浅析新疆体育旅游开发前景

应用理论分析与文献资料等研究方法,对体育旅游的概念,新疆发展体育旅游的优势与不足及发展对策等问题进行初步探讨,分析了新疆体育旅游开发的前景,以期对新疆体育旅游发展有所裨益。     

Designing acceptance sampling schemes for life testing with mixed censoring

Mixed censoring is useful extension of Type I and Type II censoring and combines some advantages of both types of censoring. This paper proposes a general Bayesian framework for designing a variable acceptance sampling scheme with mixed censoring. A general loss function which includes the sampling cost, the time‐consuming cost, the salvage value, and the decision loss is employed to determine the Bayes risk and the corresponding optimal sampling plan. An explicit expression of the Bayes risk is derived. The new model can easily be adapted to create life testing models for different distributions. Specifically, two commonly used distributions including the exponential distribution and the Weibull distribution are considered with a special decision loss function. We demonstrate that the proposed model is superior to models with Type I or Type II censoring. Numerical examples are reported to illustrate the effectiveness of the method proposed. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

Development programs for one‐shot systems using multiple‐state design reliability models

Design reliability at the beginning of a product development program is typically low, and development costs can account for a large proportion of total product cost. We consider how to conduct development programs (series of tests and redesigns) for one‐shot systems (which are destroyed at first use or during testing). In rough terms, our aim is to both achieve high final design reliability and spend as little of a fixed budget as possible on development. We employ multiple‐state reliability models. Dynamic programming is used to identify a best test‐and‐redesign strategy and is shown to be presently computationally feasible for at least 5‐state models. Our analysis is flexible enough to allow for the accelerated stress testing needed in the case of ultra‐high reliability requirements, where testing otherwise provides little information on design reliability change. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

装甲器材申请计划及辅助决策模型问题研究

通过对我军装甲装备器材管理体制中,器材计划请领与供给的现状分析,提出了运用运筹学的理论和方法,结合计算机信息化管理手段,探讨装甲装备器材消耗规律模型和进行申请计划辅助决策分析的一整套解决方案。     

Feeding the Lion: China and defence development in African states

ABSTRACT

In analysing trends in Chinese defence engagement and their impact on defence development in African states, it is important to consider both China's changing policy priorities and its capabilities for the provision of defence support. China's international ambitions and its economic development contribute to its emergence as a key supporter of defence capability development in Africa, occupying a crucial niche as a provider of support, particularly arms transfers, appropriate to evolving local requirements. The economic and politico-military imperatives driving China's engagement of Africa, which stem from its economic reforms and re-emergence as a great power, are facilitating defence modernisation by accelerating the introduction of modern arms in substantial quantities. The commercial importance of arms exports and the growing importance of strategic ties strongly situate China to help sustain processes of defence capability development in African states over the long term.     

世界武器装备发展趋势

科学技术的飞速发展及其在军事领域的广泛应用,物化出全新的武器装备。文章分析世界各军事强国在感知装备、主战平台、精确制导武器、信息对抗装备、太空及新概念武器等方面加大研发力度,呈现出的全新发展态势。它推动军事领域深层次变革,对现代战争产生广泛而深刻的影响。     

论世界军事对国际格局的影响

本文论述了世界军事在国际格局形成、发展、演变过程中的作用。军事实力是影响国际格局的重要因素,各国军事实力的变化,促使世界向多极化迈进;局部战争对国际格局具有直接作用,朝鲜、越南、阿富汗及海湾战争的爆发、进程与结果,影响着国际格局的发展;各国军事战略的对抗性和相溶性,亦同样对国际格局有重要影响。     

互联网中文搜索引擎存在的问题与发展趋势探析

搜索引擎是互联网信息检索技术的核心,中文搜索引擎与国外相比存在着搜索引擎覆盖率低、查准率不高、检索精度差、更新速度慢、无法控制网络信息的动态变化、对信息内容难于控制和管理等问题。对此,提出了中文搜索引擎从单一查询工具向综合化、全功能服务发展;分类主题一体化,检索语言向自然语言发展;查询智能化,向多国化和多语种化发展;搜索引擎集成化、网络资源著录标准化及利用智能代理技术的信息检索等对策。     

关于新疆城乡人口素质差距的思考

中国城乡差距的持续存在和不断扩大,引起社会各界的高度关注。城乡人口素质差距是中国客观存在的事实。素质低下不仅制约农村广大农民增收致富,也是城乡二元结构持续存在的重要原因。人口素质差距是城乡差距中最根本的差距,通过教育等手段提高农村人口素质是缩小城乡差距的关键。只有消除城乡人口素质的差距,才能真正实现城乡协调发展。     

加强和改进警卫部队思想政治工作的几点思考

思想政治工作是政治建设中最核心的内容。在新的历史条件下,对警卫部队思想政治工作提出了新的更高的要求,思想政治工作必须不断改革创新,准确把握内在的特点规律,增强时代感、针对性、实效性和主动性。