方差分量的Bayes二次无偏估计及可容许估计的非负性

对于有P 个方差分量的线性模型,本文导出了方差分量线性函数的Bayes 不变二次无偏估计的显示表达式,证明了Bayes 不变二次无偏估计类形成了可容许的不变二次无偏估计的完全类。在可容许的不变二次无偏估计类中,讨论了非负参数函数的非负估计问题,给出了可容许的非负定估计存在的充要条件。     

一种新的自变量选择准则

本文提出了一种着眼于提高回归系数估值精度的自变量选取准则,同时给出了相应的算法。     

应用参数微分法从弹丸试验数据获取阻力系数

本文在介绍弹道模型的基础上,讨论了应用参数微分法获取弹丸阻力系数的过程,并给出了计算机仿真实验结果。此方法已应用于靶场。     

基于磁通门/GPS组合的车辆导航系统滤波技术

给出了基于磁通门/GPS组合导航系统的硬件结构图,并应用卡尔曼滤波和方差自适应滤波算法分别对GPS、磁通门单独导航定位系统进行了分散滤波,最后应用联合卡尔曼滤波器对GPS和磁通门信息进行了信息融合.并且通过实际跑车实验,验证了滤波对导航系统随机误差消除和定位精度提高的有效性.     

基于小波分析的子带特征提取与选择方法

在研究了目标图像多尺度小波分解特性的基础上,提出了基于小波多尺度分解子带主成分的特征提取的算法。该算法利用图像在不同尺度的小波变换域中能量局部集中性,选择各子带能量较集中的局部小波系数构成图像目标特征向量。这种特征包含图像目标的主要边缘、纹理、灰度、结构等多种信息。由于对图像目标的特征信息的分布没有任何限制,因而适用于多种类型的图像的特征提取,可以解决单一特征提取方法中必须面对的所提取特征不明显的难点。这种特征向量对噪声有较好的鲁棒性。     

二维可压缩流动抽吸流量模型及验证

根据超声速与亚声速流动的特征,依据Prandtl-Meyer膨胀波理论,根据背压与来流静压确定膨胀波后的马赫数,获得了质量抽吸流率,并导出了壅塞发生的条件,建立了二维超声速抽吸模型;根据冲量定理,假定气体从主流区域到抽吸腔流态的变化是由于压差的冲量作用,建立了亚声速抽吸模型,并且进一步阐述了亚声速抽吸壅塞发生的机制。计算流体力学验证表明亚声速抽吸冲量模型的偏差较大,因此通过数值拟合模型来描述亚声速抽吸流动。该研究为三维抽吸研究提供了参考。     

有理真分式积分方法探析

利用配方法,待定系数法等方法求解有理真分式的积极分问题.     

Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Optimum step‐stress accelerated life test plans for log‐location‐scale distributions

This article presents new tools and methods for finding optimum step‐stress accelerated life test plans. First, we present an approach to calculate the large‐sample approximate variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of a quantile of the failure time distribution at use conditions from a step‐stress accelerated life test. The approach allows for multistep stress changes and censoring for general log‐location‐scale distributions based on a cumulative exposure model. As an application of this approach, the optimum variance is studied as a function of shape parameter for both Weibull and lognormal distributions. Graphical comparisons among test plans using step‐up, step‐down, and constant‐stress patterns are also presented. The results show that depending on the values of the model parameters and quantile of interest, each of the three test plans can be preferable in terms of optimum variance. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

2014—2016年FY-3C与COSMIC掩星电离层特征参数的比较

利用由FY-3C和COSMIC两个全球导航卫星系统无线电掩星任务提供的2014—2016共3年的电离层电子密度廓线,基于时间间隔7.5 min、经纬度间隔2.5°的时空匹配窗口,对两个掩星任务的电离层峰值密度（NmF2）和峰值高度（hmF2）进行了比较。结果表明：由两个任务得到的特征参数相关性良好,各年之间相关性水平基本稳定,其中各年NmF2和hmF2相关系数的平均值分别为0.87和0.75;FY-3C的特征参数相对于COSMIC的偏差很小,各年NmF2的绝对偏差均值和相对偏差均值分别不超过±0.25×10⁵ el/cm³和±15.0%,hmF2的绝对偏差均值和相对偏差均值分别不超过±7.00 km和±1.80%。此外,由两个任务得到的特征参数在空间上均表现出赤道及低纬地区数值较高且呈“条带状”分布的特点,且两个任务都监测到了2016年相对于2014年和2015年NmF2和 hmF2均存在显著下降的现象