进行预先分析,结合史实资源开拓学生思维,使学生对知识的理解更加多元、更加深入.     

指挥员作战决策行为的EWA学习模型分析

摘要：为在根本上提高作战决策质量,从行为学角度入手,以指挥员这一“人”为中心,并结合认知科学、心理学等知识对指挥员作战决策行为进行研究。从博弈角度出发,通过引入EWA模型,对指挥员作战决策行为进行分析和优化。结果表明,EWA模型,特别是加入“老练”指挥员后的模型能够明显改善指挥员决策行为,对指挥员,尤其是经验匮乏的指挥员决策行为表现有着重要的作用。     

帐篷辐射供暖试验研究

帐篷具有特殊的围护结构,其供暖不同于其他建筑。从特殊的使用及功能要求出发,确定研制以导电涂料发热为机理的新型电热供暖装置,制定并实现了其基本性能指标。针对帐篷在寒区取暖的现状,选择了较为合理的供暖方式,有效地解决了寒冷地区帐篷的供暖问题。分别在环境试验室模拟条件和自然气候条件下进行了低温供暖升温试验,通过试验研究了电热涂料辐射供暖的热舒适性和实测能耗,对试验结果进行了理论分析。试验表明对帐篷采用辐射方式供暖是一种高效的解决方案。     

Multivariate meta analysis with potentially correlated marketing study results

A univariate meta analysis is often used to summarize various study results on the same research hypothesis concerning an effect of interest. When several marketing studies produce sets of more than one effect, multivariate meta analysis can be conducted. Problems one might have with such a multivariate meta analysis are: (1) Several effects estimated in one model could be correlated to each other but their correlation is seldom published and (2) an estimated effect in one model could be correlated to the corresponding effect in the other model due to similar model specification or the data set partly shared, but their correlation is not known. Situations like (2) happen often in military recruiting studies. We employ a Monte‐Carlo simulation to evaluate how neglecting such potential correlation affects the result of a multivariate meta analysis in terms of Type I, Type II errors, and MSE. Simulation results indicate that such effect is not significant. What matters is rather the size of the variance component due to random error in multivariate effects. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 500–510, 2000.     

Responses of HFR-LWC beams under close-range blast loadings accompanying membrane action

The load-carrying capacities and failure patterns of reinforced concrete components can be significantly changed by membrane effects. However, limited work has been carried out to investigate the blast resistance of Hybrid Fiber Reinforced Lightweight Aggregate Concrete (HFR-LWC) members accompanying membrane action. This paper presents a theoretical approach to quantitatively depicting the membrane behavior and its contribution on the behavior of HFR-LWC beams under close-range blast loadings, and the suitability of the proposed model is validated by a series of field tests. An improved Single-Degree-of-Freedom (SDOF) model was employed to describe the dynamic responses of beam-like members under blast loadings accompanying membrane action, where the mass-load coefficient is determined according to the nonuniformly distributed load induced by close-range explosion, and the membrane action is characterized by an in-plane (longitudinal) force and a resisting moment. The elasto-plastic and recovery responses of HFR-LWC beams under the combined action of blast load and membrane force were analyzed by the promoted model. A specially built end-constrain clamp was developed to provide membrane action for the beam member when they are subjected to blast load simultaneously. It is demonstrated that the analytical displacement-time histories are in good agreement with experimental results before peak deflections and that the improved SDOF model is an acceptable tool for predicting the behavior of HFR-LWC beams under blast loadings accompanying membrane action.     

分布交互仿真技术在作战理论研究中的应用

介绍了分布交互仿真技术的发展现状,对应用分布交互仿真技术进行作战理论研究的问题进行了探讨。     

美国政府性科研管理机构推动军工科研的“风投”模式

推动军民融合深度发展,要充分发挥市场在资源配置中的决定性作用并更好地发挥政府作用。政府是军民科技协同创新网络的重要参与主体,承担着推动创新网络连接中风险承担者的角色。从这个角度来看,政府与风险投资者的角色有很大的共通之处。政府性科研管理机构作为政府参与军民科技协同创新网络的重要抓手,也是政府资金决策的重要执行者之一,其机构设置、运行机制影响着军民科技协同创新网络的系统性效率。本文分析了美国政府性科研管理机构的组织架构和运行过程,以及其推动军民科技协同创新网络运行效率提升的典型做法,以期为推动我国军民科技协同创新发展提供参考建议。     

物流配送中心性能化防火设计研究

分析物流建筑的火灾危险性,提出防止火灾蔓延是保证物流建筑消防安全的重要手段。通过某工程实例,采用计算和火灾数值模拟两种方法研究了不同火灾场景下火灾横向蔓延的性能,为此类建筑的喷淋系统设置和货架摆放位置提供了参考依据。     

消防中介机构法制建设问题研究

消防中介机构法制建设还存在很多问题,立法滞后,执法不严,必须加强法制建设,促进消防中介机构规范运行,以利于消防中介机构的健康发展。