The Serbian defence institution: the need for clear policy guidance to improve the Serbian defence planning,management, and command processes

ABSTRACT

The uncritical layering of western liberal defence governance norms and concepts on top of existing legacy concepts has impeded achieving coherent military capabilities and capacities when Serbia’s political and military leadership tried to reform the defence system using Western benchmarking principles and Western countries’ best practices. The process of this change has been more valuable than its actual output, as defined by increased capabilities. Such outcomes should be reflective of policy guidance, and can be thought of as closing the trinity loop of a defence planning system: plans, money and execution. This article addresses two key functional areas of the Serbian defence institution. First, it assesses the current state of defence planning to discern its strengths and weaknesses to ascertain if plans are tied to financial decision-making. Second, a full examination of current Serbian defence management is conducted to discern whether weaknesses exist that distract from producing operational capabilities. Both areas are analyzed thoroughly and some solutions for change are proposed. Also, the article analyzes the appearance of two negative phenomena in the planning process – economization and managerialism.     

旋转自稳定末敏子弹运动特性分析

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防空兵确定被保卫目标重要性的一种方法

防空兵正确确定被保卫目标的重要性,是正确构建防空火力配系的基础.首先全面梳理了确定被保卫重点的六条依据,然后,在分析目标选定因素的基础上,给出了利用层次分析法确定各个指标权重的方法,同时,建立了防空兵评价被保卫重点目标重要性的数学模型,并结合一个实例验证了方法的应用.     

Integrated guidance and control of guided projectile with multiple constraints based on fuzzy adaptive and dynamic surface

Based on fuzzy adaptive and dynamic surface (FADS), an integrated guidance and control (IGC) approach was proposed for large caliber naval gun guided projectile, which was robust to target maneuver, canard dynamic characteristics, and multiple constraints, such as impact angle, limited measurement of line of sight (LOS) angle rate and nonlinear saturation of canard deflection. Initially, a strict feedback cascade model of IGC in longitudinal plane was established, and extended state observer (ESO) was designed to estimate LOS angle rate and uncertain disturbances with unknown boundary inside and outside of system, including aerodynamic parameters perturbation, target maneuver and model errors. Secondly, aiming at zeroing LOS angle tracking error and LOS angle rate in finite time, a nonsingular terminal sliding mode (NTSM) was designed with adaptive exponential reaching law. Furthermore, combining with dynamic surface, which prevented the complex differential of virtual control laws, the fuzzy adaptive systems were designed to approximate observation errors of uncertain disturbances and to reduce chatter of control law. Finally, the adaptive Nussbaum gain function was introduced to compensate nonlinear saturation of canard deflection. The LOS angle tracking error and LOS angle rate were convergent in finite time and whole system states were uniform ultimately bounded, rigorously proven by Lyapunov stability theory. Hardware-in-the-loop simulation (HILS) and digital simulation experiments both showed FADS provided guided projectile with good guidance performance while striking targets with different maneuvering forms.     

美国的弹道导弹防御激光武器

主要介绍了美国正在发展的用于弹道导弹防御的机载激光器和太空激光器的基本组成、能力、作战构想、发展计划、进展情况和面临的主要技术挑战     

超视距雷达及其防空应用

从分析超视距雷达在对抗隐身目标、低空超低空目标、反辐射导弹和电子干扰时的优势出发 ,阐述超视距雷达在现代防空体系中所发挥的独特作用和世界超视距雷达的发展状况 ,最后对超视距雷达的发展前途作了预测。     

区域防空网络化作战体系结构研究

区域防空网络化作战是未来防空作战的发展趋势。基于对区域防空网络化作战的需求分析,围绕网络化防空作战中网络连接对象和连接方式两个核心问题,建立了区域防空传感器网络、指挥控制网络、武器系统网络的体系结构。此项研究对于区域防空网络化作战体系的优化分析和规划具有一定的指导意义。     

区域防空作战重点保卫目标的模糊优选与排序

重点保卫目标的优选和排序成为防空作战的重要问题。只有优选重点保卫目标,集中防空兵力,有效地进行防空作战布置,才能确保重点目标不受或少受损失。在分析了影响重点保卫目标因素的基础上,利用多属性决策的特点和模糊原理,对重点保卫目标的优化选择进行了量化分析,给出了重点保卫目标的优选方法和排序准则。     

Striking a deal on the F-35: multinational politics and US defence acquisition

Why does joint defence production of advanced weapons systems, which appears like a logical choice at first, become harder for both the primary production state and its allies to manage and justify as the acquisition process runs its course? To answer this question, we analyze the multinational politics of the F-35 JSF with a focus on how secondary states who have bought into the program are affected by domestic politics within the primary production state. We find that US congressional and bureaucratic politics, cuts to US defence spending, and a desire to retain tight control over the program has locked allies into a program with which they have little leverage. Potentially losing the ability to fight along side the US if they don’t follow through, coupled with inter-Alliance pressures, leaves secondary states who are involved with the F-35 program, vulnerable to the whims of US domestic politics.     

Identifying the challenges to defence reform in Central and Eastern Europe: observations from the field

The authors have over 50 years' experience of working on defence in Central and Eastern Europe. They have been intimately involved in trying to reform over 10 national defence organisations including Ukraine. During this work, they often faced intractable resistance and scepticism or conversely, apparent unbounded support, but following this, a complete lack of any actual implementation work by officials. This paper addresses some of the findings and observations identified by the authors that appear to cause these responses and the consequent failure of reform. A new research approach has been taken by using the business and culture tools from Schein, Hofstede and Kotter to try and unravel the underlying causality of that failure. The second part of the paper produces a new process for change based upon the research conclusions to help other advisers and consultants working on reform in the post communist defence arena.