Multivariate meta analysis with potentially correlated marketing study results

A univariate meta analysis is often used to summarize various study results on the same research hypothesis concerning an effect of interest. When several marketing studies produce sets of more than one effect, multivariate meta analysis can be conducted. Problems one might have with such a multivariate meta analysis are: (1) Several effects estimated in one model could be correlated to each other but their correlation is seldom published and (2) an estimated effect in one model could be correlated to the corresponding effect in the other model due to similar model specification or the data set partly shared, but their correlation is not known. Situations like (2) happen often in military recruiting studies. We employ a Monte‐Carlo simulation to evaluate how neglecting such potential correlation affects the result of a multivariate meta analysis in terms of Type I, Type II errors, and MSE. Simulation results indicate that such effect is not significant. What matters is rather the size of the variance component due to random error in multivariate effects. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 500–510, 2000.     

Responses of HFR-LWC beams under close-range blast loadings accompanying membrane action

The load-carrying capacities and failure patterns of reinforced concrete components can be significantly changed by membrane effects. However, limited work has been carried out to investigate the blast resistance of Hybrid Fiber Reinforced Lightweight Aggregate Concrete (HFR-LWC) members accompanying membrane action. This paper presents a theoretical approach to quantitatively depicting the membrane behavior and its contribution on the behavior of HFR-LWC beams under close-range blast loadings, and the suitability of the proposed model is validated by a series of field tests. An improved Single-Degree-of-Freedom (SDOF) model was employed to describe the dynamic responses of beam-like members under blast loadings accompanying membrane action, where the mass-load coefficient is determined according to the nonuniformly distributed load induced by close-range explosion, and the membrane action is characterized by an in-plane (longitudinal) force and a resisting moment. The elasto-plastic and recovery responses of HFR-LWC beams under the combined action of blast load and membrane force were analyzed by the promoted model. A specially built end-constrain clamp was developed to provide membrane action for the beam member when they are subjected to blast load simultaneously. It is demonstrated that the analytical displacement-time histories are in good agreement with experimental results before peak deflections and that the improved SDOF model is an acceptable tool for predicting the behavior of HFR-LWC beams under blast loadings accompanying membrane action.     

考虑禁飞区的高超声速飞行器再入跟踪控制

为确立高超声速飞行器再入精确模型,参考NASA的研究数据对动力学方程中的气动参数进行拟合。基于飞行器结构的相关性质及战略应用背景,加入热流密度、动压、过载和禁飞区等参考约束的限制,融合成强非线性、复杂耦合的最优控制问题。采用改进自适应伪谱法求解模型所构建的微分方程组,通过设置自适应网格细化与配点,使单位时间内状态变量和控制变量波动过大的时间区间被进一步细划,并利用SNOPT求解器解算出符合条件的最优轨迹。设计闭环控制器,实现对最优轨迹的姿态变化的跟踪,测试系统的性能并进行评估。仿真结果表明:整个再入过程中,飞行器速度下降过程偏于平稳,再入轨迹可以满足约束条件,在避开禁飞区的同时取得最大横向航程;三通道角速度收敛可控,对姿态的跟踪较理想,控制器基本可以实现精确调姿。     

空间双体系绳系统展开阶段末端星姿态动力学分析

为了研究空间系绳系统展开过程中末端星的姿态运动,采用第二类拉格朗日方程建立系统展开及末端星角运动的数学模型,分析展开阶段末端星的姿态动力学特性。建模时将系绳末端连接的母星与子星视为尺寸不可忽略的刚体,且母星质量远大于子星质量,系绳视为有质量的刚性杆。利用该数学模型可以分析系绳系统的展开过程,研究影响末端星姿态运动的主要因素,包括姿态角初始扰动以及末端星动/静不对称性。仿真结果表明,系绳展开时末端星姿态角初始扰动及动静不对称性可能会导致姿态角失稳,出现系绳缠绕星体的情况。仿真结果可以为展开阶段末端星姿态控制提供参考。     

增强军校本科学员指挥谋略能力研究——基于计算机兵棋系统

对指挥谋略进行概念分析,确定基于计算机兵棋系统的指挥谋略训练内容;明确计算机兵棋推演的一般步骤和注意事项;以联军2004年11月"破晓"行动为例运用计算机兵棋系统进行指挥谋略训练。研究表明,基于计算机兵棋系统运用战例研究可以成为增强军校本科学员指挥谋略的训练模式。     

带挠性附件双自旋卫星的 Liapunov 稳定准则

本文研究了带挠性附件双自旋卫星的姿态稳定性问题。假定挠性双自旋卫星由无内部活动部件的半刚性平台、半刚性转子以及固连于平台的挠性附件构成,选择姿态角和模态坐标表示的相对能量函数为Liapunov 函数,建立了挠性双自旋卫星姿态稳定性判据。     

基于自适应二阶终端滑模的航天器有限时间姿态机动算法

针对航天器有限时间姿态机动问题,提出一种自适应二阶终端滑模控制算法。设计一种终端滑模面,保证系统状态能够在有限时间内沿滑模面收敛到系统原点;为克服系统抖振,设计了二阶终端滑模控制器,并采用参数自适应估计项补偿系统中的外部干扰力矩。基于Lyapunov函数法证明了二阶自适应终端滑模控制器能够保证闭环系统实际有限时间稳定。仿真结果表明,提出的姿态机动算法响应速度快、精度高,能够有效实现对系统抖振和外部干扰的抑制,具有重要的科学意义和工程应用价值。     

基于磁强计和光纤陀螺的小卫星姿态确定非线性滤波算法

提出了一种小卫星姿态确定的非线性滤波算法,该算法利用三轴磁强计和光纤陀螺作为姿态敏感器。在非线性滤波器的设计中,从两个方面对平方根sigma点卡尔曼滤波方法进行改进。第一,把姿态四元数的矢量部分、光纤陀螺的漂移和噪声组合,得到滤波器的增广状态向量;第二,分别建立向量旋转模型、最优化模型和误差四元数乘法模型来确保非线性滤波过程中四元数的归一化约束。仿真分析结果表明,本文提出的非线性滤波算法能够有效地提高小卫星的定姿性能,与扩展卡尔曼滤波相比,具有较高的精度、稳定性和较快的收敛速度;与无迹卡尔曼滤波相比,收敛性相当,但是精度略优,稳定性和计算效率较高。     

建筑防火课程案例教学研究

在教学方法改革中,案例教学法越来越受到重视。《建筑防火》课程教学运用案例教学法有其必要性和可行性。要认真组织案例教学,充分认识教学过程中存在的问题,创造案例教学应具备的基本条件。通过案例教学调动学员学习的积极性、主动性,提高学员分析和解决问题的能力。     

高校舆情研究探析

及时了解和掌握学校各方面舆情动态、探索舆情的产生和变化规律,对于高校科学决策和处理舆情危机具有重要价值。本文阐述了新形势下高校舆情的含义、特点及舆情研究的内容,分析了高校舆情研究现状和存在的问题,提出了高校舆情研究的政策性建议,以便为高校制定发展战略,推动高校持续、健康、快速发展提供参考。