反恐工程支援装备国内外现状及发展

反恐工程支援装备是工程兵执行反恐维稳保障的重要手段,研究国内外反恐工程支援装备现状及发展趋势,便于我们掌握反恐支援工程装备发展的新动向、新技术、新材料的信息;汲取外军在工程支援装备研究中的经验,促进我军工程支援装备建设,不断适应多样化任务背景下对工程支援装备提出的新要求。     

对岸电子进攻中航母阵位确定方法?

针对航母编队对岸电子进攻作战提出了一种航母编队阵位确定的方法。基于航母编队在对岸电子进攻中的任务,提出了航母编队与岸边距离的基本要求,建立了航母编队与岸边距离的数学模型,仿真计算了模型中各个参数对航母编队与岸边距离的影响。这些模型可用于航母编队在对岸电子进攻中确定航母的阵位,满足航母编队作战使用的需要。     

A novel gradient approach for optimal design and sensitivity analysis of EWMA control charts

Conventional control charts are often designed to optimize out‐of‐control average run length (ARL), while constraining in‐control ARL to a desired value. The widely employed grid search approach in statistical process control (SPC) is time‐consuming with unsatisfactory accuracy. Although the simulation‐based ARL gradient estimators proposed by Fu and Hu [Manag Sci 45 (1999), 395–413] can alleviate this issue, it still requires a large number of simulation runs to significantly reduce the variance of gradient estimators. This article proposes a novel ARL gradient estimation approach based on integral equation for efficient analysis and design of control charts. Although this article compares with the results of Fu and Hu [Manag Sci 45 (1999), 395–413] based on the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart, the proposed approach has wide applicability as it can generally fit into any control chart with Markovian property under any distributions. It is shown that the proposed method is able to provide a fast, accurate, and easy‐to‐implement algorithm for the design and analysis of EWMA charts, as compared to the simulation‐based gradient estimation method. Moreover, the proposed gradient estimation method facilitates the computation of high‐order derivatives that are valuable in sensitivity analysis. The code is written in Matlab, which is available on request. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 223–237, 2014     

基于复杂网络的维修保障力量体系建模方法

针对传统的层级式维修保障力量体系在维修保障过程中暴露出的缺陷,从维修保障力量体系与复杂网络的相似性角度出发,提出用复杂网络理论来研究维修保障力量体系。在对维修保障力量活动过程进行网络化抽象的基础上,建立了维修保障力量网络的拓扑模型,提出了描述维修保障力量网络的特征量。以师维修保障力量体系作为研究对象建立了网络拓扑模型,并对该网络结构作了适当改进。通过一系列对比发现改进后的网络更有利于维修保障,这为维修保障力量体系建设提供了一种新思路和新方法。     

基于AHP的天波雷达装备维修保障能力评估

研究天波雷达装备维修保障能力评估问题。首先,根据天波雷达本身的特点建立了装备维修保障能力评估体系,并给出了各指标的意义及计算方法;其次,采用层次分析法确定评估指标体系中各指标的权重;最后,通过实际数据对目前天波雷达装备维修保障能力进行了计算。通过计算说明了模型能够反映天波雷达装备维修保障能力,计算结果可以为改进装备维修保障系统提供依据,亦可以为装备维修保障指挥提供辅助决策。     

利用星角距不变性标定星敏感器内部参数

提出了一种恒星角距不变的星敏感器内部参数的地面标定方法。较常见的星角距的标定方法不同的是,该方法利用对在0°附近的角度变化较敏感的恒星角距的正弦值建立观测方程;采用两步法分别估计焦距、主点和高阶畸变系数,并采用迭代优化的方法,获得最优估计值。为了确保标定精度,对观测时刻的导航星进行了视位置的修正。实验结果表明,采用星角距的正弦值建立观测方程,估计精度较高,采用考虑高阶畸变的改进正弦法标定后的星角距误差的均方根值为2.2×10-5rad。     

基于CBM的航空装备保障费用动态分析

目前航空装备的保障普遍存在保障费用高和装备可用度低的问题。针对视情维修(Condition-based Maintenance,简称CBM)在新一代航空装备中的应用,以保证航空装备的战备完好性,降低维修保障费用为目标,应用系统动力学原理,建立基于视情维修的航空装备保障费用的动态反馈结构模型。仿真结果表明,将视情维修方法应用到航空装备保障,可有效降低保障费用,提高战备完好率。     

基于云理论一二元语义的雷达装备保障指挥效能评估模型

针对云重心和云模型评判方法存在的信息丢失、难于评判以及信息扭曲等问题,从确定权重等级、评价集和评价结果3个方面对模型进行了改进和完善．应用二元语义确定指标权重,避免了评价信息的丢失和扭曲,采用综合云的思想确定评价集,充分利用评价者给出的信息,简化相似云的理论来定量衡量评价结果,从而建立了基于云理论一二元语义的雷达装备保障指挥效能评估模型．     

基于非负矩阵分解的电磁超声系统优化研究

针对孤立脉冲群电磁超声系统信号特征容易被噪声淹没的问题,提出基于改进的非负矩阵分解（INMF）优选特征的支持向量机（SVM）方法．首先,用3种不同的方法提取高维特征;其次,用NMF方法实现特征降维,并保证降维结果的唯一性,避免对特征的直接选择;最后,应用支持向量机方法对降维特征进行分类．对孤立脉冲群电磁超声系统采集的4种信号特征进行提取、选择和分类,实验结果表明：INMF方法能有效提取微弱信号的特征,减少运算量,提高电磁超声系统特征采集的准确率．     

The effect of foreign state support to UNITA during the Angolan War (1975–1991)

ABSTRACT

State support for foreign rebel groups has become more salient, yet it remains unclear how this affects armed conflict. This paper therefore analyses the effect of foreign government assistance and does so in the typical case of the Angolan War (1975–1991). It argues that South African and United States support greatly helped the National Union for the Total Independence of Angola (UNITA) wage a large and sustained insurgency campaign but was ultimately insufficient to overthrow the People’s Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) government because it enabled the incumbent government to obtain similar foreign assistance and because the level of aid awarded to UNITA fluctuated strongly, preventing it from engaging in meaningful long-term planning.