维修保障资源优化技术研究

论述了维修保障资源优化技术的意义;对备选维修工序和维修资源方案进行费用分析、时间分析和效能分析,确定了一套在工程上实用的资源优化技术.     

小波神经网络在装备研制费预测与控制中的应用

通过小波及小波变换的原理和方法,建立了适用于武器装备研制费用的小波神经网络预测与控制模型.结合某型装备研制费用,进行了预测与控制的数据仿真.     

多传感器组合导航系统评述

介绍了组合导航系统的重要性、发展现状和发展趋势。根据导航与目标跟踪的区别与联系,从多传感器组合导航系统研究的角度出发,在概念理解、模型建立和系统结构等方面做了详细的评述,提出了多传感器导航信息融合系统的功能模型,分析了位置融合级的结构模型。     

电磁脉冲炸弹威胁下的舰艇生命力模型

电磁脉冲炸弹对舰艇产生严重威胁。通过分析电磁脉冲炸弹特殊的杀伤效应,根据电磁脉冲炸弹的杀伤特点和载体的落点分布建立了电磁脉冲炸弹对舰艇打击的易感性模型,根据舰艇对电磁防护的特点确定了易损性模型,从而推导出舰艇在电磁脉冲炸弹打击下的生命力评估模型。通过模型可以看出,舰艇在电磁脉冲炸弹打击下的生命力与电磁脉冲炸弹自身的性能、载体的打击精度、到达目标的功率密度、脉冲对目标的覆盖面积及舰艇自身的防护措施有关。     

反舰导弹纯方位发射捕捉概率计算方法

反舰导弹的纯方位发射对目标信息要求不高,在目标信息的探测越来越艰难的今天,是反舰导弹较为重要的一种发射方式,也将会成为未来海战场上常用的作战方式.介绍了反舰导弹捕捉概率的计算方法和传统纯方位发射的捕捉概率的计算方法,并从分析反舰导弹捕捉概率的计算模型和影响因素出发,指出传统的反舰导弹纯方位发射的捕捉概率计算模型存在不足,并给出了修正后的计算模型.     

一种无人战斗机系统使用保障费用分析方法

基于无人战斗机系统在使用保障上的特点,通过对有人战斗机使用保障费用模型进行合理改造,使其能适用于无人战斗机的使用保障费用分析。经过改造的模型具有结构清晰、概念明确的特点。适合在飞机总体设计阶段用于全寿命周期的费用估算以及飞机的费效分析和综合优化设计。通过与有人战斗机的使用保障费用进行对比计算表明,无人战斗机系统的使用保障费用具有明显的经济优势。     

动态飞行仿真中人体六自由度模型研究

应用多体系动力学方法,结合飞行力学,给出了动态飞行仿真中飞行员的六自由度数学模型,并将其应用在动态飞行仿真建模中,分析结果表明这种数学模型是可行的。     

Determination of burn‐in parameters and residual life for highly reliable products

Today, many products are designed and manufactured to function for a long period of time before they fail. Determining product reliability is a great challenge to manufacturers of highly reliable products with only a relatively short period of time available for internal life testing. In particular, it may be difficult to determine optimal burn‐in parameters and characterize the residual life distribution. A promising alternative is to use data on a quality characteristic (QC) whose degradation over time can be related to product failure. Typically, product failure corresponds to the first passage time of the degradation path beyond a critical value. If degradation paths can be modeled properly, one can predict failure time and determine the life distribution without actually observing failures. In this paper, we first use a Wiener process to describe the continuous degradation path of the quality characteristic of the product. A Wiener process allows nonconstant variance and nonzero correlation among data collected at different time points. We propose a decision rule for classifying a unit as normal or weak, and give an economic model for determining the optimal termination time and other parameters of a burn‐in test. Next, we propose a method for assessing the product's lifetime distribution of the passed units. The proposed methodologies are all based only on the product's initial observed degradation data. Finally, an example of an electronic product, namely contact image scanner (CIS), is used to illustrate the proposed procedure. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003     

A general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes and conditions for system burn‐in

Burn‐in is a technique to enhance reliability by eliminating weak items from a population of items having heterogeneous lifetimes. System burn‐in can improve system reliability, but the conditions for system burn‐in to be performed after component burn‐in remain a little understood mathematical challenge. To derive such conditions, we first introduce a general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes, in which the component burn‐in information and assembly problems are related to the prediction of system burn‐in. Many existing system burn‐in models become special cases and two important results are identified. First, heterogeneous system lifetimes can be understood naturally as a consequence of heterogeneous component lifetimes and heterogeneous assembly quality. Second, system burn‐in is effective if assembly quality variation in the components and connections which are arranged in series is greater than a threshold, where the threshold depends on the system structure and component failure rates. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 364–380, 2003.     

A model for step‐stress accelerated life testing

Modern technology is producing high reliability products. Life testing for such products under normal use condition takes a lot of time to obtain a reasonable number of failures. In this situation a step‐stress procedure is preferred for accelerated life testing. In this paper we assume a Weibull and Lognormal model whose scale parameter depends upon the present level as well as the age at the entry in the present stress level. On the basis of that we propose a parametric model to the life distribution for step‐stress testing and suggest a suitable design to estimate the parameters involved in the model. A simulation study has been done by the proposed model based on maximum likelihood estimation. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003