对装备可计量性的思考

本文在提出可计量性的定义与对可计量性理解的基础上,梳理了可计量性与装备"五性"的关系,分析了可计量性研究对计量保障的作用,以及可计量性在武器装备全系统全寿命周期中的作用,并对如何开展在研和现役武器装备的可计量性研究提供了思路。     

The stability of the nuclear nonproliferation norm: a critique of norm-contestation theory

This article argues that the nuclear nonproliferation norm (NNPN) is a social fact with a relatively independent life of its own and that it has a powerful impact on the behavior of both nuclear-weapon states (NWS) and non-nuclear-weapon states (NNWS). It challenges the application of critical constructivist research on norms to the NNPN and the idea that its legitimacy and structural power depend on contestation “all the way down.” State and non-state actors play an important role in explaining the dynamics of the NNPN, but agential constructivism runs the danger of “throwing the baby out with the bath water,” neglecting the structural impact of the NNPN on state behavior. The article examines the limitations of norm-contestation theory, arguing that some norms are more resistant to contestation than others. The NNPN is more difficult to contest than new norms (such as the Responsibility to Protect) because it is rooted in fifty years of nonproliferation nuclear diplomacy. The US-India nuclear deal is not a case of “norm change” but a violation of the NNPN. The “core” of the NNPN has not changed since the US-India nuclear deal. The conflict confronting NWS and NNWS is about the implementation of “type 2” norms (organizing principles) and “type 3” norms (standardized procedures), and not about the “hard core” of the NNPN.     

Constant risk aversion in stochastic contests with exponential completion times

This article analyzes a class of stochastic contests among multiple players under risk‐averse exponential utility. In these contests, players compete over the completion of a task by simultaneously deciding on their investment, which determines how fast they complete the task. The completion time of the task for each player is assumed to be an exponentially distributed random variable with rate linear in the player's investment and the completion times of different players are assumed to be stochastically independent. The player that completes the task first earns a prize whereas the remaining players earn nothing. The article establishes a one‐to‐one correspondence between the Nash equilibrium of this contest with respect to risk‐averse exponential utilities and the nonnegative solution of a nonlinear equation. Using the properties of the latter, it proves the existence and the uniqueness of the Nash equilibrium, and provides an efficient method to compute it. It exploits the resulting representation of the equilibrium investments to determine the effects of risk aversion and the differences between the outcome of the Nash equilibrium and that of a centralized version.© 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 66:4–14, 2019     

基于博弈论的C~4ISR系统监视与侦察功能模型

监视与侦察已成为现代C4ISR系统的重要组成部分,传统的监视与侦察系统效能分析方法存在模型难以建立、结果不准确等问题,很难量化其与作战效果之间的影响。在对基于Lanchester方程的C4ISR系统建模方法进行研究的基础上,提出了反映监视与侦察功能的Lanchester方程模型,并引入博弈论分析了战场上信息的不对称对交战结果的影响,克服了描述C4ISR系统的Lanchester方程没有考虑作战单元、对手和环境间的动态交互以及数学结构简单的缺点。仿真结果验证了模型的有效性。     

Path optimization for the resource‐constrained searcher

We formulate and solve a discrete‐time path‐optimization problem where a single searcher, operating in a discretized three‐dimensional airspace, looks for a moving target in a finite set of cells. The searcher is constrained by maximum limits on the consumption of one or more resources such as time, fuel, and risk along any path. We develop a specialized branch‐and‐bound algorithm for this problem that uses several network reduction procedures as well as a new bounding technique based on Lagrangian relaxation and network expansion. The resulting algorithm outperforms a state‐of‐the‐art algorithm for solving time‐constrained problems and also is the first algorithm to solve multi‐constrained problems. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

两种捆绑火箭弹性振动建模方法对比分析及其对姿控系统的影响

针对长助推和短助推两种类型捆绑火箭的不同模态特点,分析了两者弹性振动建模方法的区别和联系,在此基础上建立了某型固体捆绑火箭姿态动力学新模型,模型中基于有限元法导出了弹性振动方程,基于该模型对箭体复杂弹性振动引起的通道间耦合进行了研究,采用逆Nyquist阵列法进行设计。结果表明,该模型能更准确地反映捆绑火箭纵、横、扭耦合运动特性;新模型三通道之间存在弹性耦合,但耦合矩阵具有对角优势性质,采用逆Nyquist阵列法进行姿控系统设计是有效的,仿真结果表明设计的控制器可行,能够取得比较好的性能。     

对提高武警部队遂行多样化任务通信保障能力的思考

通信保障能力是武警部队战斗力的重要方面。近年来,武警部队担负的多样化任务日趋增多,呈现出许多新特点,对通信保障能力提出了新的更高要求,加强通信保障能力意义重大。本文从武警部队通信保障能力的现状入手,分析了当前通信保障能力的基本情况和存在不足,并就如何适应形势发展需要,提高遂行多样化任务的通信保障能力进行了思考。     

科技创新引领下的武警部队现代化装备建设发展思路与策略

推进武警部队现代化装备建设跨越发展,需要认清现状、更新观念、明确目标,确立没有科技创新就没有真正意义上的现代化装备建设的观念。武警装备科技创新,应在注重装备理论研究、加强非致命武器研发、拓展特种器材研制上实现新的突破和跨越;要在创新科技人才建设机制、完善装备科研管理机制、建立装备研发保障机制上增强科技创新能力,发挥科技创新引领的作用。     

试论应急管理体系的财政支撑

从2003年的“非典”开始,我国逐步建立起了一套应急管理体系,在南方冰雪灾害、汶川地震以及今年的玉树地震和南方水灾等抗震救灾工作中发挥作用并不断完善。财政支撑在应急管理体系中有着至关重要的作用。对目前我国应急财政管理现状进行分析,结合对外国应急管理体系先进做法的借鉴,提出了对建立健全应急财政支撑体系的政策建议。     

论石鲁根植于传统文化的中国画绘画笔墨辨证观

以中国传统文化思想为切入点,从墨色关系、虚实关系和“多少、繁简”关系三个方面探讨石鲁中国画画论中的笔墨观,得出石鲁的笔墨观不但根植于中国传统文化,又融合了唯物辨证法思想和二十世纪中国绘画新成果．由微见著说明石鲁的中国画绘画思想来源于中国传统文化与唯物辨证法及现代绘酒成果的结合。