基于改进核极限学习机和集成学习理论的目标机动轨迹预测

为了提高目标轨迹预测的精度以及预测模型的泛化能力,提出基于改进蝙蝠算法优化的核极限学习机(Kernel Extreme Learning Machine,KELM)和集成学习理论目标机动轨迹预测模型。构建KELM模型,并采用改进的蝙蝠算法对KELM的参数进行优化;以优化后的KELM神经网络为弱预测器,结合集成学习算法生成强预测器,通过训练不断优化强预测的结构和参数,得到一种基于集成学习理论的目标机动轨迹预测模型;基于不同规模的样本,将所得预测模型与逆传播神经网络、支持向量机和极限学习机等模型进行对比分析。仿真结果表明:所提目标机动轨迹预测模型具有较好的预测精度和泛化能力。     

Predicting intensive care unit bed occupancy for integrated operating room scheduling via neural networks

In a master surgery scheduling (MSS) problem, a hospital's operating room (OR) capacity is assigned to different medical specialties. This task is critical since the risk of assigning too much or too little OR time to a specialty is associated with overtime or deficit hours of the staff, deferral or delay of surgeries, and unsatisfied—or even endangered—patients. Most MSS approaches in the literature focus only on the OR while neglecting the impact on downstream units or reflect a simplified version of the real‐world situation. We present the first prediction model for the integrated OR scheduling problem based on machine learning. Our three‐step approach focuses on the intensive care unit (ICU) and reflects elective and urgent patients, inpatients and outpatients, and all possible paths through the hospital. We provide an empirical evaluation of our method with surgery data for Universitätsklinikum Augsburg, a German tertiary care hospital with 1700 beds. We show that our model outperforms a state‐of‐the‐art model by 43% in number of predicted beds. Our model can be used as supporting tool for hospital managers or incorporated in an optimization model. Eventually, we provide guidance to support hospital managers in scheduling surgeries more efficiently.     

Scheduling maintenance and semiresumable jobs on a single machine

The majority of scheduling literature assumes that the machines are available at all times. In this paper, we study single machine scheduling problems where the machine maintenance must be performed within certain intervals and hence the machine is not available during the maintenance periods. We also assume that if a job is not processed to completion before the machine is stopped for maintenance, an additional setup is necessary when the processing is resumed. Our purpose is to schedule the maintenance and jobs to minimize some performance measures. The objective functions that we consider are minimizing the total weighted job completion times and minimizing the maximum lateness. In both cases, maintenance must be performed within a fixed period T, and the time for the maintenance is a decision variable. In this paper, we study two scenarios concerning the planning horizon. First, we show that, when the planning horizon is long in relation to T, the problem with either objective function is NP-complete, and we present pseudopolynomial time dynamic programming algorithms for both objective functions. In the second scenario, the planning horizon is short in relation to T. However, part of the period T may have elapsed before we schedule any jobs in this planning horizon, and the remaining time before the maintenance is shorter than the current planning horizon. Hence we must schedule one maintenance in this planning horizon. We show that the problem of minimizing the total weighted completion times in this scenario is NP-complete, while the shortest processing time (SPT) rule and the earliest due date (EDD) rule are optimal for the total completion time problem and the maximum lateness problem respectively. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 845–863, 1999     

空空导弹后射火控技术

对空空导弹后射火控技术进行了分析,重点讨论了后射中的导弹控制问题。由于在后射过程中的速度过零阶段,导弹的气动力无法提供足够的法向控制力,给出了气动力/推力矢量控制相结合的复合控制方案,并以此导弹控制模型实现了后射火控过程。通过数字仿真,比较了后射火控与越肩发射火控的不同攻击过程,表明所提出的导弹复合控制方案可以解决导弹后射火控问题,后射与越肩发射相结合可以更好地实现全向攻击。     

Safe distances

This work highlights the problem in military operations of setting safety limits for friendly forces, neutral forces, or civilians, to avoid sustaining unnecessary casualties both in wartime and in training. We present and investigate an analytic model which both enables the quantitative understanding of the inherent problems, and which furnishes a reasonably flexible tool in the hands of the analyst. Characteristic numerical results are displayed and analyzed: They show in particular that prevailing crude approximations are inadequate. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 259–269, 2001     

基于定子反电势E的异步电机速度辨识方法

针对以转子磁通作中间变量 ,利用定子电压电流辨识电机转速的MRAS方法存在的问题 ,提出以反电势作中间变量的改进的MRAS转速辨识方法 .通过对无速度传感器矢量控制系统的仿真 ,表明该方案具有较好的实用性     

高技术条件下的装备保障

通过分析研究高技术条件下装备保障的特点,概要阐述了外军装备保障的发展趋势,重点分析了我军装备保障的现状和发展中存在的问题,提出了装备保障发展的建设性意见.     

军事装备学学科建设与发展研究

论述了我院军事装备学学科建设与发展的研究内容,包括学科方向调整与队伍优化、课程体系构建和课程内容优化、教材建设规划等.     

局部放电在线监测电流传感器的等效电路及其参数计算

局部放电在线监测是保证电力设备正常工作的重要手段。从变压器理论出发 ,提出了局放脉冲电流传感器等效电路及其参数计算方法 ,所提出的方法已成功地应用于实际局放在线监测传感器的设计中     

器材保障DSS中面向对象的模型库系统

主要论述了装甲器材保障决策支持系统中的面向对象的模型表示方法和模型库系统设计,并介绍了模型库系统设计中的关键问题模型规范、模型建立、模型控制和模型监控等.