逐步Ⅰ型混合截尾试验下Burr部件的可靠性分析

在逐步Ⅰ型混合截尾试验下,研究了Burr部件寿命参数及可靠性指标的极大似然估计和Bayes估计.利用简单迭代方法,给出了寿命参数和可靠性指标的极大似然估计的数值解.然后利用Lindely Bayes近似算法得到了平方损失下寿命参数以及可靠性指标的Bayes估计.最后,运用Monte-Carlo方法对各估计结果作了模拟比较,结果表明Bayes估计较极大似然估计的误差小.     

基于信息需求的情报支持效能分析

经典的侦察与监测(S&R)系统效能分析方法存在模型难以建立、结果不准确等问题。考虑到S&R系统的目的是提供情报支持,提出一种基于信息需求的S&R系统情报支持效能分析方法。该方法以用户的信息需求为度量基准量,比较S&R系统性能对信息需求的满足度,并以此满足度作为S&R系统效能度量的指标。仿真实例表明了新方法的有用性。     

动态武器目标分配问题的马尔可夫性

动态武器目标分配(weapon target assignment,WTA)问题是军事运筹学研究的重要理论问题,也是作战指挥决策中迫切需要解决的现实问题。在对动态WTA问题进行描述分析的基础上,运用随机过程理论证明了动态WTA过程的马尔可夫性;给出了该马尔可夫决策过程的状态转移概率的解析表达式,并对其状态特点进行了简要分析。研究结果可以为动态WTA及相关问题的研究提供理论和方法依据。     

深度神经网络指导下的无线覆盖预测算法

为保证新一代移动无线网络能够根据实时覆盖情况动态地调节小区天线参数,需要实现高效且准确的无线覆盖预测。传统的求解方法通过精确的场强预测判断天线参数的优劣,虽然精度很高但需要大量的计算资源,无法满足5G和后5G移动网络通过实时覆盖预测进行射频参数动态调整的实际需求。现采用基于深度神经网络的算法对给定天线参数的覆盖效果进行预测,以取代对目标区域的精确场强预测。数值结果表明:该方法能够在保持计算准确性的同时显著减少计算量,为5G动态网络规划提供基础性参考数据。     

Novel approach for active vibration control of a flexible missile

This paper investigates the feasibility of using an active dynamic vibration absorber (ADVA) for active vibration control of a flexible missile system through simulation. Based on the principles of a dynamic vibration absorber (DVA), a ring-type ADVA is first designed to attenuate the elastic vibration of the flexible missile, and the design of the active controller adopts the proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control algorithm. The motion equations of a flexible missile with an ADVA, which is subjected to follower thrust at its aft end, are derived using the Lagrangian approach. Taking the minimum of the root mean square (RMS) of the lateral displacement response of the center of mass as the objective function, a genetic algorithm (GA) is used to optimize the parameter of the DVA and PID controller. The numerical calculations show that the ADVA and DVA are effective in suppressing the vibration and provide approximately 41.2% and 17.6% improvement, respectively, compared with the case of no DVA. The ADVA has better performance than the DVA. When the missile is subjected to follower thrust, the effect of vibration reduction is more effective than the case without follower thrust. It is feasible to reduce vibration and improve the stability of flexible missiles by means of the ADVA.     

Replacing nonidentical vital components to extend system life

We consider a system that depends on a single vital component. If this component fails, the system life will terminate. If the component is replaced before its failure then the system life may be extended; however, there are only a finite number of spare components. In addition, the lifetimes of these spare components are not necessarily identically distributed. We propose a model for scheduling component replacements so as to maximize the expected system survival. We find the counterintuitive result that when comparing components' general lifetime distributions based on stochastic orderings, not even the strongest ordering provides an a priori guarantee of the optimal sequencing of components. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

高频地波超视距雷达述评

高频(HF)地波超视距雷达(GW-OTHR)利用雷达波束绕地表面衍射作用,能探测视距外的舰船、低空飞机和巡航导弹,不仅覆盖面积大、费用低,能弥补常规微波雷达低空盲区和天波超视距雷达的近距盲区,也无需注意电离层的变化,且可反隐身、抗反辐射导弹(ARM),因而在许多国家的国民经济和国防领域中得到了广泛的应用。论述了地波沿海面传播的特性和探测能力,并对超视距雷达的发展和应用进行了介绍。     

空气阻力对排球正面上手发球水平方向飞行距离的影响实验分析

该文以体院排球普修课男生为对象,通过高速摄影方法,对"空气阻力对正面上手发球水平方向飞行距离的影响"这一问题进行了实验研究.初步揭示了当击球高度,击球角度和击球初速度等条件一定的情况下同,正面上手发球在水平方向飞行的理论距离与实际距离的差值规律.     

雷电回击地面水平电场的解析求解

假定大地为良导电平面 ,基于DU模型计算了雷电回击地面电磁场 ,并探讨了地面水平电场的求解。对于雷电回击水平电场的两种近似求解方法———大地表面阻抗法和斜波法 ,进行了解析推导 ,并从数学上证明了两种方法在远区场的等价法。     

A parallel machine replacement model

This paper considers a finite horizon parallel machine replacement problem where a fixed number of machines is in operation at all times. The operating cost for a machine goes up as the machine gets older. An older machine may have to be replaced by a new one when its operating cost becomes too high. There is a fixed order cost associated with the purchase of new machines. Machine purchase prices and salvage values may depend on the period in which they were purchased. The objective is to find a replacement plan that minimizes the total discounted cost over the problem horizon. We believe that the costs in our model are more commonly observed in practice than those previously used in the literature. The paper develops properties of optimal solutions and an efficient forward‐time algorithm to find an optimal replacement plan. A dominance property is developed that further limits the options to be considered, and a simple forecast horizon result is also presented. Future research possibilities are mentioned. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 275–287, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (http://www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10012