基于模糊理论的空袭目标威胁判断模型

对空袭目标威胁度进行合理排序是提高防空效能的重要因素。分析了影响空袭目标威胁度的各种因素,利用模糊综合评判的思想,建立了一种进行目标威胁判断的模型,并根据具体情况给出了排序的合理方法。通过实例,给出了具体的计算过程,并将此方法得出的结果与文献中的方法得出的结果进行了比较,充分说明了模型的可行性。     

Livelihood systems of enlisted Ugandan Army soldiers: honour and reform of the UPDF

This article explores the livelihood pathways of serving Ugandan Army soldiers and traces their methods and motivations for enlistment. All were from areas of northern Uganda affected by nearly two decades of violent instability. With the Uganda People's Defence Forces (UPDF) increasing recruitment eligibility requirements and taking other measures to improve professionalism, some soldiers enlisted using false credentials and names, travelled to skirt unofficial ethnic quotas, and joined against their family's wishes. The Army's defence reform process was intended to preclude such problems. The article concludes with reflections on what strategic deception (by both recruits and the Army) may imply for warriors' honour.     

Sacrificing urban governance at the altar of political expediency: Illegal street vending in Harare

ABSTRACT

This article uses the case of illegal street vending in Harare to explore the interface between urban governance and politics. Drawing on the ideas of urban governance and informal governance, it illustrates how polarisation between the opposition political party Movement for Democratic Change-dominated municipal council and the Zimbabwe African National Union Patriotic Front-led government is affecting governance in general and in particular Harare municipality’s ability to handle the illegal street vending problem. While the paper essentially identifies political expediency as the major reason why a lasting solution is elusive in handling the illegal street vending problem, it acknowledges that there are broad reasons for its persistence. Consequently, the article demonstrates some of the reasons why illegal street vending is difficult to end using the conventional methods and provides some alternatives.     

水面舰艇编队空中威胁扇面角预测模型

针对水面舰艇编队空中威胁扇面角的预测问题,分析了影响空中威胁扇面角大小的主要因素。以具有航路规划能力的远程反舰导弹为对象,从航空兵及远程反舰导弹的作战使用特点和装备性能限制着手,建立了计算威胁扇面角的数学模型。通过仿真分析,得出了主要参数对威胁扇面角的影响规律,为水面舰艇编队对空防御兵力的配置提供了依据。     

The Economic Consequences of the Libyan Spring: A Synthetic Control Analysis

Abstract

In 2011 a wave of revolutionary movements, the so-called Arab Spring, spread in the Middle East and North Africa. Libya was one of the most affected countries, ending Gaddafi’s dictatorship after an international intervention and a civil war. This paper assesses the effects that this revolution had on Libyan economy. The analysis is made by means of the synthetic control method. Our estimates for the 2011–2014 period show (i) a cumulative loss in the growth rate of per capita real GDP of 64.15%; (ii) a cumulative loss in per capita real GDP of 56,548 dollars; and (iii) a cumulative loss in the aggregate real GDP of 350.5 billion dollars.     

海战场舰艇反潜作战的优化配置研究

针对海战场舰艇反潜作战行动的特点,为增大反潜作战能力进行优化配置。在建立数学模型的基础上,以舰艇搜索突击群有效搜索带宽度为主要因素以及其他诸如概率参数的相关要素对反潜搜索能力进行优化配置,从而获得最大反潜搜索能力和最佳作战行动效果。该方法可以较好地为海战场作战行动的模拟仿真和实际应用提供理论依据和决策参考。     

合成孔径雷达的主要发展方向

首先简要介绍了合成孔径雷达(SAR)产生和发展的历程,其次对当前合成孔径雷达研究的一些主要的热点和发展方向:多参数SAR、干涉SAR、超宽带SAR、激光SAR,尤其是小型化SAR进行了适当的归纳和分析,并且相应地给出了部分具有代表性的SAR系统主要的参数,对合成孔径雷达的研究工作具有一定的理论参考价值。     

应急指挥决策方案的模糊综合评价研究

针对灾害现场应急指挥决策方案优选问题,提出了方案优选评价的可行性、时效性和安全性指标,应用模糊数学的相关理论构建了模糊综合评价的数学模型,采取专家调查打分法解决了方案评价影响因素的权重值及其评价等级的隶属度的确定问题,并采取加权平均算法对权重集A和影响因素评判隶属度矩阵R进行运算,得到的结果不仅反映了所有因素权值的影响,而且保留了单因素评判的全部信息,能够体现"模糊综合评价"的实质。     

A case study of gender and security sector reform in Zimbabwe

This article explores gender and security sector reform (SSR) in Zimbabwe from 2008 to the present. It firstly postulates that the purpose of gender-sensitive SSR is to transform security services so as to enhance human security, as opposed to having an exclusive focus on state and territorial security. A comprehensive analysis of the policy and legislative framework governing gender and SSR at the global, continental, sub-regional and national levels will be presented, followed by the argument that efforts to reform the partisan and oftentimes non-professional tendencies of the security sector – especially the Zimbabwe Defence Forces, Zimbabwe Republic Police, Central Intelligence Organisation and Zimbabwe Prison Services – to promote democracy have met with firm resistance. However, gender-sensitive SSR has made significant headway in Zimbabwe since it is considered less threatening by the government. It should be noted, nevertheless, that gender-sensitive SSR has the potential to shift levels of professionalism and accountability within the sector as well as change attitudes to enhance security at the personal and communal levels. The process can gradually increase the percentage of women serving in the security sector. In conclusion, recommendations are made to broaden and deepen gender-sensitive SSR as the only viable alternative in the current political environment in Zimbabwe.     

基于合成沸石的Cr~(3+)深度吸附处理

以吸附后溶液中Cr3+质量浓度低于国家相关标准为目的,采用搅拌动态吸附的方法,研究投加量、吸附时间、吸附温度、pH值对吸附的影响,考察沸石粉对Cr3+深度吸附的条件。实验发现,在沸石粉投加量为1g/L的前提下,吸附时间为2h、温度为55℃、pH值为4~5时分别达到较好吸附效果。开展三因素三水平正交试验,得到深度吸附条件为:投加量1g/L、吸附时间2h、吸附温度35℃、pH=5,此时去除率达到99.7%。对深度吸附条件进行验证,发现在此条件下可以将Cr3+溶液的质量浓度由0.1mg/L降低至0.03mg/L;最后通过实验得出沸石粉对Cr3+的饱和吸附量为79.93mg/g。