Shock model in Markovian environment

A Markov modulated shock models is studied in this paper. In this model, both the interarrival time and the magnitude of the shock are determined by a Markov process. The system fails whenever a shock magnitude exceeds a pre‐specified level η. Nonexponential bounds of the reliability are given when the interarrival time has heavy‐tailed distribution. The exponential decay of the reliability function and the asymptotic failure rate are also considered for the light‐tailed case. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

Properties of the geometric and related processes

Some properties of the geometric process are studied along with those of a related process which we propose to call the α‐series process. It is shown that the expected number of counts at an arbitrary time does not exist for the decreasing geometric process. The decreasing version of the α‐series process does have a finite expected number of counts, under certain conditions. This process also has the same advantages of tractability as the geometric process; it exhibits some properties which may make it a useful complement to the increasing geometric process. In addition, it may be fit to observed data as easily as the geometric process. Applications in reliability and stochastic scheduling are considered in order to demonstrate the versatility of the alternative model. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

基于目标航迹分段的任务分配方案数学模型的建立

任务分配是进行计算机辅助决策的重要内容之一。本文从目标航迹分段着手,建立一种新的分配模型,解决了目标流的多次分配问题,并给出了具体应用实例。     

Failure profiles of coherent systems

In this paper we first introduce and study the notion of failure profiles which is based on the concepts of paths and cuts in system reliability. The relationship of failure profiles to two notions of component importance is highlighted, and an expression for the density function of the lifetime of a coherent system, with independent and not necessarily identical component lifetimes, is derived. We then demonstrate the way that failure profiles can be used to establish likelihood ratio orderings of lifetimes of two systems. Finally we use failure profiles to obtain bounds, in the likelihood ratio sense, on the lifetimes of coherent systems with independent and not necessarily identical component lifetimes. The bounds are relatively easy to compute and use. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

动态系统可靠性分析的新概念

传统可靠性分析的概念只能描述静态逻辑关系,不能满足现代复杂动态系统可靠性分析的需要。在给出动态系统状态空间结构和结构函数的基础上,提出失效序列和失效丛的概念描述动态系统的故障模式,这一概念扩展了传统可靠性分析的概念,将割集、蕴含集等作为其在静态情形的特例。给出动态系统部件的概率重要度、结构重要度以及关键重要度的概念,用实例对提出的有关概念进行了说明。     

车载光学测量设备任务调度问题建模与求解

为提高观测方案效费比、改进探测能力,探索了一类车载光学测量设备的观测任务调度问题,并给出了解决方案。将观测任务调度问题建模为一个寻找最优观测方案的数学问题,结合设备的性能特点,给出了观测方案的数学描述,梳理了观测方案应满足的约束,提出了评价观测方案质量的指标,进而利用多属性决策方法来计算不同方案的总体效能,并排序获得最优方案。仿真算例验证了方法的有效性,相关研究成果对车载光学测量设备的运用实践具有一定的参考价值。     

基于遗传算法的通信网络可靠性优化设计

在可靠性条件约束下 ,使网络成本最低是网络规划NP hard问题 .文章提出一种基于遗传算法的优化方法解决了这类问题 .仿真结果表明这种算法是有效的 .     

基于遗传算法的大系统可靠度优化分配

给出了大系统可靠度优化分配的数学模型 ,设计了大系统可靠度优化分配问题的遗传算法。数值例子表明该方法可以有效地解决大规模的、复杂的非线性规划问题。解决了传统算法的局限性     

一种基于模糊可靠度确定雷达故障检测间隔期的方法

将雷达装备参数漂移的动态范围模糊化 ,并基于数理统计中参数估计的理论 ,建立了雷达装备的参数模糊可靠度预计模型。把该模型应用于确定雷达电参数的故障检测周期 ,并通过实例论证此方法的优越性和实用性。     

多人多任务动态决策建模的环境

就人的组队如何解决多任务环境中具有不定性情况下分布式资源管理等问题 ,在微机上采用具有音响—图形功能的 Turbo pascal程序语言 ,建立了一个可以控制的实验环境 ,经分析得出 :在此环境中 ,可以模拟、产生 C3分布系统方面基本的决策制作问题 ,且能充分适应于复杂性的逐步引入 ,可用作建立多人多任务动态决策模型的载体 ,开发组队决策的规范—描述理论。