论化学灾害事故处置的指挥决策及其实施

化学灾害事故处置的指挥决策及其实施水平尤为重要,在分析当前指挥决策存在不足的基础上,从完善指挥决策组织、拓展依据、突出决策重点、加强人员装备,以及科学处理一些关系等方面进行了探讨。     

受限空间人员被困事故消防救援研究

归纳总结了受限空间人员被困事故的特点,分析了此类事故救援过程中需要的器材装备,论述了受限空间人员被困事故的救援技术,并针对此类事故救援、训练、研究提出了建议。     

从火灾复核案件谈火灾事故调查能力的提高

开展火灾事故调查工作,是公安消防机构的一项重要任务。要加强火灾事故调查工作,提高火灾事故调查人员的能力非常重要。从几起火灾复核案件中暴露出的问题入手,提出了提高火灾事故调查能力的途径和措施。     

计算机网络级联失效建模与分析

针对以往级联失效模型负载局部重分配规则与现实计算机网络全局路由特点不吻合的缺陷,模拟网络中信息流传输过程。定义路由器的失效条件,建立基于负载全局重分配的级联失效模型,并在此基础上提出基于连通和性能两方面的级联失效影响评价参数,进而分析用户流量和攻击方式对计算机网络级联失效的影响。结果表明,随着流量的增大,级联失效存在相变行为,相变点刻画了网络在不会发生级联失效前提下的最大传输能力。此外,针对网络中高度节点的攻击,更为容易引发大规模的级联失效,应予以重点保护。     

ATM网中VBR MPEG视频源的RAR(1)模型

对MPEG视频源中一个典型的实际数据序列———星球大战电影序列进行分类、统计分析 ,建立了一个新的RAR ( 1)模型。拟合效果表明 ,RAR ( 1)模型的输出轨迹 ,其形状与实际数据十分形似 ,能够包括场景改变时的大量尖峰。拟合后的RAR ( 1)模型的自相关与实际数据的自相关十分匹配。平稳概率分布接近Gamma分布 ,与实际视频数据的分布一致     

消防责任事故罪构成要件探讨

消防责任事故罪包括客体、客观要件、主体、主观要件等若干构成要件,其客体为“国家的消防监督制度”,其客观要件是“经消防监督机构通知采取改正措施而拒绝执行”,其主体为特殊主体“直接责任人员”,其主观要件应限于过于轻信的过失。     

一起亡人火灾事故的调查

通过对一起亡人火灾事故的现场勘验、调查、物证鉴定和事故认定过程的叙述,阐释了亡人火灾事故的调查和认定方法,并对电气火源物证的识别、提取、鉴定和运用作了详实说明。     

Optimization and mediated bartering models for ground delay programs

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and the airline community within the United States have adopted a new paradigm for air traffic flow management, called Collaborative Decision Making (CDM). A principal goal of CDM is shared decision‐making responsibility between the FAA and airlines, so as to increase airline control over decisions that involve economic tradeoffs. So far, CDM has primarily led to enhancements in the implementation of Ground Delay Programs, by changing procedures for allocating slots to airlines and exchanging slots between airlines. In this paper, we discuss how these procedures may be formalized through appropriately defined optimization models. In addition, we describe how inter‐airline slot exchanges may be viewed as a bartering process, in which each “round” of bartering requires the solution of an optimization problem. We compare the resulting optimization problem with the current procedure for exchanging slots and discuss possibilities for increased decision‐making capabilities by the airlines. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

运送有毒物泄漏造成水体污染的扩散模型及求解方法研究

运送有毒物发生交通事故,导致有毒物泄漏引发水体污染,会造成严重影响。在分析污染事故的特点、危害的基础上,根据水力学及污染物的迁移转化规律,建立了有毒物泄漏水体后的转移弥散模型,即将控制水流的圣维南方程和描述有毒物迁移的对流弥散方程进行耦合。运用低数值耗散的半离散中心迎风格式求解方程,其结果可以预测污染河段长度和延续时间。最后,通过实例进行了模拟计算。     

Steady-state analysis of load balancing with Coxian-2 distributed service times

This paper studies load balancing for many-server (N servers) systems. Each server has a buffer of size b ? 1, and can have at most one job in service and b ? 1 jobs in the buffer. The service time of a job follows the Coxian-2 distribution. We focus on steady-state performance of load balancing policies in the heavy traffic regime such that the normalized load of system is λ = 1 ? N^?α for 0 < α < 0.5. We identify a set of policies that achieve asymptotic zero waiting. The set of policies include several classical policies such as join-the-shortest-queue (JSQ), join-the-idle-queue (JIQ), idle-one-first (I1F) and power-of-d-choices (Po d) with d = O(N^α log N). The proof of the main result is based on Stein's method and state space collapse. A key technical contribution of this paper is the iterative state space collapse approach that leads to a simple generator approximation when applying Stein's method.