公安边防部队处置无直接利益冲突群体性事件对策研究

无直接利益冲突群体性事件有5个特点,即间接性、特定性、辐射性、关联性、暴力性.引发无直接利益冲突群体性事件的原因主要有4个方面：一是我国正处于社会转型期,贫富差距突出,矛盾多发;二是基层公共权力机关公信力下降和利益诉求渠道阻塞;三是法律意识淡薄和社会认同感降低;四是心理匿名感和信息的快速传播.研究应对无直接利益冲突群体性事件对策具有重要的现实意义.     

基于Monte-Carlo方法的火炮瞄准校验系统精度评定

基于双经纬仪的火炮瞄准校验系统需要给出其校验精度,但传统的测量不确定度传递公式需要大量微分运算,校验精度计算很复杂,为此,提出了基于Monte-Carlo方法的火炮瞄准校验系统测量不确定度的评定。以调炮精度校验为例分析了校验系统的原理,结合调炮精度校验过程设计了基于Monte-Carlo方法的测量不确定度评定过程,分析比较了计算量的大小,并将评定结果与传统评定方法的结果进行比较。结果表明:二者一致性良好,Monte-Carlo方法能够完成对瞄准校验系统各校验项目的校验精度评定,并且简化了计算,节省了时间。     

基于复杂度特征的干扰识别算法

复杂度可以用来刻画信号的波形变化特征。文中使用了L-Z复杂度和分形维数这两种复杂度作为干扰识别的特征参数并结合支持向量机对干扰进行分类。仿真结果表明L-Z复杂度和分形维数计算复杂度低,且具有较好的类别差异度,同时文中提出的算法具有较高的识别准确率。     

基于球坐标变换的双星编队伪距相对定位

针对NASA的ST -3中自主编队飞行 (AFF)的双星星座 ,讨论利用星载的类GPS高精度的伪距观测数据确定星座之间相对位置和时间参数的问题。在常用的直角坐标系中建立系统的数学模型 ,并进行解算 ;特别针对双星编队定位解算几何结构弱、解算结果的协方差矩阵不稳定而无法进行传统协方差分析的问题 ,提出了基于球坐标变化的伪距定位方法     

Dynamic pricing and inventory control with learning

Optimal operating policies and corresponding managerial insight are developed for the decision problem of coordinating supply and demand when (i) both supply and demand can be influenced by the decision maker and (ii) learning is pursued. In particular, we determine optimal stocking and pricing policies over time when a given market parameter of the demand process, though fixed, initially is unknown. Because of the initially unknown market parameter, the decision maker begins the problem horizon with a subjective probability distribution associated with demand. Learning occurs as the firm monitors the market's response to its decisions and then updates its characterization of the demand function. Of primary interest is the effect of censored data since a firm's observations often are restricted to sales. We find that the first‐period optimal selling price increases with the length of the problem horizon. However, for a given problem horizon, prices can rise or fall over time, depending on how the scale parameter influences demand. Further results include the characterization of the optimal stocking quantity decision and a computationally viable algorithm. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 303–325, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10013     

Inventory cost impact of order processing priorities based on demand uncertainty

We evaluate an approach to decrease inventory costs at retail inventory locations that share a production facility. The retail locations sell the same product but differ in the variance of retail demand. Inventory policies at retail locations generate replenishment orders for the production facility. The production facility carries no finished goods inventory. Thus, production lead time for an order is the sojourn time in a single server queueing system. This lead time affects inventory costs at retail locations. We examine the impact of moving from a First Come First Served (FCFS) production rule for orders arriving at the production facility to a rule in which we provide non‐preemptive priority (PR) to orders from retail locations with higher demand uncertainty. We provide three approximations for the ratio of inventory costs under PR and FCFS and use them to identify conditions under which PR decreases retail inventory costs over FCFS. We then use a Direct Approach to establish conditions when PR decreases retail inventory costs over FCFS. We extend the results to orders from locations that differ in the mean and variance of demand uncertainty. The analysis suggests that tailoring lead times to product demand characteristics may decrease system inventory costs. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 376–390, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10016     

军队继续教育发展初探

在分析了军队开展继续教育必要性的基础上,探索了军队开展继续教育的措施,展望了军队继续教育的发展趋势。     

返回器飞行管道的快速预测算法

针对返回器回收任务中对安全空域和期望落点的计算需求,提出了基于Koopman算子的飞行管道快速预测算法,给出了搜救直升机安全飞行空域的判定流程。建立了物伞动力学模型,利用Halton采样方法从随机空间中均匀采点,计算得到多条可能弹道;采用Koopman算子的后拉机制,将初始概率密度值与当前状态关联,得到不确定条件下返回器及其分离部件的飞行管道和期望弹道。仿真结果表明,基于Koopman算子的飞行管道快速预测算法在收敛速度和精度上都要显著优于Monte Carlo方法;利用飞行管道计算结果对搜救直升机飞行路线进行规划后,碰撞风险最大降低54%且搜索时间减少70%。飞行管道预测算法已成功应用到嫦娥五号的回收任务中。     

导弹飞行试验破片速度测定方法及其误差修正模型研究

破片速度的测量是导弹实弹飞行试验中一项难度较高的课题,准确的测量结果对于科学评价武器毁伤效能等技术指标具有十分重要的意义.立足国内技术现状,综述了导弹破片速度测量评定的一般方法,分析了各方法的基本原理,针对每种方法探讨了测量评定破片速度所存在的误差源.结合导弹实弹飞行试验特点及靶场试验实际情况,重点对采用靶网法测量单枚破片速度的误差及误差源进行了分析,给出了误差修正模型及提高测速精度的技术措施,并指出了靶场现有破片测速方案的不足和改进方向.论文成果在靶场实践中得到了部分应用.     

一种改进的电子情报分析模型

电子情报的分析处理,对提高电子对抗作战效能意义重大。综合运用聚类算法和分类算法构建了一种改进的电子情报分析模型。该模型首先通过基于粗糙集改进的k-means算法完成对记录数据库中雷达信号的聚类分选,选取聚类中心信号表征此类信号;再采用粗糙集提取有效的最优规则并用于聚类中心脉冲识别,从而分选出已知信号和未知信号;未知信号确定其特性后添加到已知威胁雷达数据库。通过仿真,验证了该模型的适用性和有效性。