弹丸对钢管混凝土结构冲击效应的数值模拟

为将模块化设计钢管混凝土结构用于防御工事的构建,进行20 mm口径弹丸垂直侵彻混凝土结构和不同钢管混凝土结构的数值模拟,对比不同结构的抗冲击性能,分析钢管混凝土结构抗冲击性能提高的机理.结果表明,正六边形钢管混凝土结构抗冲击性能良好,兼容了金属和混凝土材料的优点,克服了混凝土材料的脆性以及金属材料容易发生局部屈曲的缺点,为防御工事结构的改进提供了理论基础和参考依据.     

同时验证整装和分系统固有可用度的试验方案

针对整装和分系统可用度同时需要验证的问题,假设单系统可用度、可靠性和维修性试验方案都已知,以试验样本量确定方法为研究重点,以同时验证整装和分系统的可用度、平均故障间隔时间和平均修复时间等3个指标参数为设计要求,提出了一种定数截尾试验方案.该方案包括2种试验方式.2种试验方式都能够完成对整装和分系统3个指标参数的验证.     

传导冷却高温超导磁体热输运参数反演识别

在传导冷却高温超导磁体系统中,超导磁饼热导率以及磁饼与导冷体之间的界面热阻是影响热输运的主要因素,也是传导冷却超导磁体系统热设计的难点。为了获得准确的热导率和界面热阻参数,根据Levenberg-Marquardt算法提出通过表面测温确定传导冷却超导磁体热输运参数的反演识别方法。搭建低温实验数据测试平台,建立高温超导磁饼三维各向异性热传导模型。利用反演算法对传导冷却Bi2223高温超导磁体在40~76K温区的各向异性热导率与界面热阻进行反演识别,并分析测温误差对识别结果的影响。研究成果将为超导磁体热输运参数的获取提供一种新思路。     

FORECASTING SERIES CONTAINING OFFSETTING BREAKS: OLD SCHOOL AND NEW SCHOOL METHODS OF FORECASTING TRANSNATIONAL TERRORISM

Transnational terrorism data are difficult to forecast because they contain an unknown number of structural breaks of unknown functional form. The rise of religious fundamentalism, the demise of the Soviet Union, and the rise of al Qaeda have changed the nature of transnational terrorism. ‘Old School’ forecasting methods simply smooth or difference the data. ‘New School’ methods use estimated break dates to control for regime shifts when forecasting. We compare the various forecasting methods using a Monte Carlo study with data containing different types of breaks. The study's results are used to forecast various types of transnational terrorist incidents.     

THE REGIONAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF MILITARY BASE REALIGNMENTS AND CLOSURES IN GERMANY

We identify the causal effect of a reduction in military personnel on a number of socioeconomic indicators within the peripheries of military bases. The base realignments and closures in Germany are used as an exogenous source of variation that allows us to identify the effect of a demand shock on household income, output, unemployment, and tax revenue within a specified buffer zone around each base. The analysis covers 298 communities for the period 2003–2007. Consistent with evidence found elsewhere, we find that these base adjustments have only a marginal impact on the local community in which the bases are located.     

基于规则LDPC码校验矩阵的测试响应压缩方法研究

摘要：针对现有的测试响应压缩方法在未知位处理能力、混淆能力、诊断能力和压缩能力方面只侧重于单一能力的问题,首次将LDPC编码技术应用于测试响应压缩中,提出一种基于规则LDPC码校验矩阵的测试响应压缩方法．通过对上述4种能力进行仿真分析得出,该方法与现有测试响应压缩方法相比整体性能有明显的提升．     

温升热源条件油气热着火关键因素探究

通过对影响油气受热着火的关键因素进行研究,为发展主动防护技术提供理论依据。基于系统的实验和分析,探究了快速氧化现象、热源加热速度、热源面积与爆燃空间比例对热着火发生时临界浓度、着火概率和着火延迟期的影响,提出了温升热源条件受限空间能否发生热着火的综合判据。该判据认为：如果油气体积分数低于2.4％,受限空间体积与热源面积比值小于0．64m,那么即使温度达到873K,湿度降低到18％～21％,着火也不会发生。     

Two novel critical shock models based on Markov renewal processes

In this paper, we investigate systems subject to random shocks that are classified into critical and noncritical categories, and develop two novel critical shock models. Classical extreme shock models and run shock models are special cases of our developed models. The system fails when the total number of critical shocks reaches a predetermined threshold, or when the system stays in an environment that induces critical shocks for a preset threshold time, corresponding to failure mechanisms of the developed two critical shock models respectively. Markov renewal processes are employed to capture the magnitude and interarrival time dependency of environment-induced shocks. Explicit formulas for systems under the two critical shock models are derived, including the reliability function, the mean time to failure and so on. Furthermore, the two critical shock models are extended to the random threshold case and the integrated case where formulas of the reliability indexes of the systems are provided. Finally, a case study of a lithium-ion battery system is conducted to illustrate the proposed models and the obtained results.     

运载火箭随机振动环境试验条件的变带宽设计方法

针对运载火箭随机振动环境试验条件提出了基于能量等效思想的变带宽设计方法,通过采用分数倍频程数据处理方法,并确保各个频带内的均方根值与原随机振动环境的均方根值相同,有效解决传统的等带宽随机振动环境试验条件总均方根过高的问题。为了验证所提方法的有效性,通过典型管路产品进行了随机振动响应计算。结果表明,该方法既能够有效地对产品进行考核,又不至于对产品造成过考核。所提变带宽设计方法可为运载火箭随机振动环境条件的合理设计与分析提供有效手段。     

Explosion temperature mapping of emulsion explosives containing TiH2 powders with the two-color pyrometer technique

In the study, the two-color pyrometer technique was used to measure the transient temperature field of emulsion explosives with different contents of TiH₂ powders. The experimental results showed that the introduction of TiH₂ powders could significantly increase the explosion temperature and fireball duration of emulsion explosive. When emulsion explosives were ignited, the average explosion temperature of pure emulsion explosive continuously decreased while emulsion explosives added with TiH₂ powders increased at first and then decreased. When the content of TiH₂ powders was 6 mass%, the explosion average temperature reached its maximum value of 3095 K, increasing by 43.7% as compared with that of pure emulsion explosive. In addition, the results of air blast experiment and explosion heat test showed that the variation trends of shock wave parameters, explosion heat and theoretical explosion temperature of emulsion explosives with different contents of TiH₂ powders were basically consistent with that of explosion temperature measured by the two-color pyrometer technique. In conclusion, the two-color pyrometer technique would be conducive to the formula design of emulsion explosive by understanding the explosion temperature characteristics.