反导作战管理技术研究

反导作战管理技术是指对反导体系内的传感器和火力资源进行以任务规划为核心的指挥与控制技术,主要包括传感器资源作战管理和火力资源作战管理两大部分。首先对反导作战管理与指挥控制系统的发展情况进行了简要分析,然后针对反导作战管理技术的内涵、主要任务、层次结构进行了系统研究,最后初步探讨了反导作战管理的核心内容和涉及的关键技术。     

编队协同反导决策方案优选

为了充分地调度好编队全部的抗导资源,实现抗导弹群的成功概率最大,在利用随机服务系统理论对编队协同反导决策方案各指标值进行计算的基础上,将"模糊优选理论"与"协同学原理"有机地结合起来,求解了在反舰导弹到达强度与舰空导弹的单发杀伤概率在不同值的情况下,编队协同反导决策方案的隶属度,为编队指挥员进行反导决策方案的优选提供了科学依据。     

军队基层干部弱势心理研究

在科学界定弱势心理的基础上,通过分析军队基层干部弱势心理的表现形式,查找出深层次原因;从弱化外部环境的消极影响、强化职责意识、提高自我认识入手,探索行之有效的化解方法;通过积极化解弱势心理,提高基层干部的职责意识。     

基于关联离散度的目标类型识别方法

针对空中作战空中目标识别问题,在分析影响目标类别因素的基础上,提出了一种基于关联离散度的空中目标灰色识别方法。该方法采用灰色理论,通过应用定义的关联离散度作为识别测度,因而在无需对现役雷达作太多技术改进的情况下,就可以提高低分辨雷达对空中目标粗略分类的自动判别能力。给出了应用该方法的具体步骤,通过仿真实例证明该算法的有效性。     

Efficiency of equilibria in restricted uniform machine scheduling with total weighted completion time as social cost

In the last decade, there has been much progress in understanding scheduling problems in which selfish jobs aim to minimize their individual completion time. Most of this work has focused on makespan minimization as social objective. In contrast, we consider as social cost the total weighted completion time, that is, the sum of the agent costs, a standard definition of welfare in economics. In our setting, jobs are processed on restricted uniform parallel machines, where each machine has a speed and is only capable of processing a subset of jobs; a job's cost is its weighted completion time; and each machine sequences its jobs in weighted shortest processing time (WSPT) order. Whereas for the makespan social cost the price of anarchy is not bounded by a constant in most environments, we show that for our minsum social objective the price of anarchy is bounded above by a small constant, independent of the instance. Specifically, we show that the price of anarchy is exactly 2 for the class of unit jobs, unit speed instances where the finite processing time values define the edge set of a forest with the machines as nodes. For the general case of mixed job strategies and restricted uniform machines, we prove that the price of anarchy equals 4. From a classical machine scheduling perspective, our results establish the same constant performance guarantees for WSPT list scheduling. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

雷达间歇辅助下雷达红外协同跟踪技术

为了提高作战飞机的隐蔽性,提出了一种基于协方差的机载多传感器管理与辐射控制方法,给出了一种基于扩展卡尔曼滤波和交互多模型的雷达、红外序贯滤波的机载多传感器协同跟踪方法。对利用该方法的机载多传感器目标跟踪性能进行了仿真分析,仿真结果证明了该方法的合理性和有效性。     

海洋移动目标多模型运动预测方法

分析海洋移动目标的运动特征,提出了预测前插值的灰色预测方法,改进了航迹变更预测和潜在区域预测模型。通过集成匀速运动预测、航迹变更预测、基于航迹的预测和潜在区域预测,提出多模型运动预测方法及其模型参数配置依据,根据滑动时间窗口中的观测数据与预测值的统计比较,评价不同预测方法的近期预测效果,决策下阶段适宜选择的预测方法。仿真实验表明多模型运动预测比使用单一运动预测方法降低预测风险,提高了预测精度。     

地方物流供应商“偷懒”行为监管机制研究

军民融合现代军事物流体系中,地方物流供应商往往会"偷懒",这必将损害军民融合现代军事物流体系的整体绩效。首先描述了"偷懒"行为及其危害性,从机制入手,基于博弈论建立地方物流供应商"偷懒"行为监管机制;分析并证明了监管机制的有效性。这一机制的构建对于监管地方物流供应商具有重要作用。     

一类不确定时滞混沌系统的全局鲁棒自适应神经网络同步控制器设计

研究一类不确定时滞混沌系统的全局鲁棒自适应神经网络同步控制器设计,其系统中的不确定时滞项不是简单的线性有界条件,而是允许其存在高阶项,因此具有全局特性．在控制器的设计上;首先通过选取合适的径向基函数（RBF）神经网络的权向量去逼近时滞系统中的未知连续有界部分;然后在RBF神经网络输出的基础上,选用一个鲁棒自适应控制器来趋近时滞系统的不确定部分;同时,利用Lyapunov稳定性理论对混沌同步的条件给出了论证;最后,数据仿真的结果表明该方法的有效性．     

Reconciling strategic studies … with itself: a common framework for choosing among strategies

Three distinct, and seemingly irreconcilable, schools of thought are identified within the strategic studies literature. One which searches for “universal principles of war,” a second, “context-dependent,” approach that seeks to embed each instance of warfare within its concurrent social, political, technological milieu and, finally a “paradoxical logic” school, which equates strategy with the generation of uncertainty. The author offers some intuitive concepts from non-cooperative game theory to develop a “dominate-mix” approach to strategy choice. In doing so, he helps to reconcile these disparate approaches and provides a simple framework to assist researchers in framing military decisions as well as to assist planners in choosing among strategies.