Testing or fault-finding for reliability growth: A missile destructive-test example

A new piece of equipment has been purchased in a lot of size m. Some of the items can be used in destructive testing before the item is put into use. Testing uncovers faults which can be removed from the remaining pieces of equipment in the lot. If t < m pieces of equipment are tested, then those that remain, m₁ = m − t, have reduced fault incidence and are more reliable than initially, but m₁ may be too small to be useful, or than is desirable. In this paper models are studied to address this question: given the lot size m, how to optimize by choice of t the effectiveness of the pieces of equipment remaining after the test. The models used are simplistic and illustrative; they can be straightforwardly improved. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 623–637, 1997     

MANET多路径路由中最大可靠性路径选择算法

如何选择路径的数量和质量对多路径路由机制的性能有着重要的影响。已有的多路径算法没有深入研究如何选择多路径的问题。对目前存在的两个典型问题进行了分析,在此基础上研究了路径可靠性模型和虚拟完全非交叉多路径模型,然后提出一个最大可靠性多路径选择算法。算法利用路径权重作为路径可靠性的近似解决方案,以此克服路径可靠性度量问题(NP难题)研究的复杂性,根据路径可靠性模型和完全非交叉多路径模型来选择可靠的路径集,使用这组路径集并行分布流量。应用OPNET模拟平台实现了算法,结果表明,本算法能增加聚合带宽,优化网络带宽的应用,提高网络的吞吐率和多路径路由的性能。     

On a class of multiple failure mode systems

The primary objective of this work is to introduce and perform a detailed study of a class of multistate reliability structures in which no ordering in the levels of components' performances is necessary. In particular, the present paper develops the basic theory (exact reliability formulae, reliability bounds, asymptotic results) that will make it feasible to investigate systems whose components are allowed to experience m ≥ 2 kinds of failure (failure modes), and their breakdown is described by different families of cut sets in each mode. For illustration purposes, two classical (binary) systems are extended to analogous multiple failure mode structures, and their reliability performance (bounds and asymptotic behavior) is investigated by numerical experimentation. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 167–185, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.10007     

可靠度评价在建筑防火设计中的应用

提出在建筑结构耐火设计及火灾后建筑物修复设计中进行可靠度理论应用的必要性、可行性与优越性 ,旨在为建筑结构在火灾过程中及灾后的安全性评估提供新的研究思路。     

不同故障模式下的可靠性优化问题

以阀门流体系统为例 ,通过理论分析与数值计算 ,讨论了组成单元具有多个故障模式情形的系统可靠性优化问题 ,对传统的冗余技术作了进一步的发展 ,确立了考虑不同故障模式时可靠性优化的一般模型 ,最后得到了必须根据不同故障模式比率确定配置方式的结论     

Optimal stopping in software testing

In this paper we address the problem of how to decide when to terminate the testing/modification process and to release the software during the development phase. We present a Bayesian decision theoretic approach by formulating the optimal release problem as a sequential decision problem. By using a non‐Gaussian Kalman filter type model, proposed by Chen and Singpurwalla (1994), to track software reliability, we are able to obtain tractable expressions for inference and determine a one‐stage look ahead stopping rule under reasonable conditions and a class of loss functions. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003     

建筑消防设施运行可靠性探析

简要阐述了建筑消防设施的主要分类、作用、维护管理要求等,着重分析了消防供电、供水、设施联动、人机协调等方面可靠性存在的问题,从落实检测保养、人员素质、预案演练、监督检查等方面分析问题形成的原因,并提出解决问题的几点措施。     

多阶段含延缓纠正的可靠性增长序化建模分析

多阶段含延缓纠正的可靠性增长试验,其各个阶段内的试验数据分别服从参数不同的Weibull过程.针对现场样本少、传统的可靠性评估方法实施困难的问题,首先在获得各阶段形状参数的基础上,对各个阶段截尾时刻的失效强度建立顺序约束关系.然后,运用Bayes方法融合先验信息,获得最末阶段截尾时刻的失效强度的期望与置信上限.该结果融合了历史阶段的样本信息,优于仅利用单个阶段样本的分析结果,适用于多阶段可靠性增长试验的综合评估.     

空投产品入水可靠性的评估方法

针对空投某产品时试验多状态、小样本的特点,提出了基于回归折算的性能可靠性评估方法.通过分析投放过程的数学模型,给出入水参数关于投放条件的回归模型,并根据试验数据估计出回归系数.利用回归折算将分散在不同空投条件下的试验数据折算到某一条件下,基于折算后的试验数据得到了较客观的产品入水可靠性评估结果.