Replicated batch means for steady‐state simulations

This paper studies a new steady‐state simulation output analysis method called replicated batch means in which a small number of replications are conducted and the observations in these replications are grouped into batches. This paper also introduces and compares methods for selecting the initial state of each replication. More specifically, we show that confidence intervals constructed by the replicated batch means method are valid for large batch sizes and derive expressions for the expected values and variances of the steady‐state mean and variance estimators for stationary processes and large sample sizes. We then use these expressions, analytical examples, and numerical experiments to compare the replicated batch means method with the standard batch means and multiple replications methods. The numerical results, which are obtained from an AR(1) process and a small, nearly‐decomposable Markov chain, show that the multiple replications method often gives confidence intervals with poorer coverage than the standard and replicated batch means methods and that the replicated batch means method, implemented with good choices of initialization method and number of replications, provides confidence interval coverages that range from being comparable with to being noticeably better than coverages obtained by the standard batch means method. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

概念模型验证方法研究综述

概念模型验证是保证和提高仿真可信性的重要手段,是建模与仿真VV＆A中的重点和难点．首先将概念模型的验证方法划分为非形式化方法、静态方法、动态方法和形式化方法4类,并提出了一种基于本体推理的概念模型验证方法,然后对各种方法的基本思想、基本原理、基本过程、适用对象、优缺点进行全面的分析总结,明确了各种方法的优缺点和适用范围,为如何选用各种验证方法提供参考,也明确了下一步应重点研究的问题．     

Nonparametric bayesian lifetime data analysis using dirichlet process lognormal mixture model

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian lifetime data analysis method using the Dirichlet process mixture model with a lognormal kernel. A simulation‐based algorithm that implements the Gibbs sampling is developed to fit the Dirichlet process lognormal mixture (DPLNM) model using rightly censored failure time data. Five examples are used to illustrate the proposed method, and the DPLNM model is compared to the Dirichlet process Weibull mixture (DPWM) model. Results indicate that the DPLNM model is capable of estimating different lifetime distributions. The DPLNM model outperforms the DPWM model in all the examples, and the DPLNM model shows promising potential to be applied to analyze failure time data when an appropriate parametric model for the data cannot be specified. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

语料库在翻译课程“教”与“学”中的重要性研究

高校翻译课程的设置是为了让学生掌握翻译相关的知识和技能,发展翻译能力,除了传统的教学方法外,将双语语料库的辅助方法引入翻译课堂,利用其对齐和检索功能为学生提供大量真实的翻译对照文本,无疑对学生会有很大的启发和帮助。文章通过对语料库重要性的研究,阐述其对翻译课程的"教"与"学"所起到的作用及其重要性,真正实现student-centered的教学模式和task-based的课堂实践。     

目标毁伤效果评估技术研究进展

目标毁伤效果评估作为目标保障的一项重要内容,对精确打击作战情报保障起到了核心作用,是现代精确打击体系的一个重要环节和关键步骤。文章从评估方法、评估模型和评估系统三个方面入手,梳理了国内外目标毁伤效果评估技术的最新研究进展,并对目前各类评估方法、模型及系统的优缺点分别进行了评述。最后,指出了该领域今后的研究方向。     

班主任应具备的基本素质和工作方法

班主任工作的好坏,直接影响着学校整体学生管理工作。提高班主任素质,不断探索班主任工作的新途径、新方法,才能实现班主任工作的新突破,开创班主任工作的新局面。     

通用武器装备供应系统设计中的硬、软系统方法整合研究

分析了硬、软系统方法应用的异同点,研究了将硬、软系统方法整合起来处理通用装备供应系统设计的问题,最后提出了系统设计的框架。     

和谐思维与部队思想政治教育职能优化

军队思想政治教育要适应和谐社会的要求,一方面深化调节,注重满足军人自身发展的需要,引导官兵建立与和谐社会相融合的人际关系;另一方面,运用“和”的思想解决矛盾和问题,达到对官兵负面思想的有效控制。     

目的论在翻译理论中的地位

目的论是功能翻译理论的核心思想,它强调的是目的决定手段,它包括译者、文本、语言、文化等为一体的综合性研究。     

SPC交换程序的半自动生成技术

本文介绍我院正在研制的 SPC 交换领域用的半自动编程系统,该系统通过用规范和描述语言 SDL 书写的规范来产生 SPC 交换程序。文中讨论了半自动生成系统的基本结构,并给出一个具体的半自动生成实例。