接敌前基于D-S理论的空战意图预测

接敌前是指敌机刚进入我方预警系统的探测范围(一般为400 km),并截获敌机,获得了敌机的运动参数,对敌机进行实时跟踪。为了完成对敌机目标意图的预测,为接敌前的自主决策打下基础,在D-S证据理论的基础上,选取合适的态势元素,分析各态势元素对敌机意图的影响,建立了目标意图预测模型,该模型具有一定的表达性和准确性。仿真实验表明,使用该模型能在敌机相距较远时以一定的准确性判断敌机的意图,实用性强,为接敌前基于意图预测的自主决策留出足够的时间。     

大学生思想政治教育创新策略探析--基于学习党的十八届五中全会精神

党的十八届五中全会是我党历史上一次重要会议,其精神对全面建设小康社会各项事业均有重要的启示。文章从思想政治教育的角度解读了十八届五中全会的创新、绿色生态、质量效益等精神,分析了这些精神对大学生思想政治教育的启示：在指导思想上要毫不动摇地坚持马克思主义和中国特色社会主义理论;在内容上强调文明、信心、创新、生态、认真意识的培养;在形式上利用互联网等媒体丰富大学生思想政治教育的手段。全面贯彻这些精神有助于大学生思想政治教育目标的实现。     

Swedish–Finnish naval cooperation in the Baltic Sea: motives,prospects and challenges

Recently, Finland and Sweden decided to substantially deepen their defence cooperation and this project involves creating a bilateral standing Naval Task Group (SFNTG). The present article aims at examining the deepening naval cooperation between Finland and Sweden from a regional integration perspective, focusing on its motives, current challenges and future prospects. Driven by perceptions of common challenges and desires for cost-effectiveness, and strengthened by recent successes on sea surveillance and a combined Amphibious Task Unit, the bilateral project has considerable potential to achieve success. To fulfil its objectives, substantial legal changes in both countries are required to allow the use of force on each other’s territorial waters. To cater for the requirement of not conflicting with EU, NORDEFCO or NATO cooperations, the bilateral Task Group must operate according to NATO standards and by using English as the language in command and control. The costs of adjusting the naval units to NATO’s technical requirements are far from negligible and this issue still remains to be solved. If Finland and Sweden manage to incorporate new policies, common structures and common organisational norms among their navies, an even deeper integration, as in Belgium and the Netherlands, are conceivable.     

North European security after the Ukraine conflict†

Russia’s illegal occupation and annexation of the Crimean peninsula in February–March 2014, and the country’s well-documented involvement in the separatist conflict in Eastern Ukraine, have led to a significant worsening of Russia’s relations with the West. Vladimir Putin’s move to redraw Russia’s southern borders through the use of military force and subversive measures has given rise to an uncertainty that goes well beyond the post-Soviet space. Since 2014, North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has had to reassess many aspects of its relationship with Russia. The alliance has also initiated various measures to strengthen the military security of its eastern member states, particularly the Baltic states, Poland, and Romania. Further to the North, NATO’s northernmost member – Norway – is following developments in Russia with a heightened sense of awareness. The same goes for non-aligned Sweden and Finland, which are trying to adapt to the emerging, and increasingly complex, security environment in Northern Europe.     

Defining quantitative criteria for the physical protection system effectiveness of nuclear facilities

The article is devoted to problems of defining quantitative criteria for the physical protection system (PPS) effectiveness of nuclear facilities. The article briefly describes the scheme of the PPS development used in the nuclear industry in Russia, gives a review of existing approaches to defining the minimal acceptable value of the system's effectiveness, and reveals advantages and disadvantages of the approaches. The article describes in detail an approach based on facility categorization by potential losses and a technique of defining the minimal acceptable value of the PPS effectiveness developed on its base.     

军事通信网节点重要度评估方法

针对军事通信网的应用环境和业务流传输的特殊性,考虑节点类型以及节点之间的相互关系,将节点按功能分为侦察节点、处理节点、指控节点、行动节点、传输节点五类节点。根据军事通信网信息流传输的特点,改进了传统的网络介数基本概念,定义了符合军事通信网特征的节点和链路重要度的新指标。最后,通过实例对军事通信网的节点重要度进行仿真计算,画出了所有节点重要度柱状分布图。     

陆军武器装备综合集成体系的系统效能评估模型*

陆军武器装备综合集成体系的系统效能评估是体系建设的的重要内容.给出了基于ADC方法研究的陆军武器装备综合集成体系的可用性和可信性定量评估模型,并结合应用示例评估了两种作战模式下某防空系统的作战能力和系统效能,通过评估结果的比较分析,验证了所建模型的有效性.     

水面舰艇编队防空火力分配的灰色局势决策方法

针对水面舰艇编队在防空作战时如何适时、适量地选取火力分配方案。采用定性定量相结合的方法,重点剖析了灰色局势决策方法的具体求解步骤,并将之应用于水面舰艇编队对空防御时的火力分配方案优选。最后,通过实例验证了该方法的严谨性。以此确定的最优局势更具可信性,符合军事决策的特点。     

基于网格技术的联合空情预警体系建设

网格技术的先进理念与联合空情预警体系的思想不谋而合,将网格技术应用于联合空情预警体系的建设之中,必将引发联合空情预警体系系统功能全面性、革命性的提升。首先提出基于网格技术构建联合空情预警体系的建设思路,详细分析了联合空情预警体系的功能构想,着重探讨了联合空情预警体系的作战体系结构、系统体系结构、技术体系结构,并提出联合空情预警体系构建中应把握的几个重要问题。     

舰载对陆巡航导弹规划航路点间距离的计算分析

针对舰载对陆巡航导弹在实际飞行中,其航迹需要参考近似大地线的航线,在充分考虑导弹由海对陆的航路规划过程基础上,提出了易于编程、精度有所改进的空间两点间大地距离的计算方法。该方法在考虑高程的地球椭球模型参数的求取基础上,利用Bowring反解公式重新推导了顾及高程的空间航路点间的计算公式。相关算例表明,该方法提高了导弹规划航路点间距离的计算精度且易于工程实现。