基于随机拟合的悬浮式深弹弹阵特征建模

通过分析悬浮式深弹发射后在空中的弹道特性,建立了深弹弹着点坐标的计算模型。采取蒙特卡洛方法,分别对舰艇六自由度状态下,单管和六联装火箭深弹的弹着点坐标进行了仿真计算,对弹着点的分布规律进行了研究,并得出弹着点的联合密度函数。结果表明,在发射参数存在正态扰动下,弹着点散布区域均呈椭圆形分布,弹着点坐标均仍服从正态分布。     

参数化建模的螺栓法兰连接刚度分析

为分析几何参数对螺栓法兰连接刚度的影响,用MSC.Patran软件的二次开发工具PCL(Patran Command Language)建立了螺栓法兰连接的参数化模型。研究了螺栓法兰连接刚度随连接结构几何参数的变化规律并进行了灵敏度分析。经分析可知,连接结构刚度对开孔位置比例参数最敏感,其次是上法兰厚度。当上部段长度大于某一数值时,连接结构刚度对上部段长度参数不敏感,这一结论能为连接结构动力学简化建模提供一定理论参考。     

Demobilisation,disarmament and reintegration in the Democratic Republic of Congo: The numbers game

Abstract

The creation of the Africa Command (AFRICOM) has reflected the growth in the strategic importance of Africa in US foreign policy since the end of the 1990s. One of the objectives of this new geographical military command is to forge closer links between foreign, security and development policies. However, this approach met with a number of difficulties associated with the challenge of ‘inter-agency cooperation’ among rather disparate actors from foreign affairs, defence and development. In addition, the establishment of AFRICOM has met with fierce criticism in the US and elsewhere – especially in Africa – culminating in the charge that the US foreign and development policies in Africa are being militarised. Although AFRICOM has a number of interesting features, this paper shows that it has reacted to these criticisms by realigning itself more closely with the traditional model of a military command, at the expense of the innovative interagency elements.     

Book Reviews

Iain McCallum, Blood Brothers Hiram and Hudson Maxim: Pioneers of Modern Warfare. London: Chatham, 1999. Pp. 224, 33 illus., 2 maps, biblio., index. £20. ISBN 1–86176–096–5.

Eric Ash, Sir Frederick Sykes and the Air Revolution, 1912–1918. London and Portland, OR: Frank Cass, 1999. Pp.xviii + 268, 20 illus., 3 maps, biblio., index. £42.50/$59.50 (cloth), £18.50/$27.50 (paper). ISBN 0–7146–4828–0 and ‐4382–3.

Azar Gat, Fascist and Liberal Visions of War: Fuller, Liddell Hart, Douhet, and other Modernists. Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1998. Ppviii + 334, biblio., index. £45. ISBN 0–19–820715–8.

David B. Woolner (ed.), The Second Quebec Conference Revisited: Waging War, Formulating Peace: Canada, Great Britain, and the United States in 1944–1945. Basingstoke; London: Macmillan Press, 1998. Pp.xiii + 210, index. £32.50. ISBN 0–333–75970–2.

Jeffrey Grey. Up Top: The Royal Australian Navy and Southeast Asian Conflicts 1955–1972. St Leonards NSW: Allen &; Unwin in association with the Australian War Memorial, 1998. Pp.xx + 380, 110 illus., 12 tables, 23 maps &; diagrams, appendices, notes, biblio., index. NP. ISBN 1–86448–290–7.

Susan L Carruthers, The Media at War. Basingstoke: Macmillan, 2000. Pp.321, biblio., index. £14.99 (paper). ISBN 0–333–69143–1, also available in hardback.

Edward J. Marolda and Robert J. Schneller Jr, Shield and Sword: The United States Navy and the Persian Gulf War. Washington DC: Naval Historical Center, 1998. Pp.xxi + 517, 120 illus., 14 maps, biblio., index. NP. ISBN 0–1604–9476–1.

Marvin Pokrant, Desert Shield at Sea: What the Navy Really Did and Desert Storm at Sea: What the Navy Really Did. Both Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1999. Pp.xxiii + 265,9 illus., biblio., index. £44.95. ISBN 0–313–31023–8. Pp.xxiv + 329,12 illus., biblio., index. NP. ISBN 0–313–31024–6.

David Kaularich and Ronald C. Kramer, Crimes of the American Nuclear State: At Home and Abroad. Boston: Northeastern University Press, 1999. Pp.xviii + 195, biblio., index. £42.75. ISBN 1–55553–371‐X.

Stanley Hoffmann, World Disorders: Troubled Peace in the Post‐Cold War Era. Lanham, MD: Rowman &; Littlefield, 1998. Pp.viii+279, notes, index. $29.95. ISBN 0–8476–8574–8.

Lawrence Freedman (ed.), Strategic Coercion: Concepts and Cases. Oxford: Oxford‐University Press, 1998. Pp.400, index. £48. ISBN 0–19–829–349–6.

Stephen J. Cimbala, Coercive Military Strategy. College Station, TX: Texas A&;M University Press, 1998. Pp.229, biblio, index; $39.95. ISBN 0–89096–836–5     

利用主成分分析的通信调制识别通用对抗攻击方法

深度学习容易被对抗样本所攻击。以通信调制识别为例,在待传输的通信信号中加入对抗性扰动,可以有效防止非合作的用户利用深度学习方法识别信号的调制方式,进而提升通信安全。针对现有对抗样本生成技术难以满足自适应和实时性的问题,通过对数据集中抽取的小部分数据产生的对抗扰动进行主成分分析,得到适用于整个数据集的通用对抗扰动。通用对抗扰动的计算可以在离线条件下进行,然后实时添加到待发射的信号中,可以满足通信的实时性要求,实现降低非合作方调制识别准确率的目的。实验结果表明该方法相对基线方法具有更优的欺骗性能。     

基于EKF算法的弹道导弹助推段跟踪建模与仿真

围绕弹道导弹助推段跟踪问题,分析了助推段反弹道导弹的基本作战过程,建立了弹道导弹助推段动力学模型,分别就单传感器/单弹道导弹和多传感器/多弹道导弹两种情况建立了基于EKF算法的弹道导弹助推段跟踪模型,并通过算例验证了模型和算法的有效性,可为助推段反弹道导弹建模与仿真提供一定的参考。     

初相未知信号联合检测与估计的序贯实现

在未知参数的充分统计量和再生概率密度函数的基础上,引入了联合检测与估计的序贯算法,给出了算法的实现框图,并将该算法应用于高斯噪声中初相位未知信号的联合检测与估计当中.仿真实验表明,新算法较传统算法有一定的性能改善.     

一种发动机万有特性曲面拟合的新方法

通过分析发动机实测试验数据,提出了燃油消耗率同转速和扭矩之间存在类似幂指函数的关系,运用多元回归的方法对发动机的万有特性曲面进行了拟合,对拟合结果用数理统计的方法进行了检验,最后指出对发动机万有特性曲面的拟合采用分段函数进行数值计算,将得到更为精确的结果。     

一种波束内目标与诱饵 DOA联合估计新方法

拖曳式诱饵干扰下目标和诱饵DOA参数的准确估计是导引头实现目标分选的前提条件。波束内目标和诱饵的存在引起雷达回波混叠和观测耦合,导致常规观测提取与参数测量方法失效。通过挖掘雷达接收回波和、差通道信号条件概率分布协方差所包含的未知参数信息,获得了目标和诱饵DOA估计的解析表达式,针对估计求解中所需相对功率比未知的情况,提出了基于干扰检测、雷达测量与目标跟踪信息辅助循环估计相对功率比的DOA二次联合估计方法。不同干扰条件的仿真实验验证了估计方法的有效性。     

2A12铝合金焊接接头超声冲击处理前后拉伸性能分析

为克服铝合金薄板焊接接头强度偏低、韧性不足的缺点,用ER5356焊丝对不同厚度的2A12铝合金板材进行了手工氩弧焊接,并采用超声冲击处理对焊接接头进行全覆盖强化处理。采用金相显微镜观察了处理和未处理焊接接头的显微组织结构,对接头的力学性能进行了测试分析,分析了超声冲击处理改善2A12铝合金焊接接头力学性能的机理。结果表明：铝合金焊接接头经超声冲击强化处理后,6 mm和4 mm厚板材对接接头的抗拉强度分别提高了17.4%和23.7%,延伸率分别提高了28%和44%,焊缝表层组织得到明显细化。分析认为：晶粒大幅细化、组织致密化和缺陷减少,是超声冲击处理改善铝合金焊接接头抗拉伸性能的主要原因。