新疆公安边防维稳预警情报收集中的问题与对策

新疆维稳形势严峻,预警是维护社会稳定的重要途径。情报收集是成功预警的前提和基础。当前的新疆维稳预警情报收集工作还存在收集主体素质不高,群众优势未能充分发挥,缺乏有效交流与合作等问题。为此。必须加强情报队伍建设,构筑人民防线,完善协作机制,加强情报交流,以改进情报收集工作。     

新疆少数民族高等教育与人口就业——基于二进制响应模型的实证检验

新疆少数民族高等教育和人口就业的关系是一个异常重要,却少有学者关注的研究领域。本文利用二进制响应模型实证检验了新疆少数民族高等教育对就业的影响。研究结果显示,新疆少数民族高等教育是促进人口就业的Ganger原因,少数民族高等教育对促进就业具有显著的滞后效应,当期少数民族在校大学生占比超过其中位数,一年后就业人口占比超过其中位数的概率将增加23.13%,两年后全疆就业人口占比超过其中位数的概率将增加57.95%。为此,本文提出了进一步提高少数民族高考升学率,继续巩固基础教育阶段成果和高度重视少数民族职业教育和培训等三方面的建议。     

Some aging properties of parallel and series systems with a random number of components

In this article, we study aging properties of parallel and series systems with a random number of components. We show that the decreasing likelihood ratio property is closed under the formation of random minima. We also show, by counterexamples, that other aging properties are not closed under the formation of random minima or maxima. Some mistakes in the literature are corrected. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 238–243, 2014     

Regular and irregular forces in conflict: nineteenth century insurgencies in South America

ABSTRACT

In the decades following independence from Spain, ‘civil wars’ ravaged the newly established polities in South America. Former vice-regal capitals inherited a larger portion of the colonial administration and had larger economic resources and a hegemonic project they were able to have permanent and professional armed forces, capable of leading the offensive and giving battle following the European rules of military art. The central hypothesis of this work is that there is a necessary relationship between the shape of these asymmetrical conflicts, their outcome and the political territorial configuration of each country in post-revolutionary Spanish America. When permanent armies took over from local militias, the capital kept the integrity of its territories and there was a tendency towards political centralization. When this did not happen and the militias managed to find a way to defeat their centralizing enemies, the local powers had an opportunity to renegotiate their participation in the political body, and sought to maintain their independence, which was manifest in federal agreements, otherwise a process of territorial fragmentation began. More than a difference between regular and irregular forces there was one between intermittent, and permanent mobilization.     

Military Off the Shelf Procurements: A Norwegian Case Study

Buying off the shelf procurements (OTS) has become an important part of the national acquisition strategy in several countries, and this paper seeks to bring empirical evidence on OTS as the preferred acquisition strategy by use of data from 2015 to 2022 investment portfolio of the Norwegian Armed Forces. We develop definitions for three categories of procurement – OTS, modified OTS and development projects – as well as a method to classify projects into these categories. Our first finding is that the characteristics of OTS projects correspond to modified OTS and development projects. Our second finding indicates that OTS projects perform better when it comes to the completion of projects according to the initial schedule, compared to development projects.     

基于回合制对抗推演的探索性仿真实验兵力行动序列生成

信息时代的战役、战斗越来越呈现出复杂系统的特性,而探索性仿真实验正是一种研究复杂系统的有效手段。为向探索性仿真实验提供符合人类决策过程的兵力行动序列,基于人机结合的思想,采用回合制对抗推演方法来生成决策序列并加以优化,并对决策向兵力行动转化的模型进行分析,将决策序列转化为兵力行动序列,为后续仿真实验提供了仿真输入。研究成果对军事专家如何参与探索性仿真实验具有一定的借鉴意义。     

球锥体高超声速绕流的俯仰阻尼导数的数值计算

采用Navier Stokes方程描述球锥体外形非定常振动流场 ,在Etkin理论下给出俯仰阻尼导数的计算公式。对定常流场的计算采用ADI形式的NND格式 ,对非定常流场的计算采用四步Runge Kutta方法 ,并引入变系数残值光顺技术加速收敛。将俯仰阻尼导数计算结果与实验及工程计算进行了比较 ,并数值研究了其随振动中心的变化规律。     

带内双频电磁辐射对频率步进连续波雷达的虚警干扰规律

为掌握带内双频电磁辐射对雷达的虚警干扰规律,以频率步进连续波雷达为研究对象,基于理论分析与效应试验,研究了虚警目标的电平变化规律、波形特征以及出现位置规律。结果表明:受试雷达在带内双频电磁辐射作用下,不考虑互调干扰时,至多产生两个位置随机的“山丘型”虚警目标,两者距离差与双频干扰频差有关。双频干扰中两分量互相压制,即当任一干扰分量强度恒定时,随着另一个分量的增强,前者形成的虚警目标电平缓慢下降,最终降速基本恒定,而后者形成虚警目标电平逐渐升高,直至电平恒定;若双频干扰信号两分量同比例增强,则两个虚警目标电平均在初期近似线性上升,而后增速逐渐降低至零。     

关于烟雾对光电成像装备的干扰效果试验及其试验靶标

主题是如何通过外场试验定量评价烟雾对光电成像装备的干扰效果。提出一种综合靶标,可用于这种外场试验,也可考察光电成像装备抗烟雾干扰的能力。它适用于普通观瞄器材、照相侦察和摄像装备、微光夜视设备、热成像系统等。     

基于DJI分步实现的联机空间距离查询处理

综合考虑了查询处理时的计算费用和存储费用,提出了距离连接索引(Distance associatedJoinIn dices,DJI)的分步实现方法,以高效地支持联机空间距离查询。该方法采用分阶段计算DJI的策略,根据用户的查询条件动态地计算DJI的一部分以支持查询。实验研究证明,与传统方法相比,DJI的分步实现方法在性能上具有较大优势。