计及技术风险的复杂系统多分辨率风险评估方法

针对技术风险难以直接度量、模型参数设定主观性较强等问题,利用技术成熟度的规范化方法评估系统组成的技术实现条件和难度;通过矩阵化的系统描述及关联关系推理,建立各分系统技术成熟度与系统过程模型动态参数之间的量化关系;采用系统过程建模仿真的间接方法,计算进度或费用超出可承受范围的不确定性,用以评估复杂系统研制的技术风险。通过多分辨率建模方法提高系统分析粒度,使该方法具有随系统演化过程对技术风险评估保持更新和分析粒度提升的能力。     

断裂复合材料层压板贴片快速修复工艺研究

采用CMR-1A复合材料热补仪和3234/G814复合材料预浸料贴片,对完全断裂的复合材料层压板进行双面修复。通过正交试验法获得了最佳修复工艺参数:固化温度为130℃;固化时间为80 min;贴片层数为5层(单面);真空度为0.04 MPa;贴片长度为50 mm。对优化工艺参数进行试验验证,结果表明:复合材料层压板拉伸强度从0 MPa增加到320.84 MPa,提高了57.29%;LY12CZ铝合金和45钢板拉伸强度恢复率分别为96%和75.53%。     

C^3I/M＆S互操作性研究

结合C^3I/M＆S互操作性的主要问题,总结了互操作性技术参考模型,在此基础上对C^3I/M＆S互操作性的数据模型及标准、接口标准进行了详细论述,介绍了北约C^3I/SIM互操作性试验情况,并指出了未来C^3I/M＆S互操作性研究的发展趋势,对军队C^3I系统和仿真系统的建设有一定的指导意义。     

高压细水雾灭火装置在灭火救援中的应用

着重阐述了细水雾灭火技术作为一种新型灭火技术,其产生的背景和意义,介绍了细水雾灭火装置的灭火原理和技术特点,并结合高压细水雾灭火装置,提出了在消防部队灭火救援应用中存在的问题和应掌握的技术要领。     

一种基于扩展控制流图的DA交互结构表示方法

程序控制流图不能表示DA交互发生点处实际执行的SQL语句,因而不能清晰地表示出程序数据库的交互过程。针对该问题提出了用有限状态自动机表示DMLSQL语句,根据自动机的运行过程确定交互语句使用或定义的数据对象,并利用此信息生成表示交互语句的结点,以扩展CFG。实验表明,经过扩展后的ECFG能够直观地表示DA程序中与数据库的交互结构。     

支持向量机在柴油机技术状况评估中的应用

介绍了现有的柴油机技术状况评估方法,分析了这些方法的局限性和支持向量机在处理小样本、非线性、高维数等方面的优势。提出了基于支持向量机的柴油机技术状况评估模型。确定了能够表征柴油机技术状况变化的特征,并通过实车试验提取这些特征;构建了基于支持向量机的柴油机技术状况评估模型,并对部分试验车辆柴油机进行了评估。结果证明：支持向量机在装甲车辆柴油机技术状况评估中的应用是可行的。     

双处理器的图像跟踪系统硬件平台设计

通过分析装甲车车载图像跟踪系统的任务和应用环境,设计了以TMS320C6202数字信号处理器(DSP)为核心,结合PC104嵌入式计算机的双处理器并行处理硬件平台;详细介绍了利用大规模FPGA芯片实现系统总线仲裁和逻辑控制的设计思想;并给出了体现系统智能化程度的--DSP模块的程序智能加载技术以及其实现方法.实际系统测试表明该硬件平台能满足图像跟踪系统的实时性、可扩展性、稳定性的要求,为装甲战车的数字化改造提供了可靠的保障.     

Dynamic pricing in a trade-in program with replacement and new customers

Trade-in programs have been widely adopted to enhance repeat purchase from replacement customers. Considering that a market consists of replacement and new segments, we study the joint and dynamic decisions on the selling price of new product (hereafter, “selling price”) and the trade-in price involved in the program. By adopting a vertical product differentiation choice model, we investigate two scenarios in this paper. In the base model, the manufacturer has sufficiently large production capacity to fulfill the customer demand. We characterize the structural properties of the joint pricing decisions and compare them with the optimal pricing policy under regular selling. We further propose a semi-dynamic trade-in program, under which the new product is sold at a fixed price and the trade-in price can be adjusted dynamically. Numerical experiments are conducted to evaluate the performance of the dynamic and semi-dynamic trade-in programs. In an extended model, we consider the scenario in which the manufacturer stocks a batch of new products in the beginning of the selling horizon and the inventory cannot be replenished. Following a revenue management framework, we characterize the structural properties with respect to time period and inventory level of new products.     

A guarantee rate optimization model for wastewater treatment system design under uncertainty

We consider a design problem for wastewater treatment systems that considers uncertainty in pollutant concentration levels at water sources. The goal is to optimize the selection of treatment technologies and pipeline connections, so that treated wastewater can achieve specified effluents discharge limits as well as possible. We propose a new two-stage model to optimize a set of guarantee levels, that is, the maximum concentration level of source pollutants for which treated wastewater can be compliant with discharge limits. In the first stage, treatment technologies and pipeline connections are selected. In the second stage, when pollutant concentration levels are revealed, wastewater distribution and mixing are determined. A key attractiveness of the proposed guarantee rate optimization model is that it can be simplified into a single-stage mixed-integer linear program. In our numerical experiments based on real-world pollutants data, the guarantee rate model demonstrates its advantages in terms of computational efficiency, scalability and solution quality, compared with the standard probability maximization model. Finally, the methodology proposed in this paper can also be applied to other two-stage problems under uncertainty with similar uncertainty characteristics.     

基于贴近度的机械设备技术状态综合评估方法

讨论了模糊逻辑方法应用于技术状态综合评估的问题,提出了基于贴近度概念的技术状态综合评估方法;介绍了专家系统开发时,基准状态集的建立、基准状态中特征参数的选择、特征参数归一化处理模型等关键技术;讨论了专家系统的运行方式和知识库扩充的基本步骤.